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Texas State vs Georgia Southern Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 83-61
42-33 41-28
Position#207
Record7-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game67.6
vs
Position#201
Record7-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Texas State v Georgia Southern
21 Dec 2024
TEXA83
GEOR61
26 Jan 2023
TEXA70
GEOR67
20 Feb 2020
TEXA70
GEOR55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia Southern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McMurry
#571
W
102-62
102
62
+40
H09/11
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A13/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A16/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H21/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H25/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#621
W
97-49
97
49
+48
H05/12
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H08/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
51-23
51-39
37-35
34-41
25-32
35-40
24-44
44-38
41-43
42-37
35-31
39-34
28-28
44-31
50-29
47-20
35-31
40-35
40-43
40-46
148.2Avg total
78.2Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.967.6144.5+9.364%
Season at home (6)80.061.3141.3+18.783%
Season away (5)73.275.2148.4-2.040%
Last 10 (10)78.270.0148.2+8.260%
Last 5 (5)79.665.6145.2+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.873.5140.2-6.838%
vs Similar (14)70.768.5139.2+2.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.263.4143.6+16.975%
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Augusta Jaguars
#379
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H12/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H16/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A16/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
L
87-102
87
102
-15
A17/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A30/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
54-89
54
89
-35
A05/12
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
H08/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A14/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#316
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-32
40-37
36-30
44-45
39-34
50-53
45-48
42-54
24-17
40-37
23-29
24-32
31-39
23-50
36-31
47-52
35-33
28-44
31-41
55-40
152.8Avg total
74.2Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.578.6154.1-3.158%
Season at home (6)80.372.5152.8+7.8100%
Season away (6)70.784.7155.3-14.017%
Last 10 (10)74.278.6152.8-4.460%
Last 5 (5)68.679.8148.4-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.280.6153.9-7.429%
vs Similar (9)82.680.3162.9+2.267%
vs Weaker (3)75.067.0142.0+8.067%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: -5.1-5.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: -5.1-5.1
Texas StateGeorgia Southern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McMurry
#571
W
51-23
51
23
+28
H09/11
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A13/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A16/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H21/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H25/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#621
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/12
NCAA
70.5Avg total
36.6Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.665.7+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.631.666.2+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)31.533.665.1-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)36.633.970.5+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.632.470.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.036.165.1-7.125%-
vs Similar (14)32.632.264.9+0.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.929.867.6+8.175%-
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Augusta Jaguars
#379
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H12/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H16/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A16/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A17/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
24-17
24
17
+7
H23/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A30/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A05/12
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H08/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A14/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#316
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H18/12
NCAA
67.3Avg total
33.9Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.634.970.5+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.132.969.9+4.280%-
Last 30 away (15)34.136.971.0-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)33.933.467.3+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)31.234.665.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.435.871.1-0.453%-
vs Similar (9)36.835.672.3+1.267%-
vs Weaker (3)32.328.761.0+3.767%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Texas State wins
2
Georgia Southern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AFlorida Atlantic80-89
08/12/24HRice75-66
05/12/24HArlington Baptist Patriots97-49
01/12/24ATexas Southern72-59
25/11/24HOhio74-65
23/11/24APrinceton83-80
21/11/24HBradley68-82
16/11/24AAbilene Christian60-72
13/11/24ATCU71-76
09/11/24HMcMurry102-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HGardner Webb86-81
14/12/24ALouisiana Tech63-77
08/12/24HNorth Florida93-91 OT
05/12/24AVCU Rams54-89
30/11/24ADrake47-61
23/11/24HWest Georgia64-54
17/11/24AWilliam & Mary87-102
16/11/24AWinthrop89-87
16/11/24HN. Carolina Central80-75
12/11/24HAugusta Jaguars79-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%83%40%
Points / game76.980.073.2
Allowed / game67.661.375.2
Point differential+9.3+18.7-2.0
Avg total144.5141.3148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia Southern
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%100%17%
Points / game75.580.370.7
Allowed / game78.672.584.7
Point differential-3.1+7.8-14.0
Avg total154.1152.8155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State1310377%80.771.5+9.2
2 Troy128467%75.466.4+9.0
3 South Alabama128467%72.364.5+7.8
4 Texas State117464%76.967.6+9.3
5 Georgia Southern127558%75.578.6-3.1
6 Marshall137654%77.372.2+5.1
7 Appalachian State126650%70.065.0+5.0
8 James Madison126650%72.869.9+2.9
9 Coastal Carolina126650%68.869.3-0.6
10 Southern Miss125742%71.576.7-5.2
11 Georgia State124833%71.679.8-8.2
12 Old Dominion124833%68.977.6-8.7
13 Louisiana Monroe1441029%72.872.4+0.4
14 Louisiana Lafayette123925%66.476.8-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State424183
Georgia Southern332861
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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