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Tobol Kostanay 2 vs Arlans Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 88-56
25-19 23-15 22-9 18-13
Position#12
Record3-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#11
Record5-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game78.8
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay 2 v Arlans
21 Jan 2026
TOBO88
ARLA56
19 Jan 2026
TOBO66
ARLA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arlans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Shymkent
#2
L
79-112
79
112
-33
65avg 54
A13/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
50avg 54
H14/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
60avg 54
A15/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
100-55
100
55
+45
no box
H22/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
71-72
71
72
-1
57avg 54
A23/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
65-54
65
54
+11
50avg 54
H24/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
63-69
63
69
-6
no box
A25/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
86-49
86
49
+37
no box
A18/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
66-93
66
93
-27
no box
H19/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
68-72 OT
68
72
-4
64avg 54
A20/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-36
22-28
14-26
19-22
20-28
13-25
17-15
16-23
15-26
17-21
18-18
28-18
31-23
22-8
23-13
24-11
15-20
25-20
17-17
14-15
19-19
12-15
10-9
24-11
18-17
15-13
21-18
9-21
23-6
24-4
22-21
17-18
20-20
13-30
27-27
6-16
18-19
22-13
17-13
8-20
149.2Avg total
74.2Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.682.5153.1-11.818%
Season at home (7)68.782.0150.7-13.329%
Season away (10)72.082.8154.8-10.810%
Last 10 (10)74.275.0149.2-0.830%
Last 5 (5)69.667.4137.0+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)65.387.2152.4-21.90%
vs Similar ◀ (7)66.771.7138.4-5.029%
vs Weaker (4)79.857.5137.2+22.275%
This opponent (Arlans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArlansKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArlans
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
79-66
79
66
+13
82avg 64
A17/10
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
84-94
84
94
-10
79avg 64
A08/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
56-76
56
76
-20
45avg 64
H09/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
97-113
97
113
-16
79avg 64
A06/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
75-94
75
94
-19
65avg 64
H07/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
57-104
57
104
-47
41avg 64
A08/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
63-77
63
77
-14
48avg 64
H09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H18/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
93-66
93
66
+27
no box
A19/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
64avg 64
H20/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
16-14
18-22
16-18
22-19
20-27
21-31
21-17
11-19
15-20
18-22
12-15
29-32
16-33
24-24
28-24
18-28
24-28
16-17
17-21
15-34
14-30
18-27
10-13
18-13
19-17
14-25
12-22
17-16
19-12
17-22
20-27
20-20
30-13
27-27
16-6
15-19
15-16
20-18
19-18
158.4Avg total
74.6Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.178.8153.9-3.636%
Season at home (7)69.977.9147.7-8.014%
Season away (7)80.479.7160.1+0.757%
Last 10 (10)74.683.8158.4-9.220%
Last 5 (5)71.079.0150.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.589.5164.0-15.017%
vs Similar ◀ (5)74.677.0151.6-2.420%
vs Weaker (3)77.360.3137.7+17.0100%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
Tobol Kostanay 2Arlans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol Kostanay 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shymkent
#2
L
46-64
46
64
-18
A13/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H14/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A15/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H22/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A23/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H24/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A25/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
47-10
47
10
+37
A18/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H19/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A20/01
Higher League
77.9Avg total
38.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)34.642.777.3-8.026%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.240.876.1-5.633%-
Last 30 away (15)34.144.178.3-10.020%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.177.9-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.831.268.0+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)33.147.780.7-14.611%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)33.837.471.2-3.640%-
vs Weaker (4)42.826.869.5+16.075%-
This opponent (Arlans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArlansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A17/10
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A08/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H09/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A06/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H07/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
29-64
29
64
-35
A08/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H18/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A19/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H20/01
Higher League
80.4Avg total
38.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)36.638.975.5-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (7)31.036.767.7-5.729%-
Last 30 away (7)42.341.083.3+1.357%-
Last 10 (10)38.242.280.4-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.074.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.347.278.5-15.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.036.475.4+2.660%-
vs Weaker (3)43.326.369.7+17.0100%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tobol Kostanay 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tobol Kostanay 2: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.0
45.7%
49.5%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.09.0
24.3%
28.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.09.0
50.0%
63.9%9.0
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Arlanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arlans: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.8
49.0%
49.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.86.2
24.0%
28.5%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.614.0
61.9%
63.9%14.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/5 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tobol Kostanay 2
LLWLWLWLLL
Arlans
LWLLLLLLLW
#12
League position
#11
-4.4
Net rating
-24.1
74.9
Offensive rating
88.8
79.3
Defensive rating
112.9
41.0%
Effective FG%
44.0%
26.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
24.3%
3-point %
24.0%
88.0%
Assist %
57.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence74.9 · 88.8Defence79.3 · 112.9Shooting41.0% · 44.0%3-point %24.3% · 24.0%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Tobol Kostanay 2   ■ Arlans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tobol Kostanay 2 wins
1
Arlans wins
DateGameScore
19/01/26Tobol Kostanay 2 v Arlans66-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26AAiRom68-72 OT
19/01/26HArlans66-93
18/01/26AAiRom86-49
25/11/25AAtyrau 263-69
24/11/25HKaspiy Aktau 265-54
23/11/25AAtyrau 271-72
22/11/25HKaspiy Aktau 2100-55
15/11/25AChelSU Kostanay78-83
14/11/25HTuran66-91
13/11/25AShymkent79-112
Arlanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26HChelSU Kostanay69-71
19/01/26ATobol Kostanay 293-66
18/01/26HChelSU Kostanay73-77
09/01/26HCHAMP1ON63-77
08/01/26ABC Almaty 257-104
07/01/26HCHAMP1ON75-94
06/01/26ABC Almaty 297-113
09/11/25HAktobe56-76
08/11/25AAktobe84-94
17/10/25AAiRom79-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL18%
HomeLLWWL29%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %18%29%10%
Points / game70.668.772.0
Allowed / game82.582.082.8
Point differential-11.8-13.3-10.8
Avg total153.1150.7154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)-0% (4)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Arlans
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%14%57%
Points / game75.169.980.4
Allowed / game78.877.979.7
Point differential-3.6-8.0+0.7
Avg total153.9147.7160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%14%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan18180100%89.660.4+29.2
2 Aktobe1615194%86.966.7+20.2
3 Shymkent1816289%97.669.8+27.7
4 Atyrau 21814478%78.269.7+8.4
5 Bars Petropavlovsk1611569%83.463.9+19.6
6 ChelSU Kostanay1812667%75.775.9-0.2
7 BC Almaty 2168850%78.273.9+4.4
8 CHAMP1ON167944%70.472.4-2.1
9 Arlans145936%75.178.8-3.6
10 Tigers-KazATU1651131%67.181.5-14.4
11 Karaganda1541127%76.582.5-5.9
12 Tobol Kostanay 21731418%70.682.5-11.8
13 AiRom1521313%61.378.6-17.3
14 Pavlodar1521313%53.588.9-35.4
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2181176%57.283.9-26.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay 22523221888
Arlans191591356
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