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Tikvesh vs Vardar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 116-66
34-19 29-19 25-18 28-10
Position#5
Record7-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game70.8
Tikvesh 🏆
Macedonia
vs
Position#10
Record3-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game93.2
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 11· Jasmin Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tikvesh v Vardar
10 Dec 2023
TIKV116
VARD66
27 Mar 2021
TIKV96
VARD79
14 Dec 2019
TIKV82
VARD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tikvesh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TikveshMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTikvesh
Date
Competition
FMP Akademija
#11
W
114-58
114
58
+56
119avg 80
A04/10
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
74avg 80
H08/10
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
W
106-67
106
67
+39
106avg 80
A15/10
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
60-66
60
66
-6
47avg 80
H21/10
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
61-71
61
71
-10
50avg 80
A28/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
W
74-70
74
70
+4
73avg 80
A05/11
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
100-59
100
59
+41
105avg 80
H11/11
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
72avg 80
A19/11
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
66-65
66
65
+1
64avg 80
H25/11
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
96-92
96
92
+4
92avg 80
A02/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
27-17
30-13
29-13
26-17
12-20
28-19
14-17
24-22
29-15
21-17
32-13
13-20
18-13
14-17
15-16
17-20
8-13
14-18
22-20
20-18
13-10
27-20
14-22
20-18
25-21
35-12
20-8
21-26
26-23
19-11
16-27
21-16
22-12
15-18
8-19
15-17
35-19
22-27
24-29
154.7Avg total
83.9Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.970.8154.7+13.170%
Season at home (4)76.565.8142.2+10.875%
Season away (6)88.874.2163.0+14.767%
Last 10 (10)83.970.8154.7+13.170%
Last 5 (5)83.674.6158.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.176.7144.8-8.617%
vs Similar (6)78.078.8156.8-0.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.068.1156.1+19.991%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
Ohrid
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 62
H30/09
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
68avg 62
A09/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
64-88
64
88
-24
51avg 62
H14/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
76-100
76
100
-24
54avg 62
A21/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
68-119
68
119
-51
52avg 62
H28/10
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
102-91
102
91
+11
102avg 62
H05/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
57-78
57
78
-21
46avg 62
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-90
75
90
-15
56avg 62
H18/11
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
74-116
74
116
-42
62avg 62
A26/11
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
46avg 62
H02/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
21-21
22-20
34-21
12-18
20-14
23-18
25-21
8-27
19-23
22-22
15-16
19-20
18-31
20-31
19-18
24-30
10-30
21-30
13-29
23-27
24-23
24-23
31-18
9-20
19-25
18-20
11-13
15-25
12-20
27-20
21-25
18-31
20-28
13-30
23-27
12-34
23-24
16-23
10-15
167.9Avg total
74.7Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.793.2167.9-18.530%
Season at home (6)76.794.5171.2-17.833%
Season away (4)71.891.2163.0-19.525%
Last 10 (10)74.793.2167.9-18.530%
Last 5 (5)73.894.2168.0-20.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.490.3162.8-17.912%
vs Similar (4)87.278.5165.8+8.8100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tikvesh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -10.0-10.0Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -10.0-10.0Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
TikveshVardar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TikveshLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Akademija
#11
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A04/10
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H08/10
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A15/10
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H21/10
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A28/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A05/11
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/11
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A19/11
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H25/11
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A02/12
Prva Liga
77.2Avg total
42.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.175.8+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.934.974.8+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.637.276.8+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.035.277.2+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.079.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.237.972.1-3.817%-
vs Similar (6)41.035.076.0+6.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.634.178.7+10.591%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohrid
#12
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H30/09
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H14/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H28/10
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H05/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H18/11
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A26/11
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H02/12
Prva Liga
83.1Avg total
33.9Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.345.083.4-6.724%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.746.885.5-8.127%-
Last 30 away (14)38.043.181.1-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)33.949.283.1-15.30%-
Last 5 (5)35.051.486.4-16.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.945.683.5-7.724%-
vs Similar (4)41.241.582.8-0.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tikvesh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tikveshtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tikvesh: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.6
51.9%
53.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
32.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
70.3%13.9
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.3
47.4%
53.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.8
30.8%
32.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.514.1
68.8%
70.3%14.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tikvesh
WWLWWLLWWW
Vardar
LLLLWLLLWW
#5
League position
#10
+16.9
Net rating
-22.0
110.2
Offensive rating
90.5
93.3
Defensive rating
112.5
51.3%
Effective FG%
46.9%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
16.6%
Turnover %
21.3%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.6%
3-point %
30.8%
60.3%
Assist %
58.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 90.5Defence93.3 · 112.5Shooting51.3% · 46.9%3-point %33.6% · 30.8%Ball care16.6% · 21.3%Off. rebounds31.4% · 21.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Tikvesh   ■ Vardar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tikvesh wins
0
Vardar wins
DateGameScore
27/03/21Tikvesh v Vardar96-79
26/12/20Vardar v Tikvesh68-94
14/12/19Tikvesh v Vardar82-66
12/10/19Vardar v Tikvesh82-92
Tikveshlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ACair 203096-92
25/11/23HTFT Skopje66-65
19/11/23AFeniks 201082-87
11/11/23HOhrid100-59
05/11/23ARabotnicki74-70
28/10/23AMZT Skopje61-71
21/10/23HPelister60-66
15/10/23AGostivar106-67
08/10/23HKozuv80-73
04/10/23AFMP Akademija114-58
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HMZT Skopje61-96
26/11/23APelister74-116
18/11/23HGostivar75-90
11/11/23AKozuv57-78
05/11/23HFMP Akademija102-91
28/10/23HRabotnicki68-119
21/10/23ACair 203076-100
14/10/23HTFT Skopje64-88
09/10/23AFeniks 201080-71
30/09/23HOhrid90-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tikvesh
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%75%67%
Points / game83.976.588.8
Allowed / game70.865.874.2
Point differential+13.1+10.8+14.7
Avg total154.7142.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game74.776.771.8
Allowed / game93.294.591.2
Point differential-18.5-17.8-19.5
Avg total167.9171.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MZT Skopje1110191%81.065.0+16.0
2 Pelister118373%86.273.2+13.0
3 Tikvesh107370%83.970.8+13.1
4 Rabotnicki117464%84.973.0+11.9
5 Cair 2030117464%84.780.5+4.3
6 TFT Skopje106460%72.868.8+4.0
7 Feniks 2010106460%81.678.6+3.0
8 Gostivar114736%74.782.5-7.7
9 Vardar103730%74.793.2-18.5
10 Kozuv113827%78.278.4-0.2
11 FMP Akademija112918%77.295.3-18.1
12 Ohrid111109%68.489.0-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tikvesh34292528116
Vardar1919181066
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