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Tofas vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-72
22-21 24-17 14-14 20-20
Position#4
Record12-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game78.2
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#9
Record7-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game78.8
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 20
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Tofas v Darussafaka
16 Mar 2025
TOF111
DAR93
24 Mar 2024
TOF83
DAR90
06 May 2023
TOF94
DAR93
25 Jan 2022
TOF91
DAR81
23 Jan 2022
TOF81
DAR65
18 Apr 2021
TOF101
DAR89
29 Mar 2020
TOF v DAR
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
TOF80
DAR72
07 Oct 2017
TOF97
DAR81
30 Jan 2017
TOF83
DAR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#17
L
92-98
92
98
-6
H11/12
Eurocup
Gaziantep
#5
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita
#18
W
96-92
96
92
+4
A18/12
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#6
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H12/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#11
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
H26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Istanbul BB
#14
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H14/02
Turkish Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
24-19
22-21
24-30
24-18
17-15
26-17
12-16
26-23
24-14
23-34
23-21
24-22
15-23
20-25
22-23
16-25
24-14
26-23
11-17
16-17
31-12
20-23
22-27
22-24
19-15
16-22
24-20
25-22
22-15
18-22
22-23
26-23
22-14
23-20
24-17
25-20
14-28
19-21
25-20
171.5Avg total
87.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.578.2161.7+5.271%
Season at home (9)86.980.0166.9+6.978%
Season away (8)79.676.2155.9+3.462%
Last 10 (10)87.284.3171.5+2.960%
Last 5 (5)89.483.0172.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.896.1177.9-14.40%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.183.6169.7+2.564%
vs Weaker (10)86.876.7163.5+10.190%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A18/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H25/01
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#5
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H01/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
86-95 OT
86
95
-9
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A08/02
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
75-97
75
97
-22
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A28/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
15-18
20-24
17-22
14-21
11-24
20-21
23-16
21-29
24-18
18-14
17-14
13-14
17-13
17-19
18-16
16-23
22-30
21-19
23-14
19-23
18-24
18-13
24-19
17-19
19-21
25-20
17-30
17-25
23-22
18-22
27-23
12-26
23-20
13-27
27-24
10-18
13-20
18-19
17-20
157.8Avg total
74.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.678.8157.5-0.241%
Season at home (8)81.475.6157.0+5.850%
Season away (9)76.281.7157.9-5.433%
Last 10 (10)74.683.2157.8-8.620%
Last 5 (5)76.490.2166.6-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.985.8160.7-10.811%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.877.6155.4+0.138%
vs Weaker (4)85.072.8157.8+12.275%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
TofasDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#17
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H11/12
Eurocup
Gaziantep
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita
#18
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A18/12
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#6
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H12/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Istanbul BB
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H14/02
Turkish Cup
82.9Avg total
43.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.184.0-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.742.884.4-1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)42.341.383.6+1.043%-
Last 10 (10)43.839.182.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.082.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.846.884.5-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.941.484.3+1.536%-
vs Weaker (10)44.638.583.1+6.180%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A18/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H25/01
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#5
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H01/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A08/02
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A28/02
Euroleague
76.1Avg total
34.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.479.3-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.941.882.7-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)35.140.976.0-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)34.142.076.1-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.243.677.8-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.743.980.6-7.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.437.677.0+1.850%-
vs Weaker (4)41.037.278.2+3.8100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.9
54.3%
54.1%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.99.9
43.2%
35.6%29.6
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.2%
75.9%14.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.6
47.8%
54.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.3
33.3%
35.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.512.3
79.4%
75.9%12.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWWWWLLWWL
Darussafaka
LLLLLLWWLL
#4
League position
#9
-3.5
Net rating
-15.5
115.0
Offensive rating
98.8
118.5
Defensive rating
114.3
58.1%
Effective FG%
48.6%
61.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
19.5%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
43.2%
3-point %
33.3%
63.8%
Assist %
59.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 98.8Defence118.5 · 114.3Shooting58.1% · 48.6%3-point %43.2% · 33.3%Ball care14.7% · 19.5%Off. rebounds21.7% · 27.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Tofas   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tofas wins
1
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
04/11/18Darussafaka v Tofas78-82
28/01/18Darussafaka v Tofas54-58
07/10/17Tofas v Darussafaka97-81
30/01/17Tofas v Darussafaka83-66
08/10/16Darussafaka v Tofas83-75
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/19HBesiktas83-89
10/02/19HAfyon Belediye95-74
02/02/19AIstanbul BB87-82
26/01/19HKarsiyaka93-91 OT
12/01/19HBesiktas89-79
29/12/18ABahcesehir Kol.77-79
23/12/18HAnadolu Efes81-93
18/12/18ACedevita96-92
15/12/18AGaziantep79-66
11/12/18HLimoges92-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/19AMaccabi Tel Aviv58-77
22/02/19HFenerbahce75-97
11/02/19ABahcesehir Kol.85-92
08/02/19AOlimpia Milano78-90
04/02/19HAnadolu Efes86-95 OT
01/02/19HReal Madrid82-86
28/01/19AGaziantep65-62
25/01/19HBaskonia80-75
18/01/19AAnadolu Efes68-82
14/01/19ABuyukcekmece69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayWLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%78%62%
Points / game83.586.979.6
Allowed / game78.280.076.2
Point differential+5.2+6.9+3.4
Avg total161.7166.9155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Darussafaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL41%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game78.681.476.2
Allowed / game78.875.681.7
Point differential-0.2+5.8-5.4
Avg total157.5157.0157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1815383%84.070.6+13.4
2 Anadolu Efes1815383%87.377.9+9.4
3 Tofas1712571%83.578.2+5.2
4 Gaziantep1811761%71.870.4+1.4
5 Bahcesehir Kol.1810856%81.880.7+1.2
6 Besiktas1810856%76.375.7+0.6
7 Turk Telekom1810856%77.378.4-1.2
8 Galatasaray179853%81.778.8+2.9
9 Karsiyaka1881044%81.682.2-0.6
10 Darussafaka1771041%78.678.8-0.2
11 Banvit1761135%76.479.6-3.3
12 Buyukcekmece1861233%78.485.2-6.8
13 Sakarya BB1851328%69.680.1-10.6
14 Afyon Belediye1741324%79.683.9-4.2
15 Istanbul BB1741324%77.885.5-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2224142080
Darussafaka2117142072
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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