PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pavlodar vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 43-83
17-22 7-28 13-18 6-15
Position#13
Record2-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game56.0
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#2
Record20-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game54.8
KazakhstanNational League
Other2015-16
Meetings · Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay
05 Apr 2025
PAVL91
TOBO105
23 Oct 2024
PAVL72
TOBO111
22 Oct 2024
PAVL74
TOBO107
23 Oct 2023
PAVL71
TOBO98
22 Oct 2023
PAVL68
TOBO86
21 Mar 2016
PAVL43
TOBO83
17 Feb 2016
PAVL43
TOBO102
10 Dec 2015
PAVL57
TOBO114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kokshetay
#11
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H30/01
National League
Kazygurt
#4
L
59-90
59
90
-31
A31/01
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#5
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H02/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
43-102
43
102
-59
H17/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A18/02
National League
Astana 2
#10
L
39-70
39
70
-31
A19/02
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
50-73
50
73
-23
H20/02
National League
Kokshetay
#11
L
55-81
55
81
-26
A21/02
National League
Kazygurt
#4
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A19/03
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#5
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A20/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
12-20
23-21
11-16
18-27
12-18
14-20
15-25
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
9-19
6-20
11-18
13-13
9-9
12-21
14-21
15-22
13-15
21-26
6-30
15-10
13-22
15-18
8-19
15-6
15-15
17-18
9-21
16-9
128.0Avg total
52.9Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)56.076.1132.1-20.19%
Season at home (9)58.080.3138.3-22.311%
Season away (14)54.773.4128.1-18.77%
Last 10 (10)52.975.1128.0-22.20%
Last 5 (5)50.470.4120.8-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)53.676.7130.3-23.26%
vs Similar (5)64.874.0138.8-9.220%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#10
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A30/01
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
91-42
91
42
+49
H31/01
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
91-60
91
60
+31
H02/02
National League
Pavlodar
#13
W
102-43
102
43
+59
A17/02
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#5
W
98-49
98
49
+49
H18/02
National League
Kazygurt
#4
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A19/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H20/02
National League
Astana 2
#10
W
78-51
78
51
+27
A21/02
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
81-49
81
49
+32
H19/03
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
71-39
71
39
+32
H20/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
22-28
21-15
23-6
31-10
21-6
21-17
18-9
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
11-16
12-25
24-13
18-20
30-12
15-11
20-18
20-16
29-10
21-11
14-18
14-12
24-12
22-16
22-12
13-9
18-17
22-6
27-10
4-6
137.8Avg total
85.0Scored
52.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.554.8139.3+29.787%
Season at home (11)83.752.8136.5+30.982%
Season away (12)85.256.6141.8+28.792%
Last 10 (10)85.052.8137.8+32.290%
Last 5 (5)76.054.0130.0+22.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.554.8139.3+29.787%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +10.4+10.4Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -9.3-9.3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.6+4.6
PavlodarTobol Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kokshetay
#11
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H30/01
National League
Kazygurt
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A31/01
National League
Astana 2
#10
L
15-39
15
39
-24
A19/02
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H20/02
National League
Kokshetay
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A21/02
National League
Kazygurt
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A19/03
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#5
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A20/03
National League
66.4Avg total
27.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)28.538.266.7-9.716%-
Last 30 at home (7)27.639.467.0-11.914%-
Last 30 away (12)29.137.566.6-8.417%-
Last 10 (7)27.638.966.4-11.30%-
Last 5 (5)26.036.662.6-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)27.938.566.4-10.713%-
vs Similar (4)31.037.068.0-6.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/01
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
52-16
52
16
+36
H31/01
National League
Kazygurt
#4
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A19/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H20/02
National League
Astana 2
#10
W
50-21
50
21
+29
A21/02
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H19/03
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H20/03
National League
70.7Avg total
42.9Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)43.427.370.6+16.188%-
Last 30 at home (8)43.224.667.9+18.688%-
Last 30 away (9)43.429.773.1+13.889%-
Last 10 (7)42.927.970.7+15.086%-
Last 5 (5)40.827.268.0+13.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.427.370.6+16.188%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
2
Tobol Kostanay wins
DateGameScore
17/02/16Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay43-102
10/12/15Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay57-114
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/16ABars Petropavlovsk57-63
19/03/16AKazygurt51-65
21/02/16AKokshetay55-81
20/02/16HAtyrau 250-73
19/02/16AAstana 239-70
18/02/16ATobol Kostanay 256-61
17/02/16HTobol Kostanay43-102
02/02/16HBars Petropavlovsk52-65
31/01/16AKazygurt59-90
30/01/16HKokshetay67-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/16HKokshetay71-39
19/03/16HAtyrau 281-49
21/02/16AAstana 278-51
20/02/16HTobol Kostanay 285-57
19/02/16AKazygurt65-74
18/02/16HBars Petropavlovsk98-49
17/02/16APavlodar102-43
02/02/16HKokshetay91-60
31/01/16HAtyrau 291-42
30/01/16AAstana 288-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
National League 2015-16
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23914
Win %9%11%7%
Points / game56.058.054.7
Allowed / game76.180.373.4
Point differential-20.1-22.3-18.7
Avg total132.1138.3128.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tobol Kostanay
National League 2015-16
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWWLW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %87%82%92%
Points / game84.583.785.2
Allowed / game54.852.856.6
Point differential+29.7+30.9+28.7
Avg total139.3136.5141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+87%82%92%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau2422292%87.863.8+24.0
2 Tobol Kostanay2320387%84.554.8+29.7
3 Astana1410471%82.573.7+8.8
4 Kazygurt2316770%71.967.6+4.3
5 Kaspiy Aktau2315865%76.765.7+11.0
6 Bars Petropavlovsk23131057%62.465.7-3.3
7 Atyrau 223121152%61.568.2-6.7
8 Almaty21101148%75.169.3+5.9
9 Kapshagay2281436%71.071.7-0.8
10 Astana 22171433%57.568.9-11.3
11 Kokshetay2351822%54.672.2-17.7
12 Tobol Kostanay 22332013%58.080.0-22.0
13 Pavlodar232219%56.076.1-20.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar17713643
Tobol Kostanay2228181583
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.