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Tennessee vs Missouri Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#55
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game61.3
vs
Position#145
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game66.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tennessee v Missouri
13 Jan 2027
TENN v MISS
upcoming
05 Feb 2025
TENN85
MISS81
11 Feb 2023
TENN85
MISS86
23 Jan 2021
TENN64
MISS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H20/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A22/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A28/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
62-95
62
95
-33
A29/03
NCAA
Wofford
#253
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#186
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
22-32
60-54
25-32
47-30
31-31
37-44
51-32
27-24
36-31
43-41
34-33
42-29
26-48
36-47
34-31
56-28
33-24
37-23
42-37
41-41
145.2Avg total
76.0Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.061.3142.3+19.7100%
Season at home (3)81.061.3142.3+19.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.069.2145.2+6.870%
Last 5 (5)76.268.2144.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)70.876.0146.8-5.250%
vs Similar (15)78.975.1153.9+3.860%
vs Weaker (11)80.560.7141.2+19.791%
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A28/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A04/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H12/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A21/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#246
W
111-50
111
50
+61
H04/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H07/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#256
W
96-58
96
58
+38
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-47
45-47
26-29
47-40
54-23
34-41
26-35
38-45
36-39
38-35
29-38
43-40
26-27
40-53
56-18
55-32
38-49
46-41
48-24
48-34
157.5Avg total
82.4Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.066.0163.0+31.067%
Season at home (3)97.066.0163.0+31.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.475.1157.5+7.340%
Last 5 (5)85.871.2157.0+14.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.282.2154.4-10.033%
vs Similar (11)74.480.1154.5-5.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.964.8152.7+23.190%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +2.6+2.6
TennesseeMissouri
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H12/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A13/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H20/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A28/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A29/03
NCAA
Wofford
#253
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H10/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#186
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
33.4Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.131.767.7+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.729.867.5+7.982%-
Last 30 away (13)33.934.268.1-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)33.433.166.5+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.668.4-0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.838.573.2-3.850%-
vs Similar (15)36.533.269.7+3.353%-
vs Weaker (11)35.927.163.0+8.891%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
54-23
54
23
+31
A28/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H12/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A21/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#246
W
56-18
56
18
+38
H04/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#14
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H07/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#256
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H10/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
38.0Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.870.8+3.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.632.572.1+7.153%-
Last 30 away (13)33.635.669.2-2.031%-
Last 10 (10)38.032.970.9+5.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.270.6+8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.635.967.4-4.311%-
vs Similar (11)32.737.470.1-4.618%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.628.174.7+18.5100%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tennessee wins
4
Missouri wins
DateGameScore
25/02/26Missouri v Tennessee73-69
06/02/25Tennessee v Missouri85-81
21/02/24Missouri v Tennessee67-72
10/03/23Missouri v Tennessee79-71
11/02/23Tennessee v Missouri85-86
23/02/22Missouri v Tennessee61-80
24/01/21Tennessee v Missouri64-73
31/12/20Missouri v Tennessee53-73
08/01/20Missouri v Tennessee59-69
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTennessee State83-78
10/11/26HRadford70-47
03/11/26HWofford90-59
29/03/26AMichigan62-95
28/03/26AIowa State76-62
22/03/26AVirginia79-72
20/03/26HMiami (Ohio)78-56
13/03/26AVanderbilt68-75
12/03/26HAuburn72-62
07/03/26HVanderbilt82-86
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HSiu Edwardsville96-58
07/11/26HSt. Louis Billikens84-90
04/11/26HCleveland State111-50
21/03/26AMiami (FL)66-80
12/03/26HKentucky72-78
07/03/26HArkansas84-88 OT
04/03/26AOklahoma64-80
28/02/26AMississippi St.88-64
25/02/26HTennessee73-69
21/02/26AArkansas86-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game61.361.3-
Point differential+19.7+19.7-
Avg total142.3142.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Missouri
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+31.0+31.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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