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Irbis Almaty vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 105-74
38-10 16-25 23-24 28-15
Position#1
Record10-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game68.3
vs
Position#8
Record3-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game84.4
KazakhstanNational League· Baluan Sholak Sports Palace
Other2024-25
Meetings · Irbis Almaty v Pavlodar
16 Jan 2025
IRBI96
PAVL64
15 Jan 2025
IRBI105
PAVL74
26 Mar 2024
IRBI88
PAVL59
25 Mar 2024
IRBI94
PAVL65
28 Oct 2023
IRBI96
PAVL83
27 Oct 2023
IRBI83
PAVL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Irbis Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Irbis AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
L
67-74
67
74
-7
60avg 79
A12/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
65-53
65
53
+12
55avg 79
H30/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
74-69
74
69
+5
69avg 79
H31/10
National League
Almaty
#4
W
83-60
83
60
+23
81avg 79
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
87-39
87
39
+48
88avg 79
H10/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
88-58
88
58
+30
79avg 79
H11/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
94-76
94
76
+18
88avg 79
A21/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
68avg 79
A22/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
79-73
79
73
+6
68avg 79
A07/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
82-99
82
99
-17
68avg 79
A08/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-30
23-9
12-18
18-17
18-15
16-8
18-11
13-19
10-16
14-13
17-21
33-19
23-18
21-13
21-17
18-12
30-11
16-8
16-13
25-7
23-15
18-14
26-16
21-13
23-15
37-17
17-29
17-15
21-22
17-20
19-17
22-10
30-23
16-10
16-19
17-21
17-25
19-29
21-26
25-19
146.8Avg total
79.8Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.468.3147.7+11.177%
Season at home (4)78.554.8133.2+23.8100%
Season away (9)79.874.3154.1+5.467%
Last 10 (10)79.867.0146.8+12.880%
Last 5 (5)84.475.0159.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)84.671.4156.0+13.280%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#7
W
93-72
93
72
+21
98avg 62
A08/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
67-63
67
63
+4
66avg 62
A09/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
86-69
86
69
+17
79avg 62
H16/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
62-70
62
70
-8
50avg 62
H17/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
62avg 62
H21/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
65avg 62
H22/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
69-87
69
87
-18
61avg 62
A05/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
75-89
75
89
-14
76avg 62
A06/01
National League
Almaty
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
58avg 62
A11/01
National League
Almaty
#4
L
89-102
89
102
-13
80avg 62
A12/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
28-13
25-19
25-26
8-19
16-23
24-14
19-7
14-16
22-13
25-21
25-19
7-22
21-15
17-15
17-18
15-23
17-37
29-17
15-17
22-21
20-17
17-19
10-22
16-19
20-21
6-27
27-20
21-16
21-30
22-23
11-20
18-20
17-22
15-21
20-27
27-31
21-29
21-25
20-17
157.1Avg total
75.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)70.584.4154.9-13.915%
Season at home (12)68.185.4153.5-17.38%
Season away (8)74.282.9157.1-8.625%
Last 10 (10)75.681.5157.1-5.930%
Last 5 (5)74.489.4163.8-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)69.686.8156.4-17.211%
vs Similar (2)78.586.0164.5-7.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
Irbis AlmatyPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Irbis AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H30/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H31/10
National League
Almaty
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H10/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H11/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
60-32
60
32
+28
A21/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A22/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A07/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A08/01
National League
73.7Avg total
40.6Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.636.580.1+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.434.977.3+7.671%-
Last 30 away (16)44.737.982.6+6.875%-
Last 10 (10)40.633.173.7+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.082.2+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)43.636.580.1+7.273%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#7
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A08/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A09/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H16/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H17/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
32-60
32
60
-28
H21/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H22/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A05/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A06/01
National League
Almaty
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A11/01
National League
Almaty
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A12/01
National League
78.7Avg total
36.6Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.244.678.8-10.513%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.846.078.8-13.212%-
Last 30 away (14)35.843.178.9-7.314%-
Last 10 (10)36.642.178.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.285.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)33.845.278.9-11.411%-
vs Similar (2)40.037.077.0+3.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Irbis Almaty wins
0
Pavlodar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25AAstana 282-99
07/01/25AAstana 279-73
22/12/24APavlodar79-69
21/12/24APavlodar94-76
11/12/24HAstana 288-58
10/12/24HAstana 287-39
06/11/24AAlmaty83-60
31/10/24HKaspiy Aktau74-69
30/10/24HKaspiy Aktau65-53
12/10/24AAtyrau67-74
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25AAlmaty89-102
11/01/25AAlmaty70-90
06/01/25ATobol Kostanay75-89
05/01/25ATobol Kostanay69-87
22/12/24HIrbis Almaty69-79
21/12/24HIrbis Almaty76-94
17/12/24HKaspiy Aktau62-70
16/12/24HKaspiy Aktau86-69
09/12/24AAktobe67-63
08/12/24AAktobe93-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Irbis Almaty
National League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %77%100%67%
Points / game79.478.579.8
Allowed / game68.354.874.3
Point differential+11.1+23.8+5.4
Avg total147.7133.2154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%75%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pavlodar
National League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLWLLL8%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %15%8%25%
Points / game70.568.174.2
Allowed / game84.485.482.9
Point differential-13.8-17.3-8.6
Avg total154.9153.5157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%8%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay1614288%84.973.9+11.1
2 Irbis Almaty1310377%79.468.3+11.1
3 Atyrau1410471%82.774.8+7.9
4 Almaty1510567%81.377.7+3.6
5 Kaspiy Aktau2081240%72.175.1-3.0
6 Astana 21871139%75.578.8-3.3
7 Aktobe1431121%77.183.6-6.4
8 Pavlodar2031715%70.584.4-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Irbis Almaty38162328105
Pavlodar1025241574
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