FC Porto vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 103-70

22-18 24-22 29-15 28-15

Position#3

Record16-6

FormWWWWW

Points / game89.3

Allowed / game80.4

FC Porto 🏆

Lusitania

Position#6

Record11-11

FormLWWWL

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game82.8

LPBRound 1

Other2018-19

Meetings · FC Porto v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC Porto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

96-78

+18

H26/01

LPB

Oliveirense

80-93

-13

A02/02

LPB

Galitos

102-98

102

A16/02

LPB

Illiabum

76-90

-14

A02/03

LPB

Esgueira

98-64

+34

H05/03

LPB

Vitoria

#10

84-77

A08/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

93-61

+32

H10/03

LPB

Barreirense

97-60

+37

A14/03

Taca de Portugal

Lusitania

88-71

+17

A16/03

Taca de Portugal

Oliveirense

83-80

H17/03

Taca de Portugal

34-19

22-20

31-19

9-20

24-23

24-18

17-26

15-26

23-22

29-26

27-18

23-32

19-31

25-16

20-17

12-26

20-12

24-17

27-20

27-15

21-18

21-19

17-23

25-17

26-15

19-10

20-20

28-16

33-9

20-15

24-21

20-15

17-15

28-11

23-20

20-25

24-15

15-24

14-25

30-16

166.9Avg total

89.7Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	89.3	80.4	169.6	+8.9	73%
Season at home (11)	92.7	78.3	171.0	+14.5	82%
Season away (11)	85.8	82.5	168.3	+3.4	64%
Last 10 (10)	89.7	77.2	166.9	+12.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	69.8	158.8	+19.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	81.8	87.6	169.4	-5.9	12%
vs Similar (3)	83.3	84.0	167.3	-0.7	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	90.6	77.7	168.2	+12.9	83%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

57-77

-20

H27/01

LPB

Galitos

75-66

A02/02

LPB

Galitos

#11

73-60

+13

A03/02

Taca de Portugal

Illiabum

94-86 OT

H16/02

LPB

Esgueira

85-77

A02/03

LPB

Vitoria

#10

84-91

-7

H05/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

92-86

A08/03

LPB

Imortal

#12

85-84 OT

H10/03

LPB

Terceira

98-83

+15

H14/03

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

71-88

-17

H16/03

Taca de Portugal

15-12

9-21

17-16

16-28

20-20

16-14

19-18

20-14

15-17

17-17

20-13

21-13

25-11

11-19

21-19

19-27

19-25

17-20

19-17

30-15

13-20

18-22

25-22

28-27

28-22

12-14

28-29

24-21

14-20

18-16

21-16

16-17

38-23

17-16

20-21

23-23

15-17

11-28

20-23

25-20

161.2Avg total

81.4Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	81.0	82.8	163.8	-1.7	50%
Season at home (11)	79.6	81.6	161.3	-2.0	55%
Season away (11)	82.5	83.9	166.4	-1.5	45%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	79.8	161.2	+1.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	86.4	172.4	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	73.6	85.9	159.5	-12.3	8%
vs Similar (13)	87.2	81.2	168.5	+6.0	85%
vs Weaker (4)	80.0	82.5	162.5	-2.5	50%

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FC PortoLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	19.5	42.5	+3.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.3	18.4	40.6	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+3.1	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	17.9	42.0	+6.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	14.4	38.6	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+2.0	75%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	14.7	35.7	+6.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.8	20.1	43.9	+3.7	72%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.1	40.8	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	21.4	40.1	-2.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.0	22.5	39.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.3	20.9	43.2	+1.4	46%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	20.5	43.9	+2.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	19.1	40.4	+2.3	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	17.6	40.3	+5.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.8	36.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.9	21.8	44.6	+1.1	75%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	23.3	43.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.6	18.3	40.9	+4.3	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	20.6	37.6	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.6	19.4	36.0	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	21.6	39.1	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	18.7	33.3	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	19.2	34.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.4	23.2	39.6	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.0	17.5	33.5	-1.5	50%	-

FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

56-39

+17

H26/01

LPB

Oliveirense

48-41

A02/02

LPB

Galitos

52-48

A16/02

LPB

Illiabum

44-47

-3

A02/03

LPB

Esgueira

44-29

+15

H05/03

LPB

Vitoria

#10

42-37

A08/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

45-25

+20

H10/03

LPB

Barreirense

53-24

+29

A14/03

Taca de Portugal

Lusitania

45-26

+19

A16/03

Taca de Portugal

Oliveirense

39-39

H17/03

Taca de Portugal

82.3Avg total

46.8Scored

35.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.3	39.3	84.6	+6.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.6	38.9	84.5	+6.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.0	39.6	84.6	+5.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.8	35.5	82.3	+11.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	30.2	75.0	+14.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	44.8	41.6	86.4	+3.1	62%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.7	38.0	78.7	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	46.4	38.4	84.9	+8.0	78%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

