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Texas State vs Coastal Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 63-71
31-33 32-38
Position#214
Record6-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#330
Record3-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game78.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Texas State v Coastal Carolina
04 Jan 2024
TEXA63
COAS71
05 Feb 2022
TEXA69
COAS64
09 Jan 2020
TEXA78
COAS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Coastal Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H18/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H21/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A01/12
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#628
W
107-58
107
58
+49
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A16/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#550
W
110-68
110
68
+42
H19/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
37-72
37
72
-35
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-25
45-37
20-26
28-33
25-28
42-46
32-27
41-39
26-36
32-41
36-24
71-34
23-33
50-27
53-30
57-38
18-29
19-43
28-36
37-46
138.8Avg total
71.0Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)69.669.8139.4-0.246%
Season at home (5)80.864.2145.0+16.660%
Season away (8)62.673.2135.9-10.638%
Last 10 (10)71.067.8138.8+3.250%
Last 5 (5)78.468.0146.4+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)61.173.8134.9-12.86%
vs Similar (12)70.564.5135.0+6.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)108.563.0171.5+45.5100%
This opponent (Coastal Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Coastal CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#191
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A17/11
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H19/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#142
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H26/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
72-70 OT
72
70
+2
H30/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H02/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#685
W
110-46
110
46
+64
H05/12
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H09/12
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A18/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-39
49-50
35-36
37-44
21-38
37-32
31-24
27-34
36-47
51-43
52-23
58-23
39-40
41-48
28-37
53-47
40-45
42-40
33-33
32-39
156.1Avg total
78.7Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.378.8158.2+0.525%
Season at home (10)79.177.3156.4+1.830%
Season away (2)80.586.5167.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)78.777.4156.1+1.320%
Last 5 (5)83.675.0158.6+8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.381.4155.8-7.112%
vs Similar (11)68.275.8144.0-7.627%
vs Weaker (2)96.065.5161.5+30.550%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +2.7+2.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +2.7+2.7
Texas StateCoastal Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H18/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H21/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A01/12
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#628
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A16/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#550
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H19/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A30/12
NCAA
58.2Avg total
28.8Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.232.462.7-2.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.931.263.2+0.738%-
Last 30 away (17)28.933.462.3-4.424%-
Last 10 (10)28.829.458.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)31.630.462.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)27.735.763.4-8.00%-
vs Similar (12)31.229.060.2+2.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)44.527.071.5+17.5100%-
This opponent (Coastal Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Coastal CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#191
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A17/11
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#142
L
21-38
21
38
-17
H26/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H02/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#685
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H05/12
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H09/12
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A18/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/12
NCAA
Troy
#98
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H30/12
NCAA
70.8Avg total
34.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.237.170.3-3.917%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.836.272.0-0.426%-
Last 30 away (11)28.738.667.4-9.90%-
Last 10 (10)34.636.270.8-1.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.674.0+2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)33.638.772.2-5.112%-
vs Similar (11)29.234.563.6-5.318%-
vs Weaker (2)46.034.080.0+12.050%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Texas State wins
0
Coastal Carolina wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AJames Madison65-82
22/12/23AHouston37-72
19/12/23HLe Tourneau110-68
16/12/23ASam Houston St.73-60
12/12/23HJarvis Christian107-58
01/12/23ATexas58-77
25/11/23AUT Arlington73-66
22/11/23HSouthern Utah67-74
21/11/23HMcNeese State48-59
18/11/23HUTSA Roadrunners72-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HTroy65-72
21/12/23HN. Carolina A&T82-85
18/12/23ACharleston81-84
09/12/23HWofford80-88
05/12/23HSt. Andrews110-46
02/12/23HWinthrop87-90
30/11/23HUSC Upstate72-70 OT
26/11/23HN. Carolina Central58-70
19/11/23HCharleston72-80
17/11/23AFurman80-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL46%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %46%60%38%
Points / game69.680.862.6
Allowed / game69.864.273.2
Point differential-0.2+16.6-10.6
Avg total139.4145.0135.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Coastal Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLWLLL30%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %25%30%0%
Points / game79.379.180.5
Allowed / game78.877.386.5
Point differential+0.5+1.8-6.0
Avg total158.2156.4167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %8%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison13130100%91.872.0+19.8
2 Appalachian State1310377%78.663.3+15.3
3 South Alabama138562%73.473.4+0.0
4 Troy148657%82.670.9+11.8
5 Louisiana Lafayette137654%77.171.5+5.5
6 Georgia State126650%79.974.2+5.7
7 Marshall157847%75.975.9-0.1
8 Texas State136746%69.669.8-0.2
9 Southern Miss136746%69.871.4-1.6
10 Louisiana Monroe124833%68.772.3-3.7
11 Arkansas State134931%75.578.9-3.5
12 Old Dominion1441029%70.577.0-6.5
13 Coastal Carolina123925%79.378.8+0.5
14 Georgia Southern131128%67.378.2-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State313263
Coastal Carolina333871
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