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Texas State vs Coastal Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 69-64
29-29 40-35
Position#40
Record14-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game63.4
vs
Position#160
Record12-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game65.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Texas State v Coastal Carolina
04 Jan 2024
TEXA63
COAS71
05 Feb 2022
TEXA69
COAS64
09 Jan 2020
TEXA78
COAS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Coastal Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paul Quinn
#445
W
75-36
75
36
+39
H18/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
47-80
47
80
-33
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H15/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A22/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A28/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-20
41-16
22-45
25-35
24-33
39-45
51-33
29-23
32-32
40-36
43-24
26-35
32-32
28-35
21-36
37-34
26-29
32-24
41-29
27-37
128.3Avg total
65.0Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.063.4134.4+7.770%
Season at home (10)74.756.3131.0+18.490%
Season away (10)67.470.4137.8-3.050%
Last 10 (10)65.063.3128.3+1.760%
Last 5 (5)62.663.0125.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.080.0127.0-33.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)66.168.4134.6-2.344%
vs Weaker (20)71.859.0130.8+12.985%
This opponent (Coastal Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Coastal CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H01/01
NCAA
Emory & Henry
#389
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H02/01
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A07/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A13/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
76-84 OT
76
84
-8
H15/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A21/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
72-68 OT
72
68
+4
A22/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H28/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-36
49-28
29-37
35-28
43-23
33-39
29-28
30-41
32-39
28-22
35-38
35-32
31-28
45-44
26-30
33-29
23-16
42-33
35-33
31-40
137.5Avg total
70.8Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.865.6140.4+9.257%
Season at home (13)79.862.9142.7+16.869%
Season away (8)66.869.9136.6-3.138%
Last 10 (10)70.866.7137.5+4.150%
Last 5 (5)71.069.2140.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.581.5147.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)69.870.1139.9-0.450%
vs Weaker (17)73.363.6136.9+9.765%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +2.5+2.5
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +2.5+2.5
Texas StateCoastal Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paul Quinn
#445
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H15/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A22/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A28/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H29/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H03/02
NCAA
63.9Avg total
32.6Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.728.862.5+4.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.027.162.1+7.967%-
Last 30 away (12)31.731.463.1+0.242%-
Last 10 (10)32.631.363.9+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.630.062.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.045.067.0-23.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.829.461.2+2.356%-
vs Weaker (20)35.127.762.8+7.460%-
This opponent (Coastal Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Coastal CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H01/01
NCAA
Emory & Henry
#389
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H02/01
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A13/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H15/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A22/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
23-16
23
16
+7
H28/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H29/01
NCAA
63.6Avg total
32.8Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.464.1+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.129.265.3+6.972%-
Last 30 away (12)30.032.262.2-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)32.830.863.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)30.029.059.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.037.065.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.932.264.1-0.450%-
vs Weaker (17)31.828.960.7+2.959%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Texas State wins
0
Coastal Carolina wins
DateGameScore
07/02/20Coastal Carolina v Texas State63-100
10/01/20Texas State v Coastal Carolina78-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/22HAppalachian State68-66
29/01/22HUT Arlington58-53
28/01/22AUT Arlington58-70
22/01/22AArkansas State60-67
21/01/22AUALR69-59
15/01/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-68
14/01/22HLouisiana Monroe80-56
31/12/21HTroy63-78
23/12/21AHouston47-80
18/12/21HPaul Quinn75-36
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/22HArkansas State66-73
28/01/22HUALR65-49
22/01/22AGeorgia State72-68 OT
21/01/22AGeorgia Southern76-72
15/01/22HAppalachian State76-84 OT
13/01/22AAppalachian State60-61
07/01/22ATroy59-69
02/01/22HEmory & Henry76-62
01/01/22HLouisiana Lafayette64-65
31/12/21HLouisiana Monroe94-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW70%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%90%50%
Points / game71.074.767.4
Allowed / game63.456.370.4
Point differential+7.7+18.4-3.0
Avg total134.4131.0137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Coastal Carolina
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeLWLWL69%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %57%69%38%
Points / game74.879.866.8
Allowed / game65.662.969.9
Point differential+9.2+16.8-3.1
Avg total140.4142.7136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %10%8%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State2115671%72.867.4+5.3
2 Texas State2014670%71.063.4+7.7
3 Troy2316770%70.765.0+5.8
4 South Alabama2315865%73.364.3+9.0
5 James Madison2113862%78.372.6+5.7
6 Appalachian State24141058%67.362.9+4.5
7 Coastal Carolina2112957%74.865.6+9.2
8 Georgia State1910953%72.066.6+5.4
9 Georgia Southern21111052%67.463.2+4.2
10 Louisiana Monroe24121250%72.773.7-1.0
11 Louisiana Lafayette21101148%70.168.1+2.0
12 Old Dominion2191243%67.166.3+0.8
13 Marshall2381535%74.477.1-2.7
14 Southern Miss2261627%62.971.9-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State294069
Coastal Carolina293564
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