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Tofas vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 111-93
23-22 29-26 31-26 28-19
Position#4
Record14-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game84.8
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#15
Record7-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game87.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 21· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Tofas v Darussafaka
16 Mar 2025
TOF111
DAR93
24 Mar 2024
TOF83
DAR90
06 May 2023
TOF94
DAR93
25 Jan 2022
TOF91
DAR81
23 Jan 2022
TOF81
DAR65
18 Apr 2021
TOF101
DAR89
29 Mar 2020
TOF v DAR
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
TOF80
DAR72
07 Oct 2017
TOF97
DAR81
30 Jan 2017
TOF83
DAR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#3
L
70-95
70
95
-25
56avg 85
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
84avg 85
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 85
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 85
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
77avg 85
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#4
L
95-101
95
101
-6
92avg 85
A12/02
Turkish Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
105-90
105
90
+15
106avg 85
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 85
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#9
L
93-98
93
98
-5
90avg 85
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
W
102-93
102
93
+9
105avg 85
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
15-25
17-25
20-21
20-25
29-20
11-25
22-20
31-25
22-16
14-17
21-25
17-25
22-24
16-14
25-16
23-13
25-26
22-25
13-24
23-24
20-21
27-29
25-27
19-23
32-13
27-35
27-19
14-26
21-21
15-18
22-19
28-20
20-29
26-23
19-26
30-25
23-21
27-20
22-27
177.1Avg total
87.0Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.284.8173.0+3.370%
Season at home (9)94.184.0178.1+10.1100%
Season away (11)83.385.5168.8-2.345%
Last 10 (10)87.090.1177.1-3.140%
Last 5 (5)93.493.2186.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.886.4168.2-4.640%
vs Similar (14)90.788.2178.9+2.571%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.079.9168.9+9.180%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
L
82-100
82
100
-18
74avg 71
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
82-85
82
85
-3
77avg 71
H28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
70-75
70
75
-5
58avg 71
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
W
85-81
85
81
+4
74avg 71
H13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
W
89-81
89
81
+8
78avg 71
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
83-64
83
64
+19
74avg 71
H25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
96-86 OT
96
86
+10
92avg 71
A02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
67-83
67
83
-16
56avg 71
H09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
69avg 71
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
89-71
89
71
+18
84avg 71
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
34-26
16-20
11-25
18-26
20-18
20-12
24-29
11-24
23-11
16-15
20-25
28-15
17-27
20-19
20-20
18-22
23-14
29-21
19-24
26-11
17-17
21-9
19-27
16-25
30-11
20-25
16-21
13-22
18-20
19-24
17-17
17-25
16-16
21-21
21-29
19-18
26-21
21-15
23-17
163.5Avg total
81.8Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.287.0168.2-5.735%
Season at home (11)83.581.3164.7+2.255%
Season away (9)78.693.9172.4-15.311%
Last 10 (10)81.881.7163.5+0.150%
Last 5 (5)82.079.0161.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)78.489.2167.6-10.819%
vs Similar (8)82.080.8162.8+1.250%
vs Weaker (1)108.078.0186.0+30.0100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
TofasDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/02
Turkish Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
89.8Avg total
45.2Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.987.8+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.141.589.5+6.685%-
Last 30 away (17)42.444.086.4-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)45.244.689.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.044.690.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.046.486.4-6.420%-
vs Similar (14)47.742.990.6+4.964%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.541.084.5+2.560%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.9Avg total
41.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.683.4-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.641.182.7+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)39.844.484.2-4.614%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.880.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.276.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.744.184.9-3.429%-
vs Similar (8)39.839.879.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker (1)50.034.084.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.325.4
61.5%
54.2%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.2
31.3%
35.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.917.3
75.5%
76.0%17.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.9
51.4%
54.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws13.710.0
73.0%
76.0%10.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WLLWLLWWLL
Darussafaka
WLLWWWWLLL
#4
League position
#15
+4.9
Net rating
-9.3
114.3
Offensive rating
105.4
109.4
Defensive rating
114.7
56.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.21
31.3%
3-point %
34.4%
67.4%
Assist %
63.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 105.4Defence109.4 · 114.7Shooting56.8% · 51.4%3-point %31.3% · 34.4%Ball care18.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.2% · 27.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Tofas   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tofas wins
4
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Darussafaka v Tofas78-87
24/03/24Tofas v Darussafaka83-90
26/11/23Darussafaka v Tofas76-82
06/05/23Tofas v Darussafaka94-93
31/12/22Darussafaka v Tofas88-82
08/03/22Darussafaka v Tofas75-74
25/01/22Tofas v Darussafaka91-81
23/01/22Tofas v Darussafaka81-65
09/10/21Darussafaka v Tofas94-78
18/04/21Tofas v Darussafaka101-89
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HBilbao102-93
08/03/25ABursaspor93-98
05/03/25ABilbao72-84
28/02/25HYalovaspor105-90
12/02/25AMersin SK95-101
09/02/25ABuyukcekmece83-88
05/02/25ABasket Zaragoza80-79
01/02/25HGalatasaray88-83
29/01/25HFC Porto82-90
25/01/25ABesiktas70-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HTurk Telekom89-71
01/03/25AFenerbahce75-91
09/02/25HAnadolu Efes67-83
02/02/25AManisa96-86 OT
25/01/25HPetkim Spor83-64
18/01/25HMersin SK89-81
13/01/25HBursaspor85-81
06/01/25AYalovaspor70-75
28/12/24HBuyukcekmece82-85
21/12/24AGalatasaray82-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %70%100%45%
Points / game88.294.183.3
Allowed / game84.884.085.5
Point differential+3.3+10.1-2.3
Avg total173.0178.1168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%44%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Darussafaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW35%
HomeWWWLW55%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %35%55%11%
Points / game81.283.578.6
Allowed / game87.081.393.9
Point differential-5.7+2.2-15.3
Avg total168.2164.7172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2120195%90.179.9+10.2
2 Besiktas2116576%89.781.8+8.0
3 Anadolu Efes2015575%89.678.9+10.7
4 Tofas2014670%88.284.8+3.3
5 Galatasaray2112957%87.884.2+3.6
6 Bahcesehir Kol.2112957%82.379.5+2.9
7 Mersin SK2011955%84.086.2-2.3
8 Buyukcekmece2191243%85.185.4-0.2
9 Turk Telekom2191243%82.783.7-1.0
10 Bursaspor2191243%84.589.5-5.0
11 Petkim Spor2181338%82.083.4-1.3
12 Karsiyaka2181338%86.188.2-2.0
13 Darussafaka2071335%81.287.0-5.7
14 Manisa2161529%84.989.0-4.1
15 Merkezefendi2051525%80.088.0-8.0
16 Yalovaspor2041620%79.588.8-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas23293128111
Darussafaka2226261993
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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