PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tivat vs Danilovgrad Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#6
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game78.0
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 6· Sportski centar
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tivat v Danilovgrad
28 Nov 2026
TIVA v DANI
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
TIVA72
DANI80
19 Oct 2024
TIVA89
DANI59
02 Dec 2023
TIVA95
DANI84
18 Mar 2023
TIVA90
DANI86
21 Mar 2022
TIVA83
DANI84
07 Dec 2020
TIVA78
DANI91
14 Mar 2020
TIVA v DANI
upcoming
01 Feb 2020
TIVA80
DANI75
03 Feb 2018
TIVA95
DANI66
12 Feb 2017
TIVA78
DANI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tivat win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Danilovgrad win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TivatMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTivat
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
66avg 85
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
118-95
118
95
+23
113avg 85
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
99-108
99
108
-9
91avg 85
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
91-78
91
78
+13
85avg 85
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
72-80
72
80
-8
66avg 85
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
91avg 85
A02/04
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#4
L
72-94
72
94
-22
no box
A26/10
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#5
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
H03/11
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
A06/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H13/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
13-25
16-15
16-20
31-26
26-25
38-17
23-27
12-24
35-32
27-24
25-28
29-15
21-16
16-20
25-27
21-11
13-31
16-17
22-21
24-22
18-22
19-14
22-25
19-22
18-22
21-24
14-26
21-19
25-26
17-14
23-17
24-29
20-20
18-18
27-24
22-24
24-20
16-20
11-20
174.9Avg total
86.8Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.086.2166.2-6.225%
Season at home (2)79.580.0159.5-0.550%
Season away (2)80.592.5173.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)86.888.1174.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)83.087.6170.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)83.493.4176.9-10.025%
vs Similar ◀ (12)91.891.9183.8-0.142%
vs Weaker (2)103.591.5195.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DanilovgradMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDanilovgrad
Date
Competition
Jedinstvo
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
68avg 70
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
74-68
74
68
+6
60avg 70
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
83-91
83
91
-8
66avg 70
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
72avg 70
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
72-65
72
65
+7
64avg 70
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
72avg 70
A29/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
60-84
60
84
-24
45avg 70
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
A25/10
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#9
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
H09/11
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#8
L
63-91
63
91
-28
no box
A14/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
11-12
21-23
29-23
23-16
19-20
15-14
17-18
19-21
23-19
21-26
20-25
21-28
17-13
20-24
25-24
20-20
20-24
16-7
16-14
11-21
31-13
17-16
21-22
19-18
14-19
4-26
23-21
15-16
22-21
19-21
20-13
19-21
22-18
16-17
22-16
23-20
15-24
12-27
13-20
152.8Avg total
74.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.778.0150.7-5.367%
Season at home (1)79.072.0151.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)69.581.0150.5-11.550%
Last 10 (10)74.977.9152.8-3.060%
Last 5 (5)71.678.0149.6-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.387.1164.4-9.831%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.083.7164.7-2.740%
vs Weaker (4)74.273.2147.5+1.075%
This opponent (Tivat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
TivatDanilovgrad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H23/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/04
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/10
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/11
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A06/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H13/11
Prva A Liga
89.7Avg total
44.4Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.347.191.4-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.644.790.3+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)43.049.592.5-6.513%-
Last 10 (10)44.445.389.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.288.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.948.689.4-7.719%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)47.644.592.1+3.158%-
vs Weaker (2)52.051.5103.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DanilovgradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jedinstvo
#6
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H04/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A25/10
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/11
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A14/11
Prva A Liga
76.4Avg total
38.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.082.3-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.440.180.4+0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)40.243.683.9-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.743.181.8-4.431%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.740.883.5+1.950%-
vs Weaker (4)40.840.581.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Tivat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tivat: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.826.4
58.9%
58.8%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.1
34.6%
31.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.214.0
69.3%
69.7%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Danilovgradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Danilovgrad: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.0
53.7%
58.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.68.8
27.0%
31.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.717.0
71.7%
69.7%17.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tivat
LLWLWLWLWL
Danilovgrad
LWWLWWLLWW
#10
League position
#6
+1.3
Net rating
-3.9
116.9
Offensive rating
106.3
115.6
Defensive rating
110.1
56.5%
Effective FG%
47.2%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
1.8%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.6%
3-point %
27.0%
52.8%
Assist %
56.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 106.3Defence115.6 · 110.1Shooting56.5% · 47.2%3-point %34.6% · 27.0%Ball care1.8% · 0.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Tivat   ■ Danilovgrad
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Tivat wins
3
Danilovgrad wins
DateGameScore
29/03/26Tivat v Danilovgrad72-80
27/12/25Danilovgrad v Tivat105-94
01/02/25Danilovgrad v Tivat74-89
19/10/24Tivat v Danilovgrad89-59
02/03/24Danilovgrad v Tivat94-104
02/12/23Tivat v Danilovgrad95-84
18/03/23Tivat v Danilovgrad90-86
03/12/22Danilovgrad v Tivat68-73
21/03/22Tivat v Danilovgrad83-84
04/12/21Danilovgrad v Tivat73-74
Tivatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSutjeska73-84
06/11/26AMornar Bar89-91
03/11/26HStudentski Centar86-76
26/10/26AKotor72-94
02/04/26AStudentski Centar95-93 OT
29/03/26HDanilovgrad72-80
23/03/26HVukovi Zeta91-78
16/03/26AIbar Rozaje99-108
10/03/26HUlcinj118-95
07/03/26APodgorica73-82
Danilovgradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AVukovi Zeta63-91
09/11/26HJedinstvo79-72
25/10/26ADecic76-71
04/04/26HKotor60-84
29/03/26ATivat80-72
21/03/26HLovcen Cetinje72-65
15/03/26AVukovi Zeta83-89
11/03/26HMornar Bar83-91
07/03/26AIbar Rozaje74-68
14/02/26HJedinstvo79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tivat
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.079.580.5
Allowed / game86.280.092.5
Point differential-6.2-0.5-12.0
Avg total166.2159.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Danilovgrad
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game72.779.069.5
Allowed / game78.072.081.0
Point differential-5.3+7.0-11.5
Avg total150.7151.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska440100%96.873.2+23.5
2 Mornar Bar440100%93.074.2+18.8
3 Primorje220100%92.083.5+8.5
4 Kotor32167%83.774.7+9.0
5 Studentski Centar32167%87.780.7+7.0
6 Danilovgrad32167%72.778.0-5.3
7 Podgorica21150%108.073.0+35.0
8 Vukovi Zeta42250%84.271.0+13.2
9 Jedinstvo31233%69.788.3-18.7
10 Tivat41325%80.086.2-6.2
11 Lovcen Cetinje3030%78.791.7-13.0
12 Decic3030%67.085.3-18.3
13 Lim Berane4040%64.8106.2-41.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.