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Texas State vs Georgia State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 94-80
46-35 48-45
Position#207
Record9-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#274
Record7-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game78.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Texas State v Georgia State
15 Jan 2025
TEXA94
GEOR80
28 Feb 2023
TEXA81
GEOR76
22 Feb 2020
TEXA86
GEOR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#223
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#621
W
97-49
97
49
+48
H05/12
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H08/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A14/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H21/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H29/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A03/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A04/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A10/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-28
44-31
50-29
47-20
35-31
40-35
40-43
40-46
42-33
41-28
39-32
33-48
25-37
46-40
30-38
31-34
32-41
42-32
30-45
46-31
149.1Avg total
77.3Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.270.5146.7+5.653%
Season at home (8)79.463.6143.0+15.875%
Season away (9)73.376.7150.0-3.333%
Last 10 (10)77.371.8149.1+5.550%
Last 5 (5)73.278.8152.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.571.8143.3-0.367%
vs Similar (15)69.969.5139.4+0.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.967.3150.2+15.667%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#71
L
76-105
76
105
-29
A30/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H14/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
59-100
59
100
-41
A18/12
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A21/12
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H28/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
51-77
51
77
-26
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H05/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
82-78 OT
82
78
+4
H09/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-48
43-57
39-36
38-45
25-32
38-45
31-43
28-57
25-39
32-38
37-40
31-31
30-33
21-44
51-32
43-38
38-38
31-31
31-44
48-30
151.6Avg total
70.6Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.578.1150.6-5.541%
Season at home (12)75.772.7148.3+3.058%
Season away (5)65.091.0156.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)70.681.0151.6-10.430%
Last 5 (5)74.874.0148.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)69.583.4152.8-13.915%
vs Similar (9)69.669.2138.8+0.356%
vs Weaker (8)80.974.9155.8+6.062%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -6.3-6.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -6.3-6.3
Texas StateGeorgia State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#223
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#621
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H21/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H29/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A03/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A04/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A11/01
NCAA
70.8Avg total
35.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.266.7+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.230.666.8+5.679%-
Last 30 away (16)31.235.466.6-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)35.135.770.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)31.238.669.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.536.265.7-6.733%-
vs Similar (15)32.532.765.2-0.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.031.969.9+6.167%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#71
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A30/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H14/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A18/12
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H28/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H05/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H09/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H11/01
NCAA
72.5Avg total
34.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.536.270.7-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.035.070.9+1.040%-
Last 30 away (10)31.638.870.4-7.240%-
Last 10 (10)34.038.572.5-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.474.8+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.738.871.5-6.223%-
vs Similar (9)31.935.066.9-3.122%-
vs Weaker (8)40.433.473.8+7.088%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Texas State wins
1
Georgia State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25ASouthern Miss88-92 OT
10/01/25ATroy74-73
04/01/25AAppalachian State61-72
03/01/25AMarshall71-77
29/12/24HUT Arlington72-80
21/12/24HGeorgia Southern83-61
14/12/24AFlorida Atlantic80-89
08/12/24HRice75-66
05/12/24HArlington Baptist Patriots97-49
01/12/24ATexas Southern72-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HCoastal Carolina79-74
09/01/25HGeorgia Southern82-78 OT
05/01/25HLouisiana Lafayette94-70
03/01/25HSouth Alabama51-77
28/12/24HMercer68-71
21/12/24ATroy57-77
18/12/24AAuburn59-100
14/12/24HCharlotte63-77
07/12/24HKennesaw State77-81
30/11/24AKentucky76-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL53%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%75%33%
Points / game76.279.473.3
Allowed / game70.563.676.7
Point differential+5.6+15.8-3.3
Avg total146.7143.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Georgia State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW41%
HomeLLWWW58%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %41%58%0%
Points / game72.575.765.0
Allowed / game78.172.791.0
Point differential-5.5+3.0-26.0
Avg total150.6148.3156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Alabama1712571%74.561.5+12.9
2 Arkansas State1712571%78.571.2+7.4
3 Troy1711665%74.166.5+7.6
4 Appalachian State169756%70.864.2+6.6
5 Marshall1810856%75.571.6+3.9
6 Texas State179853%76.270.5+5.6
7 James Madison179853%74.470.8+3.6
8 Coastal Carolina178947%68.468.2+0.2
9 Southern Miss178947%73.976.6-2.6
10 Old Dominion178947%69.673.4-3.7
11 Georgia Southern178947%73.679.2-5.6
12 Georgia State1771041%72.578.1-5.5
13 Louisiana Lafayette1751229%66.275.6-9.5
14 Louisiana Monroe1941521%70.873.9-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State464894
Georgia State354580
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