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Darussafaka vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 82-86
16-23 22-30 21-19 23-14
Position#16
Record3-17
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#3
Record16-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21
European cup2018
Meetings · Darussafaka v Real Madrid
01 Feb 2019
DAR82
MAD86
28 Apr 2017
DAR78
MAD89
26 Apr 2017
DAR81
MAD88
15 Dec 2016
DAR81
MAD68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H27/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
61-91
61
91
-30
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
65-97
65
97
-32
A04/01
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H09/01
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A11/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A18/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H25/01
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#5
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
18-19
18-22
19-22
15-22
15-25
15-23
16-21
16-29
11-25
18-19
20-24
20-25
23-20
22-17
29-25
16-25
18-19
15-16
16-20
14-16
28-20
11-22
21-17
17-12
15-18
20-24
17-22
14-21
11-24
20-21
23-16
21-29
24-18
18-14
17-14
13-14
17-13
17-19
18-16
152.0Avg total
72.0Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.584.3158.8-9.815%
Season at home (10)75.978.6154.5-2.730%
Season away (10)73.190.0163.1-16.90%
Last 10 (10)72.080.0152.0-8.040%
Last 5 (5)71.274.0145.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.986.0158.9-13.112%
vs Similar (9)76.975.9152.8+1.044%
vs Weaker (5)84.878.2163.0+6.660%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A30/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H03/01
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#16
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A06/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A08/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H10/01
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
98-96
98
96
+2
H13/01
ACB
Buducnost
#15
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A18/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A20/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H24/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H27/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
21-23
27-13
17-26
21-19
23-25
25-18
22-17
25-25
24-21
15-20
24-27
16-15
11-19
25-22
23-11
28-23
26-23
18-17
22-15
31-31
22-21
23-22
22-22
15-19
13-17
20-20
12-17
22-22
18-22
23-15
20-19
21-21
21-21
22-19
28-23
12-27
31-13
25-19
21-20
166.2Avg total
86.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.276.0162.2+10.280%
Season at home (11)91.776.7168.5+15.091%
Season away (9)79.475.2154.7+4.267%
Last 10 (10)86.180.1166.2+6.080%
Last 5 (5)84.482.0166.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)81.280.7161.8+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.176.8163.8+10.379%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
DarussafakaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H27/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A04/01
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H09/01
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A11/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A18/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H25/01
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#5
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
75.6Avg total
35.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.779.2-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.339.981.2+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)35.641.577.1-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)35.040.675.6-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.071.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.244.181.4-6.925%-
vs Similar (9)39.036.175.1+2.956%-
vs Weaker (5)41.238.279.4+3.080%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A30/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/01
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A06/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A08/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H10/01
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H13/01
ACB
Buducnost
#15
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A18/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A20/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H27/01
ACB
84.6Avg total
42.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.282.4+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.438.785.1+7.881%-
Last 30 away (14)39.639.779.4-0.136%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.984.6+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.884.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)40.539.780.2+0.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.039.083.0+4.967%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.7
49.0%
52.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.6
30.6%
37.0%19.8
🏀 Free throws16.212.2
75.3%
76.7%12.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.9
52.6%
52.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.3
40.8%
37.0%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.6
75.1%
76.7%13.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
WWLLLLWLLW
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWLWW
#16
League position
#3
-9.4
Net rating
+8.5
99.2
Offensive rating
117.4
108.6
Defensive rating
108.9
47.9%
Effective FG%
56.4%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.3%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.6%
3-point %
40.8%
63.5%
Assist %
59.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 117.4Defence108.6 · 108.9Shooting47.9% · 56.4%3-point %30.6% · 40.8%Ball care18.4% · 16.3%Off. rebounds28.1% · 31.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Darussafaka wins
5
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/19AGaziantep65-62
25/01/19HBaskonia80-75
18/01/19AAnadolu Efes68-82
14/01/19ABuyukcekmece69-76
11/01/19ABuducnost74-75
09/01/19HCSKA Moscow65-80
07/01/19HTurk Telekom94-87
04/01/19ABarcelona65-97
30/12/18AFenerbahce61-91
27/12/18HOlympiacos79-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/19HFuenlabrada89-79
24/01/19HAnadolu Efes92-84
20/01/19AManresa83-78
18/01/19ABuducnost60-73
13/01/19HTecnyconta Zaragoza98-96
10/01/19HOlympiacos94-78
08/01/19AGran Canaria75-67
06/01/19AEstudiantes88-93
03/01/19HMaccabi Tel Aviv91-79
30/12/18ABaskonia91-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW15%
HomeLLWLW30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %15%30%0%
Points / game74.575.973.1
Allowed / game84.378.690.0
Point differential-9.8-2.7-16.9
Avg total158.8154.5163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %80%91%67%
Points / game86.291.779.4
Allowed / game76.076.775.2
Point differential+10.2+15.0+4.2
Avg total162.2168.5154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%73%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2118386%84.075.3+8.7
2 Real Madrid2016480%86.276.0+10.2
3 CSKA Moscow2116576%87.080.7+6.3
4 Anadolu Efes2013765%85.580.2+5.3
5 Barcelona2112957%78.376.6+1.7
6 Olympiacos2112957%79.077.3+1.6
7 Bayern21111052%79.880.5-0.8
8 Baskonia21101148%82.080.5+1.4
9 Olimpia Milano2091145%86.385.6+0.8
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv2191243%80.080.9-1.0
11 Panathinaikos2081240%77.379.7-2.4
12 Khimki M.2181338%76.778.4-1.7
13 Zalgiris Kaunas2181338%77.979.7-1.9
14 Gran Canaria2061430%77.886.6-8.8
15 Buducnost2161529%73.883.8-10.0
16 Darussafaka2031715%74.584.3-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka1622212382
Real Madrid2330191486
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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