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Texas State vs Louisiana Lafayette Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 59-54
29-22 30-32
Position#125
Record9-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#320
Record4-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game60.6
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Texas State v Louisiana Lafayette
14 Jan 2026
TEXA59
LOUI54
30 Jan 2025
TEXA61
LOUI70
17 Jan 2024
TEXA68
LOUI86
21 Jan 2023
TEXA51
LOUI60
05 Mar 2022
TEXA72
LOUI79
15 Jan 2022
TEXA72
LOUI68
30 Jan 2021
TEXA73
LOUI74
29 Jan 2021
TEXA60
LOUI62
01 Feb 2020
TEXA71
LOUI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisiana Lafayette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A28/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H29/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A04/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
70-89
70
89
-19
H18/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H20/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
70-80 OT
70
80
-10
A09/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
19-33
34-34
32-32
28-40
44-37
38-38
48-45
32-41
38-48
25-39
42-26
33-45
47-55
46-40
38-39
28-29
37-36
37-43
45-40
153.7Avg total
73.7Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.972.2147.1+2.750%
Season at home (10)78.965.2144.1+13.780%
Season away (8)69.980.9150.8-11.012%
Last 10 (10)73.780.0153.7-6.330%
Last 5 (5)76.681.4158.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.080.7149.7-11.717%
vs Similar (11)75.081.7156.7-6.727%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)75.863.6139.4+12.269%
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#286
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A04/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H06/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
44-65
44
65
-21
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A19/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A20/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H28/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H09/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-27
26-38
38-39
25-31
19-31
25-34
17-24
37-38
39-25
37-37
33-25
30-29
30-31
28-32
27-33
40-41
37-36
48-43
35-53
35-37
131.9Avg total
63.5Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)60.670.3130.9-9.722%
Season at home (9)63.466.6130.0-3.133%
Season away (9)57.874.1131.9-16.311%
Last 10 (10)63.568.4131.9-4.930%
Last 5 (5)68.672.0140.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)60.872.2133.0-11.418%
vs Similar (5)64.262.2126.4+2.080%
vs Weaker (3)68.764.0132.7+4.767%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -2.9-2.9
Texas StateLouisiana Lafayette
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A28/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H29/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H18/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H20/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A09/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/01
NCAA
71.6Avg total
33.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.833.668.4+1.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.132.168.1+4.053%-
Last 30 away (13)33.235.568.7-2.423%-
Last 10 (10)33.438.271.6-4.810%-
Last 5 (5)33.839.273.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.036.569.5-3.517%-
vs Similar (11)31.537.869.4-6.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.428.667.0+9.885%-
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#286
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A04/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H06/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
17-24
17
24
-7
A19/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A20/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H28/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H31/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H09/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H10/01
NCAA
62.8Avg total
30.4Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.031.759.6-3.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.131.461.6-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)26.131.957.9-5.838%-
Last 10 (10)30.432.462.8-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.668.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)27.232.960.1-5.632%-
vs Similar (5)29.227.456.6+1.880%-
vs Weaker (3)31.330.061.3+1.367%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Texas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AArkansas State82-83
09/01/26ASouthern Miss70-80 OT
03/01/26ALouisiana Monroe84-79
31/12/25ATroy80-100
20/12/25HSouth Alabama67-65
18/12/25HArkansas State70-89
11/12/25HSouthern Univ.86-83
04/12/25ARice72-77
29/11/25HLehigh74-78 OT
28/11/25ASeattle52-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HTroy70-90
09/01/26HLouisiana Monroe85-79
03/01/26HSouthern Miss67-74
31/12/25HSouth Alabama58-63
28/12/25HNorfolk State63-54
20/12/25ALouisiana Monroe76-62
19/12/25ASouthern Miss54-62
13/12/25ALouisiana Tech44-65
06/12/25HNC Wilmington63-70
04/12/25ALamar55-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWLWLW80%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%80%12%
Points / game74.978.969.9
Allowed / game72.265.280.9
Point differential+2.7+13.7-11.0
Avg total147.1144.1150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %11%10%12%
Louisiana Lafayette
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL22%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %22%33%11%
Points / game60.663.457.8
Allowed / game70.366.674.1
Point differential-9.7-3.1-16.3
Avg total130.9130.0131.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State1712571%83.378.0+5.3
2 Troy1812667%86.276.3+9.9
3 Georgia Southern1812667%83.779.8+3.9
4 Marshall1811761%79.675.8+3.8
5 South Alabama1710759%73.368.1+5.2
6 Southern Miss1911858%75.473.4+2.0
7 Appalachian State1810856%72.466.7+5.7
8 James Madison179853%74.876.5-1.7
9 Coastal Carolina1910953%73.172.4+0.7
10 Texas State189950%74.972.2+2.7
11 Georgia State1861233%70.374.8-4.6
12 Old Dominion1851328%73.477.0-3.6
13 Louisiana Lafayette1841422%60.670.3-9.7
14 Louisiana Monroe1831517%73.782.6-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State293059
Louisiana Lafayette223254
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