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Tofas vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 78-82
26-21 17-24 20-11 15-26
Position#9
Record15-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#1
Record21-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game73.3
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 28
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Tofas v Fenerbahce
05 Mar 2027
TOF v FEN
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
TOF80
FEN78
13 Apr 2025
TOF88
FEN89
05 Nov 2023
TOF86
FEN95
31 May 2023
TOF87
FEN98
26 Mar 2023
TOF94
FEN89
16 Apr 2022
TOF78
FEN82
15 Feb 2022
TOF88
FEN93
31 Oct 2020
TOF103
FEN104
17 Nov 2019
TOF76
FEN82
25 Nov 2018
TOF69
FEN74
11 Jun 2018
TOF77
FEN95
09 Jun 2018
TOF91
FEN88
17 Dec 2017
TOF71
FEN88
26 May 2017
TOF73
FEN79
04 Dec 2016
TOF81
FEN72
03 Oct 2014
TOF76
FEN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#13
L
74-75
74
75
-1
69avg 79
A08/03
Champions League
Treviso
#14
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
no box
H16/03
Champions League
Yalovaspor
#15
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
H19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manresa
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
58avg 79
A22/03
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#14
W
98-66
98
66
+32
100avg 79
A26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
92-108
92
108
-16
89avg 79
A30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
W
81-80
81
80
+1
79avg 79
H02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
66avg 79
A06/04
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 79
A09/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 79
H12/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
18-16
16-23
20-15
22-23
19-18
16-17
15-14
18-14
17-24
24-15
16-13
9-19
18-20
24-20
19-26
24-14
24-19
22-12
28-21
22-30
25-28
19-25
26-25
24-21
19-24
20-18
18-17
17-31
16-16
24-19
20-12
16-15
19-27
20-16
23-21
16-21
14-22
20-18
23-13
159.1Avg total
80.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.682.3167.8+3.356%
Season at home (14)88.681.9170.5+6.657%
Season away (13)82.382.6164.9-0.354%
Last 10 (10)80.079.1159.1+0.940%
Last 5 (5)80.283.8164.0-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)72.082.0154.0-10.00%
vs Similar (18)79.679.7159.3-0.239%
vs Weaker (10)92.275.4167.6+16.890%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
83avg 74
H19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#15
L
62-77
62
77
-15
60avg 74
A23/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
60avg 74
A25/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
69avg 74
A27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#14
L
57-66
57
66
-9
49avg 74
H29/03
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#16
W
99-61
99
61
+38
no box
A01/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#11
W
81-76
81
76
+5
79avg 74
H04/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
59-62
59
62
-3
50avg 74
H08/04
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#3
L
70-76
70
76
-6
54avg 74
H11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
76-85
76
85
-9
77avg 74
A13/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
32-15
18-23
21-24
19-20
21-12
13-22
9-23
21-25
13-17
15-28
18-18
25-14
13-20
13-17
21-23
19-16
8-21
11-11
19-18
22-12
23-17
21-17
33-15
27-16
18-15
9-31
27-14
20-22
12-16
17-6
10-18
18-25
18-13
20-20
14-18
21-21
22-24
19-21
14-19
147.9Avg total
73.3Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.673.3156.9+10.378%
Season at home (14)86.072.4158.4+13.686%
Season away (13)81.074.4155.4+6.669%
Last 10 (10)73.374.6147.9-1.330%
Last 5 (5)77.072.0149.0+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.375.0143.3-6.733%
vs Similar (11)73.675.7149.4-2.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.474.3155.7+7.167%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
TofasFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A08/03
Champions League
Treviso
#14
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H16/03
Champions League
Yalovaspor
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manresa
#3
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A22/03
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A06/04
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A09/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H12/04
Champions League
80.0Avg total
37.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.782.5-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.741.984.6+0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)38.941.580.3-2.627%-
Last 10 (10)37.742.380.0-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)37.647.084.6-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)35.044.079.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (18)38.843.382.1-4.628%-
vs Weaker (10)44.239.083.2+5.240%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A23/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A25/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#14
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H29/03
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#16
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A01/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#11
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H04/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H08/04
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A13/04
Euroleague
75.1Avg total
39.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.275.3+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.234.272.4+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)38.040.678.6-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.075.1+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.276.4+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.333.362.7-4.033%-
vs Similar (11)36.539.976.5-3.427%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.135.376.4+5.767%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.3
52.0%
53.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.28.0
37.7%
36.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.612.3
74.1%
75.6%12.3
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.7
54.2%
53.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.4
34.3%
36.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws13.610.2
75.0%
75.6%10.2
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLLWLWLWWL
Fenerbahce
LLLWWLLLLW
#9
League position
#1
-0.8
Net rating
-0.9
111.6
Offensive rating
105.3
112.5
Defensive rating
106.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
53.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
18.1%
Turnover %
19.1%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.7%
3-point %
34.3%
61.1%
Assist %
68.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 105.3Defence112.5 · 106.2Shooting53.5% · 53.1%3-point %37.7% · 34.3%Ball care18.1% · 19.1%Off. rebounds34.3% · 27.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Tofas   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tofas wins
9
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
15/02/22Tofas v Fenerbahce88-93 OT
19/12/21Fenerbahce v Tofas82-72
10/02/21Fenerbahce v Tofas81-84
31/10/20Tofas v Fenerbahce103-104
15/03/20Fenerbahce v Tofas84-75
17/11/19Tofas v Fenerbahce76-82
24/03/19Fenerbahce v Tofas89-56
25/11/18Tofas v Fenerbahce69-74
13/06/18Fenerbahce v Tofas94-64
11/06/18Tofas v Fenerbahce77-95
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/22HTenerife73-74
09/04/22AKarsiyaka78-79
06/04/22ATenerife77-78
02/04/22HBesiktas81-80
30/03/22AGaziantep92-108
26/03/22AMerkezefendi98-66
22/03/22AManresa70-85
19/03/22HYalovaspor75-66
16/03/22HTreviso82-80 OT
08/03/22ADarussafaka74-75
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-85
11/04/22HGalatasaray70-76
08/04/22HPanathinaikos59-62
04/04/22HBayern81-76
01/04/22AAfyon Belediye99-61
29/03/22HAlba Berlin57-66
27/03/22AKarsiyaka72-74
25/03/22ABarcelona67-88
23/03/22ABaskonia62-77
19/03/22HBesiktas90-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayWLWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%57%54%
Points / game85.688.682.3
Allowed / game82.381.982.6
Point differential+3.3+6.6-0.3
Avg total167.8170.5164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL78%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %78%86%69%
Points / game83.686.081.0
Allowed / game73.372.474.4
Point differential+10.3+13.6+6.6
Avg total156.9158.4155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes2822679%90.680.0+10.6
2 Fenerbahce2721678%83.673.3+10.3
3 Darussafaka2718967%79.373.7+5.6
4 Gaziantep28181064%80.575.8+4.7
5 Galatasaray27171063%86.180.4+5.8
6 Karsiyaka28171161%80.376.5+3.8
7 Bahcesehir Kol.28161257%86.081.7+4.3
8 Bursaspor27151256%82.978.7+4.2
9 Tofas27151256%85.682.3+3.3
10 Besiktas28141450%76.675.8+0.9
11 Turk Telekom27121544%76.674.9+1.7
12 Buyukcekmece2891932%79.786.6-7.0
13 Merkezefendi2781930%76.785.2-8.4
14 Yalovaspor2772026%74.180.9-6.8
15 Petkim Spor2762122%76.984.8-8.0
16 Afyon Belediye2742315%71.496.9-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2617201578
Fenerbahce2124112682
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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