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Tofas vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-90
14-26 23-19 25-15 21-30
Position#11
Record9-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Position#13
Record11-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game84.7
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 24· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tofas v Darussafaka
16 Mar 2025
TOF111
DAR93
24 Mar 2024
TOF83
DAR90
06 May 2023
TOF94
DAR93
25 Jan 2022
TOF91
DAR81
23 Jan 2022
TOF81
DAR65
18 Apr 2021
TOF101
DAR89
29 Mar 2020
TOF v DAR
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
TOF80
DAR72
07 Oct 2017
TOF97
DAR81
30 Jan 2017
TOF83
DAR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#11
W
93-71
93
71
+22
100avg 80
H31/01
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 80
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 80
H07/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#7
W
84-71
84
71
+13
88avg 80
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-109
77
109
-32
70avg 80
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 80
A06/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
93-95
93
95
-2
92avg 80
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 80
H13/03
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
L
83-87
83
87
-4
82avg 80
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
L
65-78
65
78
-13
59avg 80
A19/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
24-20
19-15
21-21
17-23
19-19
22-16
31-33
19-17
23-14
18-16
24-24
21-28
24-10
21-16
18-17
13-30
15-32
23-25
26-22
7-13
20-21
17-23
30-20
17-23
23-28
31-16
22-28
28-23
17-20
23-18
8-19
15-25
21-20
30-22
17-20
16-30
16-21
18-12
15-15
164.8Avg total
81.8Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.086.9171.9-1.939%
Season at home (11)89.483.5172.8+5.964%
Season away (12)81.090.1171.1-9.117%
Last 10 (10)81.883.0164.8-1.230%
Last 5 (5)78.283.4161.6-5.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.694.0172.6-15.40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.580.1163.7+3.453%
vs Weaker (6)92.276.0168.2+16.267%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 73
H10/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 73
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
73-99
73
99
-26
68avg 73
A16/01
Champions League
Bursaspor
#8
W
94-85
94
85
+9
82avg 73
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 73
A29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
97-103
97
103
-6
92avg 73
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
W
98-86
98
86
+12
92avg 73
A10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
68-75
68
75
-7
59avg 73
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
78-95
78
95
-17
66avg 73
A09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
108-78
108
78
+30
106avg 73
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
25-8
22-18
15-20
17-19
15-24
15-19
25-26
21-29
17-19
18-29
17-22
17-18
27-22
27-27
23-18
19-19
22-17
21-17
26-27
23-26
24-26
27-23
23-28
30-25
15-21
24-15
29-25
25-14
11-19
19-21
13-21
17-20
19-25
19-25
23-25
26-15
24-19
27-24
31-20
172.0Avg total
85.9Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.784.7166.3-3.048%
Season at home (12)81.582.1163.6-0.658%
Season away (11)81.987.5169.4-5.536%
Last 10 (10)85.986.1172.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)89.887.4177.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)78.284.9163.1-6.750%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.587.5172.0-3.030%
vs Weaker (2)103.084.0187.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
TofasDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#11
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H31/01
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
28-62
28
62
-34
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A06/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/03
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A19/03
Champions League
81.6Avg total
38.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.082.7-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.239.885.0+5.479%-
Last 30 away (16)36.943.980.8-7.019%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.281.6-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.044.880.8-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.648.386.9-9.811%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.540.681.1-0.153%-
vs Weaker (6)44.735.880.5+8.883%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A16/01
Champions League
Bursaspor
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.6Avg total
41.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.283.8-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.741.783.4+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)41.442.784.1-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.182.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.084.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.142.381.4-3.228%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.843.587.3+0.350%-
vs Weaker (2)52.535.087.5+17.5100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.8
55.5%
53.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.6
35.0%
36.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.217.4
75.0%
74.7%17.4
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.9
53.4%
53.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.9
34.4%
36.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.7
73.5%
74.7%14.7
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLLLLLWWLW
Darussafaka
WLLWLWWLLW
#11
League position
#13
-1.7
Net rating
+0.1
111.9
Offensive rating
113.2
113.6
Defensive rating
113.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
52.7%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
14.5%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.0%
3-point %
34.4%
73.7%
Assist %
62.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 113.2Defence113.6 · 113.1Shooting54.2% · 52.7%3-point %35.0% · 34.4%Ball care18.8% · 14.5%Off. rebounds31.9% · 29.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Tofas   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tofas wins
4
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
26/11/23Darussafaka v Tofas76-82
06/05/23Tofas v Darussafaka94-93
31/12/22Darussafaka v Tofas88-82
08/03/22Darussafaka v Tofas75-74
25/01/22Tofas v Darussafaka91-81
23/01/22Tofas v Darussafaka81-65
09/10/21Darussafaka v Tofas94-78
18/04/21Tofas v Darussafaka101-89
27/12/20Darussafaka v Tofas72-85
30/11/19Darussafaka v Tofas69-61
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/24AStrasbourg65-78
16/03/24ATurk Telekom83-87
13/03/24HUnicaja76-80
10/03/24HAnadolu Efes93-95
06/03/24ACholet74-77
03/03/24AFenerbahce77-109
11/02/24HPetkim Spor84-71
07/02/24HCholet84-71
04/02/24AManisa89-91
31/01/24HStrasbourg93-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24HSamsunspor108-78
09/03/24AGalatasaray78-95
01/03/24HBahcesehir Kol.68-75
10/02/24AKarsiyaka98-86
05/02/24HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor97-103
29/01/24ABuyukcekmece88-80
21/01/24HBursaspor94-85
16/01/24ALudwigsburg73-99
13/01/24ABesiktas72-88
10/01/24HLudwigsburg83-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL39%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%64%17%
Points / game85.089.481.0
Allowed / game86.983.590.1
Point differential-1.9+5.9-9.1
Avg total171.9172.8171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Darussafaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW48%
HomeWWLLW58%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%58%36%
Points / game81.781.581.9
Allowed / game84.782.187.5
Point differential-3.0-0.6-5.5
Avg total166.3163.6169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)83% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes2421388%86.580.6+5.9
2 Fenerbahce2320387%92.074.7+17.3
3 Besiktas2419579%81.372.8+8.5
4 Karsiyaka2416867%88.284.8+3.5
5 Petkim Spor23121152%83.880.9+3.0
6 Galatasaray24121250%83.082.2+0.8
7 Manisa24121250%81.783.9-2.2
8 Darussafaka23111248%81.784.7-3.0
9 Turk Telekom24111346%80.680.4+0.2
10 Buyukcekmece24101442%80.482.4-2.0
11 Bursaspor24101442%80.784.1-3.5
12 Tofas2391439%85.086.9-1.9
13 Bahcesehir Kol.2491538%86.087.2-1.2
14 Merkezefendi2481633%79.686.1-6.5
15 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor2471729%80.286.4-6.2
16 Samsunspor2432112%75.087.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1423252183
Darussafaka2619153090
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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