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Texas State vs Georgia Southern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 70-67
31-36 39-31
Position#236
Record10-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game64.6
Allowed / game64.9
vs
Position#198
Record12-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game65.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Texas State v Georgia Southern
21 Dec 2024
TEXA83
GEOR61
26 Jan 2023
TEXA70
GEOR67
20 Feb 2020
TEXA70
GEOR55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia Southern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H17/12
NCAA
University of Sciences
#398
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H21/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H30/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A06/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A07/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A14/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-39
28-30
41-29
46-43
25-32
28-25
22-20
30-35
27-27
36-35
36-21
28-37
28-24
33-34
25-22
33-39
33-33
40-48
22-27
29-33
125.7Avg total
62.4Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)64.664.9129.4-0.348%
Season at home (10)66.366.6132.9-0.330%
Season away (11)63.063.3126.3-0.364%
Last 10 (10)62.463.3125.7-0.940%
Last 5 (5)61.463.6125.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.565.2128.8-1.838%
vs Similar ◀ (10)63.565.0128.5-1.560%
vs Weaker (8)68.661.8130.4+6.975%
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campbell
#225
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H17/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A22/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A31/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H06/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
H07/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A12/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A15/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H20/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-20
32-33
24-17
30-41
35-25
29-25
37-36
36-28
48-36
33-40
34-32
35-37
33-33
34-32
30-39
41-44
25-35
34-37
34-16
24-36
131.0Avg total
65.6Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)68.265.2133.4+3.057%
Season at home (12)69.961.4131.3+8.567%
Season away (9)65.970.3136.2-4.444%
Last 10 (10)65.665.4131.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)66.070.6136.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.268.2132.5-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)64.768.9133.6-4.333%
vs Weaker (6)68.056.2124.2+11.883%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: -2.5-2.5
Texas StateGeorgia Southern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H17/12
NCAA
University of Sciences
#398
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H30/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A06/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A07/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A14/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H21/01
NCAA
56.7Avg total
29.3Scored
27.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.628.459.0+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.529.961.4+1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)29.827.156.9+2.869%-
Last 10 (10)29.327.456.7+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)28.825.454.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.627.657.2+2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)29.028.557.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (8)31.928.460.2+3.575%-
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campbell
#225
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
24-17
24
17
+7
A22/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A31/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H06/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A12/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A15/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H20/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H21/01
NCAA
61.1Avg total
32.2Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.530.263.6+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.127.962.0+6.176%-
Last 30 away (13)32.733.165.8-0.446%-
Last 10 (10)32.228.961.1+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)31.231.062.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.030.164.1+3.962%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)30.932.163.0-1.353%-
vs Weaker (6)35.024.359.3+10.783%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas State wins
1
Georgia Southern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HLouisiana Lafayette51-60
20/01/23HMarshall73-81
14/01/23ALouisiana Monroe58-61
13/01/23AArkansas State61-58
07/01/23ASouth Alabama64-58
06/01/23AJames Madison63-62
31/12/22HTroy52-55
30/12/22HLouisiana Monroe53-57
21/12/22HUniversity of Sciences87-72
17/12/22HSam Houston St.62-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HGeorgia State58-52
20/01/23HLouisiana Monroe59-72
15/01/23AJames Madison71-83
12/01/23AAppalachian State67-65
07/01/23HOld Dominion75-81 OT
06/01/23HMarshall81-76
31/12/22ACoastal Carolina73-64
30/12/22HSouth Alabama64-50
22/12/22ABall State54-58
17/12/22HCampbell54-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL48%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%30%64%
Points / game64.666.363.0
Allowed / game64.966.663.3
Point differential-0.3-0.3-0.3
Avg total129.4132.9126.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia Southern
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %57%67%44%
Points / game68.269.965.9
Allowed / game65.261.470.3
Point differential+3.0+8.5-4.4
Avg total133.4131.3136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss2117481%75.963.9+12.0
2 Louisiana Lafayette2016480%80.070.8+9.2
3 Marshall2217577%81.970.2+11.7
4 James Madison2214864%84.067.5+16.5
5 Troy2113862%74.664.7+9.9
6 Georgia Southern2112957%68.265.2+3.0
7 Old Dominion2011955%68.066.5+1.5
8 Appalachian State22121055%73.364.8+8.5
9 Coastal Carolina21101148%75.471.9+3.5
10 Texas State21101148%64.664.9-0.3
11 Louisiana Monroe22101245%70.269.5+0.7
12 Georgia State2191243%66.564.6+1.9
13 Arkansas State2191243%66.267.0-0.8
14 South Alabama2081240%69.368.0+1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State313970
Georgia Southern363167
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