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Texas State vs Louisiana Lafayette Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 72-68
32-32 40-36
Position#40
Record10-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game63.1
vs
Position#188
Record8-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Texas State v Louisiana Lafayette
14 Jan 2026
TEXA59
LOUI54
30 Jan 2025
TEXA61
LOUI70
17 Jan 2024
TEXA68
LOUI86
21 Jan 2023
TEXA51
LOUI60
05 Mar 2022
TEXA72
LOUI79
15 Jan 2022
TEXA72
LOUI68
30 Jan 2021
TEXA73
LOUI74
29 Jan 2021
TEXA60
LOUI62
01 Feb 2020
TEXA71
LOUI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisiana Lafayette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#175
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A21/11
NCAA
LeTourneau
#573
W
92-47
92
47
+45
H25/11
NCAA
Rice
#197
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A01/12
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H05/12
NCAA
Southwestern Pirates
#608
W
101-54
101
54
+47
H12/12
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H16/12
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#445
W
75-36
75
36
+39
H18/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
47-80
47
80
-33
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-33
56-41
47-27
45-20
26-38
54-31
35-28
36-30
59-22
42-32
31-18
36-29
34-20
41-16
22-45
25-35
24-33
39-45
51-33
29-23
135.6Avg total
75.7Scored
59.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.063.1137.1+10.971%
Season at home (7)78.453.7132.1+24.786%
Season away (7)69.672.6142.1-3.057%
Last 10 (10)75.759.9135.6+15.880%
Last 5 (5)66.459.4125.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.080.0127.0-33.00%
vs Similar (10)67.569.2136.7-1.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)72.457.2129.6+15.295%
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#287
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A24/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#286
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H27/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H04/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H09/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#67
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A11/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A15/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
71-55
71
55
+16
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A01/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
H07/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-42
32-51
33-44
37-31
34-32
46-35
45-35
38-33
34-31
35-47
23-41
33-30
43-19
28-36
37-29
28-35
35-30
38-43
33-39
40-44
146.0Avg total
72.9Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.769.4141.1+2.457%
Season at home (6)80.267.7147.8+12.583%
Season away (8)65.470.6136.0-5.238%
Last 10 (10)72.973.1146.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)69.670.0139.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)65.874.2140.0-8.525%
vs Similar (20)74.372.2146.4+2.165%
vs Weaker (5)73.871.4145.2+2.440%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +10.1+10.12nd half: -3.0-3.0
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +10.1+10.12nd half: -3.0-3.0
Texas StateLouisiana Lafayette
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#175
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A21/11
NCAA
LeTourneau
#573
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H25/11
NCAA
Rice
#197
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A01/12
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/12
NCAA
Southwestern Pirates
#608
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H12/12
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
31-18
31
18
+13
H16/12
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#445
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H14/01
NCAA
65.1Avg total
35.4Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.928.262.1+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.426.561.9+8.973%-
Last 30 away (15)32.430.062.4+2.460%-
Last 10 (10)35.429.765.1+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)32.429.862.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.045.067.0-23.00%-
vs Similar (10)30.529.359.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)36.326.863.1+9.579%-
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#287
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A24/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#286
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H27/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H04/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H09/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#67
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A11/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A15/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A01/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/01
NCAA
70.6Avg total
36.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.467.7+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.632.367.9+3.258%-
Last 30 away (18)33.634.167.6-0.556%-
Last 10 (10)36.434.270.6+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)34.231.665.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.238.270.5-6.050%-
vs Similar (20)34.232.266.4+2.055%-
vs Weaker (5)35.436.271.6-0.860%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Texas State wins
3
Louisiana Lafayette wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/22HLouisiana Monroe80-56
31/12/21HTroy63-78
23/12/21AHouston47-80
18/12/21HPaul Quinn75-36
16/12/21HLamar67-47
12/12/21HSouthwestern Pirates101-54
05/12/21HDenver71-58
01/12/21ARice80-69
25/11/21HLeTourneau92-47
21/11/21AEast. Washington81-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/22AUT Arlington73-83
07/01/22HArkansas State83-77 OT
01/01/22ACoastal Carolina65-64
30/12/21AAppalachian State71-55
15/12/21AHouston56-71
11/12/21ALouisiana Tech69-78
09/12/21HMcNeese State83-68
04/12/21HNew Orleans80-67
27/11/21HJackson State70-75
24/11/21AMarshall79-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW71%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game74.078.469.6
Allowed / game63.153.772.6
Point differential+10.9+24.7-3.0
Avg total137.1132.1142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%86%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisiana Lafayette
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%83%38%
Points / game71.780.265.4
Allowed / game69.467.770.6
Point differential+2.4+12.5-5.2
Avg total141.1147.8136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison1411379%79.167.2+11.9
2 Arkansas State1511473%75.569.4+6.1
3 Texas State1410471%74.063.1+10.9
4 Troy1712571%72.264.4+7.8
5 South Alabama1611569%75.063.7+11.3
6 Georgia Southern148657%70.662.9+7.7
7 Louisiana Lafayette148657%71.769.4+2.4
8 Louisiana Monroe1810856%76.876.3+0.4
9 Georgia State137654%74.467.5+6.9
10 Coastal Carolina179853%76.065.6+10.4
11 Appalachian State1910953%67.763.6+4.1
12 Old Dominion157847%66.765.5+1.3
13 Marshall167944%76.176.0+0.1
14 Southern Miss1551033%61.472.1-10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State324072
Louisiana Lafayette323668
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