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Tobol Kostanay 2 vs CHAMP1ON Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 86-92
21-21 17-24 28-26 20-21
Position#12
Record4-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#9
Record9-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game72.2
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay 2 v CHAMP1ON
05 Mar 2026
TOBO86
CHAM92
03 Mar 2026
TOBO51
CHAM85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CHAMP1ON winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
71-72
71
72
-1
57avg 53
A23/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
65-54
65
54
+11
50avg 53
H24/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
63-69
63
69
-6
no box
A25/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
86-49
86
49
+37
no box
A18/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
66-93
66
93
-27
no box
H19/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
68-72 OT
68
72
-4
64avg 53
A20/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
88-56
88
56
+32
86avg 53
H21/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-70
45
70
-25
26avg 53
A02/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
51-85
51
85
-34
36avg 53
H03/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
63-85
63
85
-22
no box
A04/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
25-20
17-17
14-15
19-19
12-15
10-9
24-11
18-17
15-13
21-18
9-21
23-6
24-4
22-21
17-18
20-20
13-30
27-27
6-16
18-19
22-13
17-13
8-20
25-19
23-15
22-9
18-13
4-29
9-20
9-11
23-10
20-22
14-30
17-21
0-12
19-18
19-18
12-28
13-21
137.1Avg total
66.6Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.080.9149.8-11.919%
Season at home (9)68.979.4148.3-10.633%
Season away (12)69.081.9150.9-12.98%
Last 10 (10)66.670.5137.1-3.930%
Last 5 (5)63.073.6136.6-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)64.186.4150.5-22.40%
vs Similar ◀ (9)67.371.4138.8-4.133%
vs Weaker (4)79.857.5137.2+22.275%
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CHAMP1ONKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCHAMP1ON
Date
Competition
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
72avg 63
A12/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
71-76
71
76
-5
64avg 63
A06/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
59-81
59
81
-22
42avg 63
H07/12
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
75-58
75
58
+17
74avg 63
H06/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
89avg 63
A07/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
69-47
69
47
+22
73avg 63
H08/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
77-63
77
63
+14
65avg 63
A09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
85-68
85
68
+17
76avg 63
H02/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
85-51
85
51
+34
92avg 63
A03/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 63
H04/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
5-29
21-21
22-10
17-14
20-29
18-13
16-20
15-21
12-17
15-24
17-19
22-9
19-16
20-20
14-13
28-18
28-24
17-16
21-17
19-16
19-12
14-10
17-9
13-18
17-19
25-14
22-12
24-15
16-23
22-16
23-14
22-20
30-14
21-17
12-0
27-24
16-22
26-16
19-31
146.0Avg total
76.8Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.872.2145.0+0.747%
Season at home (10)71.476.9148.3-5.540%
Season away (9)74.466.9141.3+7.656%
Last 10 (10)76.869.2146.0+7.660%
Last 5 (5)80.864.4145.2+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)59.478.3137.7-18.95%
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.359.9133.1+13.471%
vs Weaker (4)78.552.0130.5+26.5100%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.8+3.8
Tobol Kostanay 2CHAMP1ON
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol Kostanay 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A23/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H24/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A25/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
47-10
47
10
+37
A18/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H19/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A20/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H21/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
13-49
13
49
-36
A02/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H03/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A04/03
Higher League
72.4Avg total
35.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)34.841.976.6-7.132%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.340.576.8-4.238%-
Last 30 away (15)33.443.076.4-9.627%-
Last 10 (10)35.736.772.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.675.2-6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.446.679.0-14.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.939.074.9-3.143%-
vs Weaker (4)42.826.869.5+16.075%-
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CHAMP1ONLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A12/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H07/12
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A07/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H08/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H02/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A03/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H04/03
Higher League
76.6Avg total
38.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.738.270.9-5.634%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.438.169.6-6.738%-
Last 30 away (13)34.238.372.5-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.076.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.677.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)28.340.568.8-12.316%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.238.879.0+1.350%-
vs Weaker (4)42.226.268.5+16.0100%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tobol Kostanay 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tobol Kostanay 2: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.215.8
40.1%
49.5%31.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.87.5
26.1%
28.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.59.0
58.1%
63.9%9.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CHAMP1ONtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CHAMP1ON: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.9 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.023.4
55.8%
49.5%46.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.6
29.9%
28.5%19.7
🏀 Free throws21.915.3
69.9%
63.9%15.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/7 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tobol Kostanay 2
LLLWLLWLWL
CHAMP1ON
LWWWWWWLLL
#12
League position
#9
-10.2
Net rating
+23.4
83.3
Offensive rating
113.8
93.6
Defensive rating
90.3
39.7%
Effective FG%
52.0%
41.4%
Opp. effective FG%
41.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.34
26.1%
3-point %
29.9%
71.0%
Assist %
63.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence83.3 · 113.8Defence93.6 · 90.3Shooting39.7% · 52.0%3-point %26.1% · 29.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Tobol Kostanay 2   ■ CHAMP1ON
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tobol Kostanay 2 wins
1
CHAMP1ON wins
DateGameScore
03/03/26Tobol Kostanay 2 v CHAMP1ON51-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26ABC Almaty 263-85
03/03/26HCHAMP1ON51-85
02/03/26ABC Almaty 245-70
21/01/26HArlans88-56
20/01/26AAiRom68-72 OT
19/01/26HArlans66-93
18/01/26AAiRom86-49
25/11/25AAtyrau 263-69
24/11/25HKaspiy Aktau 265-54
23/11/25AAtyrau 271-72
CHAMP1ONlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HChelSU Kostanay88-93
03/03/26ATobol Kostanay 285-51
02/03/26HChelSU Kostanay85-68
09/01/26AArlans77-63
08/01/26HAiRom69-47
07/01/26AArlans94-75
06/01/26HAiRom75-58
07/12/25HAktobe59-81
06/12/25AAktobe71-76
12/11/25ABC Almaty 265-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL19%
HomeWWLWL33%
AwayLWLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %19%33%8%
Points / game69.068.969.0
Allowed / game80.979.481.9
Point differential-11.9-10.6-12.9
Avg total149.8148.3150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)-0% (4)
Overtime %10%0%17%
CHAMP1ON
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL47%
HomeLWWWL40%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%40%56%
Points / game72.871.474.4
Allowed / game72.276.966.9
Point differential+0.7-5.5+7.6
Avg total145.0148.3141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%30%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan20200100%87.759.9+27.8
2 Shymkent2017385%94.669.6+25.0
3 Aktobe2016480%81.867.2+14.6
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2015575%82.861.0+21.8
5 Atyrau 22115671%77.768.9+8.9
6 BC Almaty 22012860%80.873.3+7.4
7 ChelSU Kostanay2213959%77.379.5-2.1
8 CHAMP1ON1991047%72.872.2+0.7
9 Karaganda2091145%80.278.0+2.2
10 Arlans1971237%76.578.5-2.0
11 Tigers-KazATU1971237%66.977.2-10.3
12 AiRom1941521%65.277.9-12.7
13 Tobol Kostanay 22141719%69.080.9-11.9
14 Pavlodar2021810%53.389.8-36.5
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay 22117282086
CHAMP1ON2124262192
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