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Terrafirma Dyip vs Macau Black Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 102-84
21-20 33-33 24-24 24-7
Position#10
Record3-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game102.1
vs
Position#11
Record2-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game112.5
PhilippinesCommissioners Cup
Other2025
Meetings · Terrafirma Dyip v Macau Black Bears
29 Jul 2026
TERR92
MACA96
02 May 2026
TERR102
MACA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Terrafirma Dyip winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Macau Black Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Terrafirma DyipPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Blackwater Bossing
#10
L
82-97
82
97
-15
A08/06
Philippine Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
112-82
112
82
+30
A11/03
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
111-100 OT
111
100
+11
A14/03
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
99-88
99
88
+11
H18/03
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
L
105-133
105
133
-28
H25/03
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H07/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
89-101
89
101
-12
A11/04
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
117-124
117
124
-7
H15/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A18/04
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
85-95
85
95
-10
H25/04
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
24-29
16-19
21-26
26-23
26-17
37-22
23-20
24-25
16-23
30-27
30-25
33-15
17-34
25-17
24-22
23-25
23-31
27-40
32-37
19-21
23-19
14-22
14-23
22-33
22-20
22-29
23-19
27-26
18-41
28-29
44-28
23-28
27-28
21-35
32-20
23-18
24-18
9-34
29-25
198.9Avg total
97.3Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)99.0102.1201.1-3.133%
Season at home (5)95.2105.0200.2-9.820%
Season away (4)103.898.5202.2+5.250%
Last 10 (10)97.3101.6198.9-4.330%
Last 5 (5)92.8103.2196.0-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)92.8107.9200.7-15.212%
vs Similar ◀ (2)95.5114.5210.0-19.00%
vs Weaker (2)105.585.0190.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Macau Black Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Macau Black BearsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Converge FiberXers
#9
L
94-102
94
102
-8
H11/03
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
109-116
109
116
-7
A14/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
93-110
93
110
-17
H20/03
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
109-121
109
121
-12
A28/03
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
L
94-110
94
110
-16
A31/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
110-115
110
115
-5
H11/04
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
97-106
97
106
-9
A14/04
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
119-107
119
107
+12
H21/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
112-119
112
119
-7
A24/04
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
123-119
123
119
+4
H28/04
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
34-22
29-30
12-23
28-24
30-28
20-31
31-33
21-24
22-39
25-21
25-26
25-26
26-26
17-32
41-37
26-33
25-29
32-31
11-17
25-26
32-27
24-34
29-28
21-28
31-24
26-22
19-32
24-32
41-16
27-29
27-30
25-24
23-26
37-38
27-31
25-21
28-28
38-39
32-31
218.5Avg total
106.0Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)106.0112.5218.5-6.520%
Season at home (5)107.8110.6218.4-2.840%
Season away (5)104.2114.4218.6-10.20%
Last 10 (10)106.0112.5218.5-6.520%
Last 5 (5)112.2113.2225.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)95.1104.6199.8-9.512%
vs Similar ◀ (4)92.594.8187.2-2.225%
vs Weaker (9)100.694.7195.2+5.967%
This opponent (Terrafirma Dyip) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
Terrafirma DyipMacau Black Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Terrafirma DyipLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Blackwater Bossing
#10
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A08/06
Philippine Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A11/03
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A14/03
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H18/03
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H25/03
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H07/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A11/04
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H15/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A18/04
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/04
Commissioners Cup
95.8Avg total
46.1Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.851.296.0-6.430%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.151.894.9-8.728%-
Last 30 away (12)47.350.497.8-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)46.149.795.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)45.650.496.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)44.151.895.9-7.723%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)47.550.598.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker (2)51.044.595.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Macau Black Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Macau Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H11/03
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A14/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
43-63
43
63
-20
H20/03
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A28/03
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A31/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H11/04
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A14/04
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H21/04
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A24/04
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H28/04
Commissioners Cup
106.1Avg total
53.1Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.649.097.6-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (19)48.349.297.5-0.953%-
Last 30 away (11)49.148.697.7+0.536%-
Last 10 (10)53.153.0106.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)55.050.4105.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)48.551.299.6-2.735%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)48.546.094.5+2.575%-
vs Weaker (9)48.946.295.1+2.756%-
This opponent (Terrafirma Dyip) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Terrafirma Dyiptheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Terrafirma Dyip: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.4
54.1%
-36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.8
38.8%
-26.4
🏀 Free throws14.411.1
77.1%
-11.1
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Macau Black Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Macau Black Bears: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.2
48.8%
-40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.8
33.3%
-29.5
🏀 Free throws16.011.8
74.0%
-11.8
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Terrafirma Dyip
LLLLLLWWWL
Macau Black Bears
WLWLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#11
-4.8
Net rating
-16.2
113.1
Offensive rating
100.6
117.9
Defensive rating
116.8
55.7%
Effective FG%
49.3%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
12.8%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.8%
3-point %
33.3%
52.6%
Assist %
45.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Terrafirma Dyip   ■ Macau Black Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Terrafirma Dyip wins
0
Macau Black Bears wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HNLEX Road Warriors85-95
18/04/26ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel103-111
15/04/26HRain or Shine Elasto Painters117-124
11/04/26ATNT Tropang Giga89-101
07/04/26HMagnolia Hotshots70-85
25/03/26HPhoenix Fuelmasters105-133
18/03/26HBlackwater Bossing99-88
14/03/26AConverge FiberXers111-100 OT
11/03/26ATitan Ultra Giant Risers112-82
08/06/25ABlackwater Bossing82-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/26HBlackwater Bossing123-119
24/04/26ATNT Tropang Giga112-119
21/04/26HTitan Ultra Giant Risers119-107
14/04/26ANLEX Road Warriors97-106
11/04/26HMeralco Bolts110-115
31/03/26ASan Miguel Beermen94-110
28/03/26AMagnolia Hotshots109-121
20/03/26HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel93-110
14/03/26ARain or Shine Elasto Painters109-116
11/03/26HConverge FiberXers94-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Terrafirma Dyip
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%20%50%
Points / game99.095.2103.8
Allowed / game102.1105.098.5
Point differential-3.1-9.8+5.2
Avg total201.1200.2202.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%0%25%
Macau Black Bears
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW20%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game106.0107.8104.2
Allowed / game112.5110.6114.4
Point differential-6.5-2.8-10.2
Avg total218.5218.4218.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters108280%111.2101.6+9.6
2 NLEX Road Warriors108280%102.297.5+4.7
3 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel107370%104.0100.4+3.6
4 Meralco Bolts96367%105.8100.2+5.6
5 TNT Tropang Giga106460%104.199.5+4.6
6 Phoenix Fuelmasters106460%104.2101.9+2.3
7 Magnolia Hotshots105550%103.296.4+6.8
8 San Miguel Beermen105550%103.6106.0-2.4
9 Converge FiberXers104640%101.7101.9-0.2
10 Terrafirma Dyip93633%99.0102.1-3.1
11 Macau Black Bears102820%106.0112.5-6.5
12 Blackwater Bossing102820%101.4110.9-9.5
13 Titan Ultra Giant Risers102820%97.0112.2-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Terrafirma Dyip21332424102
Macau Black Bears203324784
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