24-33

-9

H27/01

LPB

Galitos

36-34

A02/02

LPB

Galitos

#11

32-34

-2

A03/02

Taca de Portugal

Illiabum

36-30

H16/02

LPB

Esgueira

36-45

-9

A02/03

LPB

Vitoria

#10

31-42

-11

H05/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

40-36

A08/03

LPB

Imortal

#12

32-36

-4

H10/03

LPB

Terceira

55-39

+16

H14/03

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

26-45

-19

H16/03

Taca de Portugal

72.2Avg total

34.8Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	41.7	78.4	-5.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.4	40.7	76.1	-5.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	42.6	80.4	-4.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	37.4	72.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	39.6	76.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	33.4	45.7	79.1	-12.2	17%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.3	40.3	80.6	+0.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.0	36.2	72.2	-0.2	50%	-

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	21.4	43.9	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.9	42.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.0	25.0	42.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	20.2	40.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.2	45.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.6	19.5	42.1	+3.2	69%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.5	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	17.8	42.4	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.6	23.4	39.0	-7.8	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	25.7	21.0	46.7	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.1	20.1	42.2	+2.1	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	20.1	39.8	-0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.9	19.9	43.8	+3.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.5	42.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.6	44.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	58%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.9	20.7	43.6	+2.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	17.8	39.5	+4.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	41.3	83.1	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.0	42.4	85.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.7	40.4	81.1	+0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	41.7	84.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	39.6	83.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.8	44.2	80.0	-8.5	12%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.7	46.0	88.7	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.1	39.2	83.3	+4.9	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	39.5	81.7	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	38.7	78.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.5	40.2	84.7	+4.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	39.9	83.1	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	43.8	89.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	40.2	40.2	80.4	-0.1	58%	-
vs Similar (13)	45.5	40.2	85.7	+5.4	69%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.0	38.5	76.5	-0.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

FC Porto wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
16/03/19	Lusitania v FC Porto	71-88
19/01/19	FC Porto v Lusitania	90-85
27/10/18	Lusitania v FC Porto	85-78
17/02/18	FC Porto v Lusitania	100-65
29/10/17	Lusitania v FC Porto	84-93
07/01/17	FC Porto v Lusitania	92-83
22/10/16	Lusitania v FC Porto	68-92
21/02/16	FC Porto v Lusitania	75-65
05/12/15	Lusitania v FC Porto	67-96
28/01/12	FC Porto v Lusitania	72-51

FC Portolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/19	H	Oliveirense	83-80
16/03/19	A	Lusitania	88-71
14/03/19	A	Barreirense	97-60
10/03/19	H	CAB Madeira	93-61
08/03/19	A	Vitoria	84-77
05/03/19	H	Esgueira	98-64
02/03/19	A	Illiabum	76-90
16/02/19	A	Galitos	102-98
02/02/19	A	Oliveirense	80-93
26/01/19	H	Benfica	96-78

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/19	H	FC Porto	71-88
14/03/19	H	Terceira	98-83
10/03/19	H	Imortal	85-84 OT
08/03/19	A	CAB Madeira	92-86
05/03/19	H	Vitoria	84-91
02/03/19	A	Esgueira	85-77
16/02/19	H	Illiabum	94-86 OT
03/02/19	A	Galitos	73-60
02/02/19	A	Galitos	75-66
27/01/19	H	Oliveirense	57-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	73%
Home	WWWWW	82%
Away	WLWLW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	73%	82%	64%
Points / game	89.3	92.7	85.8
Allowed / game	80.4	78.3	82.5
Point differential	+8.9	+14.5	+3.4
Avg total	169.6	171.0	168.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	55%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lusitania

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	50%
Home	LLWLW	55%
Away	LLWWW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	50%	55%	45%
Points / game	81.0	79.6	82.5
Allowed / game	82.8	81.6	83.9
Point differential	-1.7	-2.0	-1.5
Avg total	163.8	161.3	166.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	9%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	100% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	14%	27%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Oliveirense	23	22	1	96%	88.2	71.3	+16.8
2	Benfica	23	21	2	91%	90.1	74.7	+15.4
3	FC Porto	22	16	6	73%	89.3	80.4	+8.9
4	Ovarense	23	12	11	52%	78.0	77.4	+0.6
5	Lusitania	22	11	11	50%	81.0	82.8	-1.7
6	Terceira	23	10	13	43%	78.0	84.1	-6.0
7	Vitoria	23	9	14	39%	80.0	82.7	-2.7
8	CAB Madeira	23	9	14	39%	77.2	81.6	-4.4
9	Illiabum	23	8	15	35%	78.8	83.1	-4.3
10	Esgueira	23	8	15	35%	78.3	84.7	-6.3
11	Galitos	23	7	16	30%	78.3	84.8	-6.5
12	Imortal	23	4	19	17%	76.4	85.9	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
FC Porto	22	24	29	28	103
Lusitania	18	22	15	15	70

← all games of the day

FC Porto vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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