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Valur vs Thorl Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 80-71 (OT)
18-19 12-16 23-13 12-17 15-6
Position#4
Record9-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game91.4
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#11
Record4-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game99.1
IcelandPremier leagueRound 15· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valur v Thorl
22 Jan 2026
VALU80
THOR71
10 Oct 2024
VALU88
THOR95
04 Jan 2024
VALU90
THOR82
02 May 2023
VALU102
THOR95
27 Apr 2023
VALU91
THOR65
21 Apr 2023
VALU75
THOR83
03 Nov 2022
VALU105
THOR97
23 Apr 2022
VALU87
THOR75
03 Dec 2021
VALU86
THOR75
04 Feb 2021
VALU67
THOR86
10 Oct 2019
VALU87
THOR73
14 Mar 2019
VALU96
THOR87
15 Feb 2018
VALU95
THOR86
14 Nov 2013
VALU97
THOR89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thorl winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#8
W
92-80
92
80
+12
79avg 84
H14/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 84
A20/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 84
H05/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
111-91
111
91
+20
106avg 84
H11/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#12
W
85-69
85
69
+16
73avg 84
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 84
A18/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
108-99 OT
108
99
+9
101avg 84
A03/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
106avg 84
H08/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
L
93-94
93
94
-1
82avg 84
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
77-94
77
94
-17
no box
A15/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
16-14
27-13
24-26
28-28
24-19
24-24
23-20
24-29
26-22
24-22
20-13
30-24
25-20
32-24
24-23
25-26
22-18
20-16
18-9
19-19
22-27
27-16
17-20
31-14
17-30
13-22
28-23
21-35
19-26
26-18
36-26
27-23
21-25
25-23
20-23
16-31
18-19
16-18
27-26
183.7Avg total
94.6Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.591.4183.9+1.164%
Season at home (7)90.488.9179.3+1.657%
Season away (7)94.694.0188.6+0.671%
Last 10 (10)94.689.1183.7+5.570%
Last 5 (5)93.094.8187.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.893.8179.7-8.017%
vs Similar (14)89.884.0173.8+5.871%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)91.982.9174.8+9.089%
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
74avg 86
A30/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
100-98
100
98
+2
92avg 86
H06/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
72avg 86
A14/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
99-97
99
97
+2
91avg 86
H20/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
85-110
85
110
-25
79avg 86
A06/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-92
93
92
+1
84avg 86
A12/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
94-106
94
106
-12
87avg 86
H18/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
105-75
105
75
+30
107avg 86
H03/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
58avg 86
A09/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
123-126 OT
123
126
-3
no box
H15/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
17-28
21-13
18-27
23-18
29-31
22-23
26-26
22-22
18-21
26-37
16-16
25-22
25-31
24-30
25-14
26-34
19-25
19-20
21-31
27-33
26-18
20-19
20-22
23-19
28-26
24-26
19-35
26-20
32-21
23-19
24-15
22-28
23-15
15-24
15-30
30-31
35-27
29-20
17-33
192.1Avg total
93.8Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.399.1191.4-6.929%
Season at home (7)101.1101.4202.6-0.343%
Season away (7)83.496.9180.3-13.414%
Last 10 (10)93.898.3192.1-4.540%
Last 5 (5)98.099.2197.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)92.6100.2192.9-7.629%
vs Similar (8)97.499.2196.6-1.925%
vs Weaker (4)95.596.5192.0-1.050%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.8-4.8
ValurThorl
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H14/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A20/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H05/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H11/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A18/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A03/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H08/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/01
Premier league
93.2Avg total
45.6Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.344.088.4+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.644.790.3+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)43.143.486.5-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)45.647.693.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.249.892.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.850.890.7-11.017%-
vs Similar (14)45.342.988.2+2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.641.286.8+4.356%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A30/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H06/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H20/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A06/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A12/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H18/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H03/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A09/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H15/01
Premier league
99.0Avg total
50.2Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.349.898.1-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.746.495.1+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)47.853.3101.1-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)50.248.899.0+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)54.447.6102.0+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)45.948.594.5-2.641%-
vs Similar (8)50.551.9102.4-1.450%-
vs Weaker (4)53.850.2104.0+3.575%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 95.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.324.3
52.5%
54.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.0
37.3%
34.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.313.4
73.2%
74.2%13.4
They take 75.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.2
52.8%
54.6%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.915.1
37.8%
34.0%45.3
🏀 Free throws16.512.7
77.0%
74.2%12.7
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
LLLWWWWWWW
Thorl
LLWLWLWLWL
#4
League position
#11
+9.0
Net rating
-5.0
113.5
Offensive rating
110.9
104.6
Defensive rating
115.9
53.8%
Effective FG%
55.0%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
12.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.3%
3-point %
37.8%
57.2%
Assist %
60.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 110.9Defence104.6 · 115.9Shooting53.8% · 55.0%3-point %37.3% · 37.8%Ball care12.7% · 14.6%Off. rebounds31.0% · 25.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Valur   ■ Thorl
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valur wins
4
Thorl wins
DateGameScore
23/10/25Thorl v Valur117-119 OT
10/01/25Thorl v Valur94-69
10/10/24Valur v Thorl88-95 OT
04/01/24Valur v Thorl90-82
06/10/23Thorl v Valur81-96
02/05/23Valur v Thorl102-95
30/04/23Thorl v Valur94-103
27/04/23Valur v Thorl91-65
24/04/23Thorl v Valur92-83
21/04/23Valur v Thorl75-83
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26AArmann77-94
12/01/26HKeflavik93-94
08/01/26HStjarnan102-105
03/01/26ATindastoll108-99 OT
18/12/25AIR Reykjavik85-82
15/12/25HIR Reykjavik85-69
11/12/25HKeflavik111-91
05/12/25HNjardvik94-86
20/11/25AKR Basket99-91
14/11/25HAlftanes92-80
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HKR Basket123-126 OT
09/01/26AAlftanes75-97
03/01/26HAkranes IA105-75
18/12/25HGrindavik94-106
12/12/25ANjardvik93-92
06/12/25AArmann85-110
20/11/25HStjarnan99-97
14/11/25ATindastoll82-96
06/11/25HIR Reykjavik100-98
30/10/25AKeflavik82-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%57%71%
Points / game92.590.494.6
Allowed / game91.488.994.0
Point differential+1.1+1.6+0.6
Avg total183.9179.3188.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %14%0%29%
Thorl
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeWWLWL43%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game92.3101.183.4
Allowed / game99.1101.496.9
Point differential-6.9-0.3-13.4
Avg total191.4202.6180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %14%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1413193%95.287.9+7.3
2 Tindastoll1310377%102.888.9+13.9
3 Stjarnan149564%101.893.9+7.9
4 Valur149564%92.591.4+1.1
5 Keflavik138562%93.890.8+2.9
6 KR Basket147750%99.697.4+2.2
7 Alftanes146843%91.388.8+2.5
8 IR Reykjavik146843%88.991.5-2.6
9 Njardvik145936%95.795.7+0.0
10 Thorl1441029%92.399.1-6.9
11 Akranes IA1431121%86.699.4-12.8
12 Armann1431121%86.9101.3-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Valur181223121580
Thorl19161317671
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