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Alftanes vs Thorl Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 97-75
28-22 15-23 24-15 30-15
Position#8
Record5-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#11
Record4-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game97.1
IcelandPremier leagueRound 13· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alftanes v Thorl
09 Jan 2026
ALFT97
THOR75
13 Mar 2025
ALFT108
THOR96
01 Feb 2024
ALFT94
THOR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thorl winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Akranes IA
#12
L
74-76
74
76
-2
59avg 85
A24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-92
93
92
+1
80avg 85
H30/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
108-89
108
89
+19
106avg 85
H06/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 85
A14/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
90-101
90
101
-11
no box
A21/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
86-97
86
97
-11
71avg 85
A05/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
78-137
78
137
-59
58avg 85
H12/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
65avg 85
A15/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
104-108
104
108
-4
96avg 85
A19/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
110-75
110
75
+35
122avg 85
A03/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
18-14
13-23
22-22
27-28
27-20
22-20
17-24
23-27
24-21
34-16
27-25
27-25
14-16
13-27
26-24
20-28
25-27
19-27
26-19
23-26
19-18
24-20
20-33
26-33
27-40
14-25
11-39
21-26
25-19
15-26
13-23
35-23
13-28
28-34
28-23
18-13
27-18
27-23
38-21
185.8Avg total
89.7Scored
96.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.990.4182.3+1.542%
Season at home (5)94.093.2187.2+0.860%
Season away (7)90.488.4178.9+2.029%
Last 10 (10)89.796.1185.8-6.430%
Last 5 (5)90.4102.2192.6-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)90.7100.3191.0-9.643%
vs Similar (9)95.393.6188.9+1.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)99.379.8179.2+19.567%
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 88
A16/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
117-119 OT
117
119
-2
109avg 88
H23/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
74avg 88
A30/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
100-98
100
98
+2
92avg 88
H06/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
72avg 88
A14/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
99-97
99
97
+2
91avg 88
H20/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
85-110
85
110
-25
79avg 88
A06/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-92
93
92
+1
84avg 88
A12/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
94-106
94
106
-12
87avg 88
H18/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
105-75
105
75
+30
107avg 88
H03/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
20-25
17-27
19-24
25-17
26-27
25-27
23-28
26-18
17-28
21-13
18-27
23-18
29-31
22-23
26-26
22-22
18-21
26-37
16-16
25-22
25-31
24-30
25-14
26-34
19-25
19-20
21-31
27-33
26-18
20-19
20-22
23-19
28-26
24-26
19-35
26-20
32-21
23-19
24-15
190.6Avg total
93.2Scored
97.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.297.1188.2-5.933%
Season at home (6)97.597.3194.8+0.250%
Season away (6)84.896.8181.7-12.017%
Last 10 (10)93.297.4190.6-4.240%
Last 5 (5)95.296.0191.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)89.798.9188.6-9.229%
vs Similar (8)97.499.2196.6-1.925%
vs Weaker (4)95.596.5192.0-1.050%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
AlftanesThorl
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akranes IA
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H30/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H06/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A14/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A21/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A05/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
53-73
53
73
-20
H12/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A15/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A19/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A03/01
Premier league
92.7Avg total
46.0Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.145.994.0+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.547.198.6+4.457%-
Last 30 away (16)45.244.889.9+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)46.046.792.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)46.848.895.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)48.149.697.6-1.543%-
vs Similar (9)48.046.394.3+1.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.836.785.5+12.267%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A16/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H23/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A30/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H06/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H20/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A06/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A12/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H18/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H03/01
Premier league
95.7Avg total
48.2Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.649.797.3-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.545.593.0+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)47.753.9101.6-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)48.247.595.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)51.449.8101.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)44.848.293.1-3.435%-
vs Similar (8)50.551.9102.4-1.450%-
vs Weaker (4)53.850.2104.0+3.575%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.3
54.6%
54.6%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.7
30.6%
34.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.614.4
66.7%
74.2%14.4
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.3
51.8%
54.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.915.1
37.8%
34.0%45.3
🏀 Free throws15.812.3
77.8%
74.2%12.3
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
WLLLLLLWWL
Thorl
WLWLWLWLLL
#8
League position
#11
-8.3
Net rating
-5.1
106.7
Offensive rating
111.6
115.0
Defensive rating
116.7
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.5%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.6%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.6%
3-point %
37.8%
59.1%
Assist %
61.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 111.6Defence115.0 · 116.7Shooting51.1% · 54.5%3-point %30.6% · 37.8%Ball care15.2% · 14.6%Off. rebounds27.5% · 24.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Alftanes   ■ Thorl
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alftanes wins
3
Thorl wins
DateGameScore
09/10/25Thorl v Alftanes70-89
13/03/25Alftanes v Thorl108-96
13/12/24Thorl v Alftanes89-78
01/02/24Alftanes v Thorl94-104
02/11/23Thorl v Alftanes84-79
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AArmann110-75
19/12/25AStjarnan104-108
15/12/25AStjarnan74-94
12/12/25HTindastoll78-137
05/12/25AIR Reykjavik86-97
21/11/25AKeflavik90-101
14/11/25AValur80-92
06/11/25HKR Basket108-89
30/10/25HNjardvik93-92
24/10/25AAkranes IA74-76
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HAkranes IA105-75
18/12/25HGrindavik94-106
12/12/25ANjardvik93-92
06/12/25AArmann85-110
20/11/25HStjarnan99-97
14/11/25ATindastoll82-96
06/11/25HIR Reykjavik100-98
30/10/25AKeflavik82-86
23/10/25HValur117-119 OT
16/10/25AKR Basket75-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%60%29%
Points / game91.994.090.4
Allowed / game90.493.288.4
Point differential+1.5+0.8+2.0
Avg total182.3187.2178.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Thorl
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW33%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game91.297.584.8
Allowed / game97.197.396.8
Point differential-5.9+0.2-12.0
Avg total188.2194.8181.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1312192%96.288.7+7.5
2 Tindastoll129375%103.088.8+14.2
3 Valur139469%93.791.2+2.5
4 Keflavik128467%93.488.8+4.7
5 Stjarnan138562%100.793.5+7.2
6 KR Basket136746%97.595.4+2.2
7 IR Reykjavik136746%88.890.8-2.0
8 Alftanes125742%91.990.4+1.5
9 Thorl124833%91.297.1-5.9
10 Njardvik134931%96.697.6-1.0
11 Akranes IA1331023%87.8100.5-12.8
12 Armann1321115%86.4103.2-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes2815243097
Thorl2223151575
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