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Pavlodar vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 43-102
Position#13
Record2-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game58.6
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#2
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game56.1
KazakhstanNational League
Other2015-16
Meetings · Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay
05 Apr 2025
PAVL91
TOBO105
23 Oct 2024
PAVL72
TOBO111
22 Oct 2024
PAVL74
TOBO107
23 Oct 2023
PAVL71
TOBO98
22 Oct 2023
PAVL68
TOBO86
21 Mar 2016
PAVL43
TOBO83
17 Feb 2016
PAVL43
TOBO102
10 Dec 2015
PAVL57
TOBO114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A11/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
34-88
34
88
-54
A12/12
National League
Kapshagay
#8
L
39-69
39
69
-30
H13/12
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#5
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A14/12
National League
Astana 2
#10
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A15/12
National League
Astana 2
#10
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A27/01
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H28/01
National League
Kokshetay
#11
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H30/01
National League
Kazygurt
#4
L
59-90
59
90
-31
A31/01
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#5
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H02/02
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
11-19
2-24
5-23
16-22
12-21
5-19
12-15
10-14
13-13
10-15
12-19
10-12
22-16
15-12
15-20
19-22
22-24
13-13
12-23
15-10
16-19
19-19
20-22
13-12
21-24
12-20
23-21
11-16
18-27
12-18
14-20
15-25
–
–
–
–
129.2Avg total
56.2Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)58.677.2135.8-18.712%
Season at home (7)61.378.3139.6-17.014%
Season away (9)56.476.4132.9-20.011%
Last 10 (10)56.273.0129.2-16.810%
Last 5 (5)61.675.6137.2-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)55.777.5133.2-21.88%
vs Similar (3)71.076.0147.0-5.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
H11/12
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
66-25
66
25
+41
A12/12
National League
Almaty
#9
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A13/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H14/12
National League
Kazygurt
#4
W
72-33
72
33
+39
A15/12
National League
Kazygurt
#4
W
111-84
111
84
+27
A27/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
100-51
100
51
+49
H28/01
National League
Astana 2
#10
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A30/01
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
91-42
91
42
+49
H31/01
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
91-60
91
60
+31
H02/02
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
16-19
13-18
19-15
27-8
12-10
15-3
12-4
16-16
27-14
22-23
18-16
13-17
15-7
24-5
9-15
22-13
12-8
19-5
19-7
–
–
–
–
28-10
19-17
33-13
20-11
22-15
22-28
21-15
23-6
31-10
21-6
21-17
18-9
–
–
–
–
137.5Avg total
82.5Scored
55.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.256.1141.4+29.188%
Season at home (7)83.755.3139.0+28.471%
Season away (9)86.456.8143.2+29.7100%
Last 10 (10)82.555.0137.5+27.590%
Last 5 (5)96.260.2156.4+36.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.256.1141.4+29.188%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +8.6+8.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +6.9+6.9
PavlodarTobol Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
13-43
13
43
-30
A12/12
National League
Kapshagay
#8
L
17-40
17
40
-23
H13/12
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#5
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A14/12
National League
Astana 2
#10
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A15/12
National League
Astana 2
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A27/01
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H28/01
National League
Kokshetay
#11
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H30/01
National League
Kazygurt
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A31/01
National League
65.8Avg total
27.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)29.438.868.2-9.421%-
Last 30 at home (6)28.741.069.7-12.317%-
Last 30 away (8)30.037.167.1-7.125%-
Last 10 (8)27.937.965.8-10.012%-
Last 5 (5)34.038.472.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)29.339.668.9-10.418%-
vs Similar (3)30.035.765.7-5.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H11/12
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
39-18
39
18
+21
A12/12
National League
Almaty
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A13/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H14/12
National League
Kazygurt
#4
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A15/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H28/01
National League
Astana 2
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/01
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
52-16
52
16
+36
H31/01
National League
67.6Avg total
39.6Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)44.427.371.8+17.192%-
Last 30 at home (5)43.024.667.6+18.480%-
Last 30 away (7)45.429.374.7+16.1100%-
Last 10 (8)39.628.067.6+11.688%-
Last 5 (5)41.026.267.2+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.427.371.8+17.192%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
1
Tobol Kostanay wins
DateGameScore
10/12/15Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay57-114
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/16HBars Petropavlovsk52-65
31/01/16AKazygurt59-90
30/01/16HKokshetay67-81
28/01/16HAtyrau 268-72
27/01/16AAstana 262-70
15/12/15AAstana 271-70
14/12/15ABars Petropavlovsk45-59
13/12/15HKapshagay39-69
12/12/15AKaspiy Aktau34-88
11/12/15AAtyrau 265-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/16HKokshetay91-60
31/01/16HAtyrau 291-42
30/01/16AAstana 288-64
28/01/16HTobol Kostanay 2100-51
27/01/16AKazygurt111-84
15/12/15AKazygurt72-33
14/12/15HTobol Kostanay 261-44
13/12/15AAlmaty83-69
12/12/15AKokshetay66-25
11/12/15HAtyrau62-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
National League 2015-16
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %12%14%11%
Points / game58.661.356.4
Allowed / game77.278.376.4
Point differential-18.7-17.0-20.0
Avg total135.8139.6132.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tobol Kostanay
National League 2015-16
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %88%71%100%
Points / game85.283.786.4
Allowed / game56.155.356.8
Point differential+29.1+28.4+29.7
Avg total141.4139.0143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%71%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau1817194%90.060.4+29.6
2 Tobol Kostanay1614288%85.256.1+29.1
3 Astana86275%85.674.0+11.6
4 Kazygurt1611569%72.868.6+4.2
5 Kaspiy Aktau1913668%76.963.8+13.1
6 Almaty168850%75.966.9+8.9
7 Bars Petropavlovsk168850%61.667.5-5.9
8 Kapshagay178947%71.468.1+3.2
9 Atyrau 2167944%59.971.2-11.3
10 Astana 21651131%57.371.1-13.8
11 Pavlodar1621412%58.677.2-18.7
12 Tobol Kostanay 21621412%55.881.1-25.2
13 Kokshetay1621412%50.575.9-25.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No quarter scores for this game.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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