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Texas State vs Ohio Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 74-65
35-31 39-34
Position#207
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#205
Record2-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game83.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#353
W
92-83 OT
92
83
+9
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A09/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A11/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H05/11
NCAA
McMurry
#571
W
102-62
102
62
+40
H09/11
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A13/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A16/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H21/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-38
46-36
34-23
41-36
33-30
41-38
29-37
39-36
35-22
29-22
51-23
51-39
37-35
34-41
25-32
35-40
24-44
44-38
41-43
42-37
145.6Avg total
75.7Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.769.3144.0+5.350%
Season at home (3)78.062.7140.7+15.367%
Season away (3)71.376.0147.3-4.733%
Last 10 (10)75.769.9145.6+5.860%
Last 5 (5)76.874.4151.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)63.674.2137.8-10.630%
vs Similar ◀ (12)70.570.3140.8+0.250%
vs Weaker (8)76.066.1142.1+9.962%
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#362
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A06/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A09/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H14/03
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A15/03
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A05/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A13/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A16/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
A21/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-33
38-33
26-27
46-32
35-22
47-33
26-16
36-49
26-41
52-47
42-34
40-42
37-40
38-45
38-43
32-51
31-32
44-43
46-30
39-43
150.9Avg total
76.5Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.583.2161.7-4.733%
Season at home (1)82.076.0158.0+6.0100%
Season away (5)77.884.6162.4-6.820%
Last 10 (10)76.574.4150.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)78.682.2160.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.876.4149.2-3.633%
vs Weaker (18)80.067.7147.7+12.372%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -0.6-0.6
Texas StateOhio
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#353
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A09/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A11/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H05/11
NCAA
McMurry
#571
W
51-23
51
23
+28
H09/11
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A13/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A16/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H21/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/11
NCAA
66.4Avg total
33.7Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.033.065.0-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.632.465.9+1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)30.633.564.1-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)33.732.766.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.471.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)27.835.463.2-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.232.865.9+0.467%-
vs Weaker (8)35.530.265.8+5.262%-
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#362
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H14/03
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
26-16
26
16
+10
A15/03
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A05/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A13/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A22/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.7Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.932.568.3+3.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.830.167.8+7.762%-
Last 30 away (17)34.434.368.7+0.141%-
Last 10 (10)34.731.866.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.874.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.634.867.4-2.233%-
vs Weaker (18)38.130.968.9+7.261%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas State wins
0
Ohio wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24APrinceton83-80
21/11/24HBradley68-82
16/11/24AAbilene Christian60-72
13/11/24ATCU71-76
09/11/24HMcMurry102-62
05/11/24HEastern Michigan64-44
11/03/24AJames Madison68-73
09/03/24ATroy74-68
07/03/24ASouthern Miss75-59
06/03/24HOld Dominion92-83 OT
Ohiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24APortland85-73
21/11/24AMiddle Tenn. St.81-83 OT
16/11/24AMemphis70-94
13/11/24AIllinois State75-85
10/11/24HUNC Asheville82-76
05/11/24AJames Madison78-88
15/03/24AAkron62-65
14/03/24HWestern Michigan82-55
09/03/24AMiami (Ohio)72-59
06/03/24ABuffalo78-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game74.778.071.3
Allowed / game69.362.776.0
Point differential+5.3+15.3-4.7
Avg total144.0140.7147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohio
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %33%100%20%
Points / game78.582.077.8
Allowed / game83.276.084.6
Point differential-4.7+6.0-6.8
Avg total161.7158.0162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State54180%80.267.0+13.2
2 Georgia Southern75271%80.477.7+2.7
3 South Alabama53260%72.865.8+7.0
4 Appalachian State53260%74.269.4+4.8
5 Marshall53260%75.070.4+4.6
6 Georgia State53260%80.676.8+3.8
7 Troy53260%71.269.4+1.8
8 James Madison74357%79.671.3+8.3
9 Texas State63350%74.769.3+5.3
10 Southern Miss42250%85.283.0+2.2
11 Louisiana Monroe83538%73.669.6+4.0
12 Coastal Carolina62433%63.867.7-3.8
13 Old Dominion62433%66.280.0-13.8
14 Louisiana Lafayette61517%66.280.2-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State54180%73.664.6+9.0
2 Toledo75271%80.378.0+2.3
3 Akron64267%83.276.3+6.8
4 Central Michigan53260%72.866.8+6.0
5 Eastern Michigan53260%66.465.6+0.8
6 Miami (Ohio)42250%75.077.0-2.0
7 Buffalo63350%76.780.7-4.0
8 Bowling Green62433%79.374.2+5.2
9 Western Michigan62433%72.569.8+2.7
10 Northern Illinois62433%68.272.0-3.8
11 Ohio62433%78.583.2-4.7
12 Ball State51420%73.074.4-1.4
13 UMass61517%74.779.8-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State353974
Ohio313465
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