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Texas State vs Louisiana Lafayette Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-86
29-44 39-42
Position#214
Record7-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game70.4
Texas State
USA
vs
Louisiana Lafayette 🏆
USA
Position#147
Record9-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Texas State v Louisiana Lafayette
14 Jan 2026
TEXA59
LOUI54
30 Jan 2025
TEXA61
LOUI70
17 Jan 2024
TEXA68
LOUI86
21 Jan 2023
TEXA51
LOUI60
05 Mar 2022
TEXA72
LOUI79
15 Jan 2022
TEXA72
LOUI68
30 Jan 2021
TEXA73
LOUI74
29 Jan 2021
TEXA60
LOUI62
01 Feb 2020
TEXA71
LOUI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisiana Lafayette winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#112
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A01/12
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#628
W
107-58
107
58
+49
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A16/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#550
W
110-68
110
68
+42
H19/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
37-72
37
72
-35
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H05/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-36
32-41
36-24
71-34
23-33
50-27
53-30
57-38
18-29
19-43
28-36
37-46
31-33
32-38
40-37
35-42
39-38
43-47
33-29
34-25
144.3Avg total
73.7Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.170.4140.5-0.241%
Season at home (7)77.467.3144.7+10.143%
Season away (10)65.072.5137.5-7.540%
Last 10 (10)73.770.6144.3+3.140%
Last 5 (5)70.474.2144.6-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)60.974.3135.2-13.47%
vs Similar (12)72.967.5140.4+5.467%
vs Weaker (4)86.862.8149.5+24.075%
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#12
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A01/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A09/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H14/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A17/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
84-67
84
67
+17
A23/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A30/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H07/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A11/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-42
39-46
23-42
44-30
27-25
46-37
33-28
39-46
40-26
44-41
25-39
36-36
23-22
38-46
40-36
45-41
30-37
43-42
42-37
42-40
146.4Avg total
72.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.872.4149.2+4.453%
Season at home (8)79.565.1144.6+14.488%
Season away (9)74.378.9153.2-4.622%
Last 10 (10)72.573.9146.4-1.440%
Last 5 (5)72.875.2148.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.671.9138.5-5.212%
vs Similar (10)77.075.8152.8+1.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)77.566.5143.9+11.091%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +1.1+1.1
Texas StateLouisiana Lafayette
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#112
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A01/12
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#628
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A16/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#550
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H19/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/01
NCAA
65.2Avg total
32.7Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.333.164.4-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.331.765.0+1.750%-
Last 30 away (18)29.934.063.9-4.128%-
Last 10 (10)32.732.565.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.234.668.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)27.736.564.2-8.80%-
vs Similar (12)33.230.463.6+2.767%-
vs Weaker (4)38.229.067.2+9.275%-
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#12
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A01/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A09/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H14/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A17/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A23/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A30/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
23-22
23
22
+1
H05/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H07/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A13/01
NCAA
64.3Avg total
30.9Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.132.067.1+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.329.867.1+7.576%-
Last 30 away (13)32.234.867.0-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)30.933.464.3-2.560%-
Last 5 (5)32.034.266.2-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.232.659.9-5.438%-
vs Similar (10)35.834.169.9+1.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.029.667.6+8.482%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Texas State wins
7
Louisiana Lafayette wins
DateGameScore
06/03/23Louisiana Lafayette v Texas State64-58
03/02/23Louisiana Lafayette v Texas State82-63
21/01/23Texas State v Louisiana Lafayette51-60
05/03/22Texas State v Louisiana Lafayette72-79
11/02/22Louisiana Lafayette v Texas State73-82
15/01/22Texas State v Louisiana Lafayette72-68
30/01/21Texas State v Louisiana Lafayette73-74
29/01/21Texas State v Louisiana Lafayette60-62
02/01/21Louisiana Lafayette v Texas State59-71
02/01/21Louisiana Lafayette v Texas State83-77 OT
Texas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ALouisiana Monroe67-54
12/01/24AArkansas State82-85
06/01/24HMarshall75-79
05/01/24HCoastal Carolina63-71
30/12/23AJames Madison65-82
22/12/23AHouston37-72
19/12/23HLe Tourneau110-68
16/12/23ASam Houston St.73-60
12/12/23HJarvis Christian107-58
01/12/23ATexas58-77
Louisiana Lafayettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AArkansas State84-77
11/01/24ATroy73-79
07/01/24HCoastal Carolina85-77
05/01/24HJames Madison61-68
30/12/23AMarshall61-75
23/12/23ARice84-67
17/12/23AMcNeese State72-74
14/12/23HEastern Kentucky73-62
09/12/23ALouisiana Tech67-72
01/12/23ASamford65-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW41%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %41%43%40%
Points / game70.177.465.0
Allowed / game70.467.372.5
Point differential-0.2+10.1-7.5
Avg total140.5144.7137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%43%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisiana Lafayette
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLWLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%88%22%
Points / game76.879.574.3
Allowed / game72.465.178.9
Point differential+4.4+14.4-4.6
Avg total149.2144.6153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%62%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison1715288%86.870.1+16.7
2 Appalachian State1814478%76.763.4+13.3
3 Troy1711665%81.469.6+11.8
4 Georgia State179853%79.873.8+6.1
5 Louisiana Lafayette179853%76.872.4+4.4
6 Southern Miss179853%70.271.3-1.1
7 South Alabama179853%74.177.0-2.9
8 Marshall189950%76.776.6+0.1
9 Texas State1771041%70.170.4-0.2
10 Arkansas State1771041%78.979.4-0.5
11 Coastal Carolina1651131%76.577.4-0.9
12 Louisiana Monroe1541127%66.972.1-5.2
13 Old Dominion1741324%71.077.9-6.9
14 Georgia Southern1721512%68.880.2-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State293968
Louisiana Lafayette444286
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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