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Tennessee State vs UALR Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 90-82
41-44 49-38
Position#176
Record7-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#90
Record7-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game79.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tennessee State v UALR
29 Jan 2026
TENN70
UALR63
04 Jan 2025
TENN95
UALR86
30 Dec 2023
TENN90
UALR82
31 Dec 2022
TENN94
UALR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Midway
#486
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H21/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H24/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
91-77
91
77
+14
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A30/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A14/12
NCAA
Boyce
#599
W
117-59
117
59
+58
H16/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A20/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
75-91
75
91
-16
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-35
55-35
17-32
42-28
43-48
48-29
37-29
38-46
32-42
37-23
43-36
28-42
35-34
17-40
58-36
59-23
38-42
31-48
46-53
29-38
152.2Avg total
77.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.773.2149.9+3.550%
Season at home (7)80.966.3147.1+14.671%
Season away (7)72.680.1152.7-7.629%
Last 10 (10)77.374.9152.2+2.440%
Last 5 (5)76.878.4155.2-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.582.0142.5-21.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.577.8153.3-2.241%
vs Weaker (11)80.467.7148.1+12.682%
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#252
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H29/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A08/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H10/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H19/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
60-90
60
90
-30
H21/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-37
38-46
41-39
35-37
52-32
38-32
27-31
50-35
31-30
40-45
25-39
43-46
42-43
51-41
40-31
40-35
30-34
30-56
36-37
45-38
157.4Avg total
79.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.079.9158.9-0.950%
Season at home (9)80.279.1159.3+1.156%
Season away (5)76.881.2158.0-4.440%
Last 10 (10)79.478.0157.4+1.460%
Last 5 (5)76.480.0156.4-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.879.8157.7-2.033%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.479.7156.1-3.330%
vs Weaker (8)80.579.0159.5+1.562%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -0.1-0.1
Tennessee StateUALR
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Midway
#486
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
17-32
17
32
-15
H24/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A30/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H03/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A10/12
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A14/12
NCAA
Boyce
#599
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H16/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A20/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H29/12
NCAA
76.8Avg total
38.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.034.971.9+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.734.373.0+4.547%-
Last 30 away (15)35.235.670.8-0.460%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.776.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.284.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.538.074.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.837.974.7-1.241%-
vs Weaker (11)37.429.767.1+7.673%-
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#252
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H29/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A08/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H10/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H14/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/12
NCAA
72.2Avg total
36.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.036.772.7-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.435.972.4+0.547%-
Last 30 away (13)35.537.873.2-2.346%-
Last 10 (10)36.935.372.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.871.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.137.873.9-1.842%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.433.869.2+1.650%-
vs Weaker (8)36.638.875.4-2.150%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tennessee State wins
2
UALR wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23UALR v Tennessee State89-77
31/12/22Tennessee State v UALR94-69
11/12/19UALR v Tennessee State86-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HUT Martin75-91
20/12/23AIndiana State69-90
16/12/23HBoyce117-59
14/12/23ALiberty52-74
10/12/23ALipscomb71-78
03/12/23HAustin Peay69-65
30/11/23AAlabama A&M Bulldogs83-85 OT
25/11/23ASE Louisiana91-77
24/11/23HMercer59-60
21/11/23HMidway87-70
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23ATennessee Tech81-75
21/12/23HJacksonville State60-90
19/12/23HMurray State80-66
14/12/23HUTSA Roadrunners93-84
10/12/23HWinthrop68-85
08/12/23ACentral Arkansas71-75
02/12/23HArkansas State77-66
29/11/23HBall State90-64
25/11/23ATulsa84-82 OT
22/11/23HGeorgia State90-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game76.780.972.6
Allowed / game73.266.380.1
Point differential+3.5+14.6-7.6
Avg total149.9147.1152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
UALR
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %50%56%40%
Points / game79.080.276.8
Allowed / game79.979.181.2
Point differential-0.9+1.1-4.4
Avg total158.9159.3158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %14%11%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State139469%78.063.4+14.6
2 UT Martin159660%85.280.3+4.9
3 Siu Edwardsville148657%71.968.7+3.1
4 Western Illinois137654%71.967.1+4.8
5 Tennessee State147750%76.773.2+3.5
6 UALR147750%79.079.9-0.9
7 Lindenwood136746%67.571.5-3.9
8 Eastern Illinois146843%69.964.9+5.0
9 Southeast Missouri State135838%71.375.9-4.6
10 Tennessee Tech1551033%71.377.5-6.2
11 Southern Indiana1431121%66.872.1-5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee State414990
UALR443882
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