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CHAMP1ON vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 88-93
27-24 16-22 26-16 19-31
Position#9
Record9-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#8
Record12-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game77.8
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · CHAMP1ON v ChelSU Kostanay
02 May 2026
CHAM79
CHEL81
04 Mar 2026
CHAM88
CHEL93
02 Mar 2026
CHAM85
CHEL68
07 Apr 2025
CHAM44
CHEL85
01 Mar 2025
CHAM63
CHEL67
17 Dec 2024
CHAM71
CHEL74
12 Nov 2024
CHAM57
CHEL90
18 Oct 2024
CHAM64
CHEL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CHAMP1ON winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ChelSU Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CHAMP1ONKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCHAMP1ON
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
60-71
60
71
-11
63avg 61
H11/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
72avg 61
A12/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
71-76
71
76
-5
64avg 61
A06/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
59-81
59
81
-22
42avg 61
H07/12
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
75-58
75
58
+17
74avg 61
H06/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
89avg 61
A07/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
69-47
69
47
+22
73avg 61
H08/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
77-63
77
63
+14
65avg 61
A09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
85-68
85
68
+17
76avg 61
H02/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
85-51
85
51
+34
92avg 61
A03/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
13-14
17-16
19-19
17-20
5-29
21-21
22-10
17-14
20-29
18-13
16-20
15-21
12-17
15-24
17-19
22-9
19-16
20-20
14-13
28-18
28-24
17-16
21-17
19-16
19-12
14-10
17-9
13-18
17-19
25-14
22-12
24-15
16-23
22-16
23-14
22-20
30-14
21-17
12-0
141.0Avg total
74.0Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.071.0143.0+1.050%
Season at home (9)69.675.1144.7-5.644%
Season away (9)74.466.9141.3+7.656%
Last 10 (10)74.067.0141.0+7.060%
Last 5 (5)82.060.8142.8+21.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)60.178.8138.9-18.75%
vs Similar ◀ (6)70.854.3125.2+16.583%
vs Weaker (4)78.552.0130.5+26.5100%
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelSU KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
W
99-57
99
57
+42
no box
H22/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
75-45
75
45
+30
67avg 66
A23/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
95-72
95
72
+23
92avg 66
H24/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
80-59
80
59
+21
82avg 66
A25/11
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
A18/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
62-55
62
55
+7
no box
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
71-69
71
69
+2
66avg 66
A20/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
83-68
83
68
+15
85avg 66
H21/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
68-85
68
85
-17
61avg 66
A02/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
99-103
99
103
-4
90avg 66
H03/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
27-15
31-14
16-13
23-13
19-14
14-7
19-11
22-15
26-29
19-17
28-11
24-12
19-13
11-19
26-15
16-17
12-19
22-17
27-20
18-12
15-20
16-16
13-7
19-15
16-15
18-20
18-19
16-21
26-13
32-19
9-15
15-24
23-16
16-22
14-23
23-24
30-25
27-28
19-26
149.5Avg total
80.9Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.577.8154.2-1.260%
Season at home (11)82.778.8161.5+3.973%
Season away (9)68.976.4145.3-7.644%
Last 10 (10)80.968.6149.5+12.380%
Last 5 (5)76.676.0152.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.486.3155.7-16.914%
vs Similar ◀ (7)70.973.9144.7-3.057%
vs Weaker (9)71.854.0125.8+17.8100%
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
CHAMP1ONChelSU Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CHAMP1ONLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H11/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A12/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H07/12
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A07/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H08/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H02/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A03/03
Higher League
73.7Avg total
36.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.438.470.8-6.134%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.737.668.3-6.940%-
Last 30 away (14)34.239.473.6-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.073.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.879.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)28.641.169.8-12.515%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.637.477.0+2.260%-
vs Weaker (4)42.226.268.5+16.0100%-
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H22/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A23/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H24/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A25/11
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A18/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A20/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H21/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A02/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H03/03
Higher League
76.1Avg total
41.4Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.940.576.3-4.645%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.341.780.9-2.460%-
Last 30 away (14)32.239.271.4-7.029%-
Last 10 (10)41.434.776.1+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.077.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.149.682.6-16.521%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.436.371.7-0.943%-
vs Weaker (8)41.128.269.4+12.988%-
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CHAMP1ONtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CHAMP1ON: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.223.5
57.1%
49.5%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.2
28.2%
28.5%18.5
🏀 Free throws21.515.3
71.3%
63.9%15.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ChelSU Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ChelSU Kostanay: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.8
53.4%
49.5%43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.8
28.1%
28.5%20.2
🏀 Free throws24.816.5
66.7%
63.9%16.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/4 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CHAMP1ON
WWWWWWLLLL
ChelSU Kostanay
LLWWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#8
+29.3
Net rating
-1.3
115.5
Offensive rating
101.8
86.2
Defensive rating
103.1
52.0%
Effective FG%
49.2%
39.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.38
28.2%
3-point %
28.1%
64.6%
Assist %
62.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 101.8Defence86.2 · 103.1Shooting52.0% · 49.2%3-point %28.2% · 28.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ CHAMP1ON   ■ ChelSU Kostanay
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CHAMP1ON wins
5
ChelSU Kostanay wins
CHAMP1ONlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/26ATobol Kostanay 285-51
02/03/26HChelSU Kostanay85-68
09/01/26AArlans77-63
08/01/26HAiRom69-47
07/01/26AArlans94-75
06/01/26HAiRom75-58
07/12/25HAktobe59-81
06/12/25AAktobe71-76
12/11/25ABC Almaty 265-80
11/11/25HAtyrau 260-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/26HBC Almaty 299-103
02/03/26ACHAMP1ON68-85
21/01/26HAiRom83-68
20/01/26AArlans71-69
19/01/26HAiRom62-55
18/01/26AArlans77-73
25/11/25AKaspiy Aktau 280-59
24/11/25HAtyrau 295-72
23/11/25AKaspiy Aktau 275-45
22/11/25HAtyrau 299-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CHAMP1ON
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW50%
HomeLLWWW44%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%44%56%
Points / game72.069.674.4
Allowed / game71.075.166.9
Point differential+1.0-5.6+7.6
Avg total143.0144.7141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%33%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
ChelSU Kostanay
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %60%73%44%
Points / game76.582.768.9
Allowed / game77.878.876.4
Point differential-1.2+3.9-7.6
Avg total154.2161.5145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan20200100%87.759.9+27.8
2 Shymkent2017385%94.669.6+25.0
3 Aktobe2016480%81.867.2+14.6
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2015575%82.861.0+21.8
5 Atyrau 22115671%77.768.9+8.9
6 ChelSU Kostanay2012860%76.577.8-1.2
7 BC Almaty 21810856%79.273.7+5.5
8 CHAMP1ON189950%72.071.0+1.0
9 Karaganda2091145%80.278.0+2.2
10 Arlans1971237%76.578.5-2.0
11 Tigers-KazATU1971237%66.977.2-10.3
12 AiRom1941521%65.277.9-12.7
13 Tobol Kostanay 22041620%69.280.7-11.4
14 Pavlodar2021810%53.389.8-36.5
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CHAMP1ON2716261988
ChelSU Kostanay2422163193
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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