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Georgia Southern vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 84-76
37-28 47-48
Position#341
Record5-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#214
Record11-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Georgia Southern v Texas State
04 Feb 2026
GEOR71
TEXA77
22 Feb 2024
GEOR84
TEXA76
19 Dec 2019
GEOR67
TEXA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia Southern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H19/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H20/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A28/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
63-84
63
84
-21
H02/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
H03/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A08/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A16/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-33
39-37
43-31
43-39
43-48
31-36
31-22
45-48
29-44
34-40
41-35
33-39
33-41
32-37
33-45
39-27
30-39
45-43
29-35
51-52
154.9Avg total
75.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)71.479.8151.2-8.419%
Season at home (9)74.874.9149.7-0.133%
Season away (18)69.782.3151.9-12.611%
Last 10 (10)75.779.2154.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)77.082.8159.8-5.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.180.2149.3-11.111%
vs Similar (10)72.476.1148.5-3.740%
vs Weaker (2)73.569.5143.0+4.050%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
68-86
68
86
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H03/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-44
39-42
36-43
36-36
34-39
31-39
24-30
22-36
28-24
46-42
31-24
29-31
29-26
34-30
37-31
31-29
18-35
37-37
38-33
36-45
134.1Avg total
64.5Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)68.070.1138.1-2.041%
Season at home (13)72.867.2140.0+5.754%
Season away (14)63.672.8136.4-9.229%
Last 10 (10)64.569.6134.1-5.140%
Last 5 (5)64.064.2128.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)58.272.7130.9-14.417%
vs Similar (14)70.466.9137.3+3.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)86.862.8149.5+24.075%
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -2.6-2.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -2.6-2.6
Georgia SouthernTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H19/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H20/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
31-22
31
22
+9
A28/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H02/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H03/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H10/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A16/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A17/02
NCAA
71.9Avg total
34.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.837.770.4-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.334.668.9-0.455%-
Last 30 away (19)31.939.471.3-7.521%-
Last 10 (10)34.637.371.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)33.239.072.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.139.872.8-6.728%-
vs Similar (10)32.534.066.5-1.540%-
vs Weaker (2)31.537.068.5-5.550%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H18/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
18-35
18
35
-17
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A17/02
NCAA
63.3Avg total
30.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.832.062.8-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.530.462.8+2.162%-
Last 30 away (17)29.633.262.8-3.635%-
Last 10 (10)30.432.963.3-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)30.629.860.4+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)27.235.162.2-7.98%-
vs Similar (14)31.930.262.1+1.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)38.229.067.2+9.275%-
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Georgia Southern wins
2
Texas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AJames Madison80-87
16/02/24ACoastal Carolina75-82
10/02/24HBuffalo81-82 OT
08/02/24ASouth Alabama65-78
03/02/24HAppalachian State84-85 OT
02/02/24HTroy63-84
28/01/24AOld Dominion76-70
25/01/24AAppalachian State74-84
20/01/24HGeorgia State86-70
19/01/24HCoastal Carolina73-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24ASouthern Miss74-78
16/02/24ASouth Alabama55-72
10/02/24HBall State68-60
08/02/24HAppalachian State63-56
03/02/24HSouthern Miss60-55
02/02/24HSouth Alabama74-66
28/01/24ALouisiana Lafayette46-66
25/01/24ATroy65-78
20/01/24HArkansas State72-79
18/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette68-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia Southern
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27918
Win %19%33%11%
Points / game71.474.869.7
Allowed / game79.874.982.3
Point differential-8.4-0.1-12.6
Avg total151.2149.7151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %7%22%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL41%
HomeLWWWW54%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%54%29%
Points / game68.072.863.6
Allowed / game70.167.272.8
Point differential-2.0+5.7-9.2
Avg total138.1140.0136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%23%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison2825389%84.868.6+16.1
2 Appalachian State2823582%78.866.8+12.0
3 Troy2718967%79.969.4+10.4
4 Louisiana Lafayette27171063%77.170.9+6.2
5 Southern Miss27151256%70.470.1+0.2
6 Georgia State27131448%76.974.1+2.8
7 Arkansas State27131448%79.678.4+1.2
8 South Alabama27131448%73.475.8-2.4
9 Marshall28121643%74.176.5-2.4
10 Texas State27111641%68.070.1-2.0
11 Louisiana Monroe25101540%70.374.5-4.2
12 Coastal Carolina2681831%74.878.9-4.1
13 Old Dominion2862221%70.476.1-5.8
14 Georgia Southern2752219%71.479.8-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia Southern374784
Texas State284876
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