PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tofas vs Galatasaray Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game79.8
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 10· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tofas v Galatasaray
05 Dec 2026
TOF v GAL
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
TOF78
GAL91
01 Feb 2025
TOF88
GAL83
04 May 2024
TOF102
GAL107
18 Mar 2023
TOF81
GAL83
26 Dec 2021
TOF77
GAL88
27 Feb 2021
TOF98
GAL89
02 Nov 2019
TOF112
GAL93
27 Oct 2018
TOF97
GAL82
02 Dec 2017
TOF97
GAL90
16 Oct 2016
TOF80
GAL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Galatasaray win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
78avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
38avg 79
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
89avg 79
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 79
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-74
90
74
+16
91avg 79
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 79
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
W
96-86
96
86
+10
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#8
W
75-61
75
61
+14
no box
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
21-25
22-22
16-23
18-18
19-29
24-20
24-10
27-20
21-21
25-17
21-31
26-18
21-24
23-20
23-22
29-20
16-22
20-17
18-12
21-10
166.7Avg total
85.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.582.0162.5-1.550%
Season at home (4)79.077.8156.8+1.250%
Season away (4)82.086.2168.2-4.250%
Last 10 (10)85.980.8166.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)87.080.2167.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.086.9166.9-6.914%
vs Similar (10)82.886.1168.9-3.330%
vs Weaker (13)89.584.9174.4+4.577%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalatasaray
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#9
L
71-78 OT
71
78
-7
62avg 77
A02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cibona
#36
L
76-96
76
96
-20
72avg 77
A06/10
Champions League
Bursaspor
#16
L
88-93
88
93
-5
78avg 77
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#11
L
80-83
80
83
-3
73avg 77
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
82avg 77
H20/10
Champions League
Bordo Bandirma
#12
W
102-68
102
68
+34
105avg 77
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Denizli Basket
#15
W
87-74
87
74
+13
79avg 77
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Legia
#16
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A04/11
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
no box
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Korfez Basket
#13
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
21-17
14-15
17-15
24-24
18-26
19-21
15-25
20-20
21-25
19-21
28-27
22-19
17-25
21-20
20-19
21-16
21-17
20-23
21-21
21-19
17-15
30-11
34-23
17-17
24-12
23-21
23-24
21-14
11-20
26-19
14-26
24-13
16-26
19-20
31-22
14-20
23-24
23-26
21-12
164.1Avg total
83.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.679.8167.4+7.950%
Season at home (4)95.580.2175.8+15.275%
Season away (4)79.879.2159.0+0.525%
Last 10 (10)83.081.1164.1+1.940%
Last 5 (5)86.476.8163.2+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.384.3164.6-4.043%
vs Similar (8)74.984.6159.5-9.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.582.2169.7+5.360%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
TofasGalatasaray
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.2Avg total
42.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.544.486.9-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.045.787.7-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)43.043.086.0+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.585.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.344.185.4-2.929%-
vs Similar (10)40.245.986.1-5.720%-
vs Weaker (13)44.943.388.2+1.654%-
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#9
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cibona
#36
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A06/10
Champions League
Bursaspor
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H20/10
Champions League
Bordo Bandirma
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Denizli Basket
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Legia
#16
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A04/11
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Korfez Basket
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.3Avg total
38.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.281.1-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.241.883.9+0.454%-
Last 30 away (17)38.140.878.9-2.841%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.777.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.073.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.341.982.1-1.643%-
vs Similar (8)35.940.576.4-4.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.741.383.1+0.453%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
54.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.9
29.2%
35.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
75.9%15.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.7
54.3%
54.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.3
33.6%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws25.018.2
72.8%
75.9%18.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWWWLWLLWW
Galatasaray
LWLWWWLLLL
#7
League position
#6
-1.4
Net rating
+3.8
92.8
Offensive rating
99.9
94.2
Defensive rating
96.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.6%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.41
29.2%
3-point %
33.6%
59.8%
Assist %
60.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 99.9Defence94.2 · 96.1Shooting52.7% · 52.7%3-point %29.2% · 33.6%Ball care17.6% · 12.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Tofas   ■ Galatasaray
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tofas wins
8
Galatasaray wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Tofas v Galatasaray78-91
03/10/25Galatasaray v Tofas93-91
01/02/25Tofas v Galatasaray88-83
13/10/24Galatasaray v Tofas76-80
04/05/24Tofas v Galatasaray102-107 OT
06/01/24Galatasaray v Tofas95-76
18/03/23Tofas v Galatasaray81-83
04/11/22Galatasaray v Tofas90-76
24/04/22Galatasaray v Tofas90-89 OT
26/12/21Tofas v Galatasaray77-88
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTrabzonspor75-61
10/11/26ATrento96-86
08/11/26AAnadolu Efes93-87
03/11/26HNeptunas94-79
01/11/26AFenerbahce77-88
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AKorfez Basket81-82
08/11/26HEsenler Erokspor90-81
04/11/26ALegia72-79
31/10/26ADenizli Basket87-74
25/10/26HBordo Bandirma102-68
20/10/26HStrasbourg83-77
18/10/26ABesiktas80-83
12/10/26HBursaspor88-93
06/10/26ACibona76-96
02/10/26AKarsiyaka71-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.579.082.0
Allowed / game82.077.886.2
Point differential-1.5+1.2-4.2
Avg total162.5156.8168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galatasaray
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game87.695.579.8
Allowed / game79.880.279.2
Point differential+7.9+15.2+0.5
Avg total167.4175.8159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.87188%92.882.9+9.9
2 Turk Telekom86275%83.675.0+8.6
3 Fenerbahce75271%86.979.6+7.3
4 Anadolu Efes75271%86.079.4+6.6
5 Petkim Spor85362%84.283.6+0.6
6 Galatasaray84450%87.679.8+7.9
7 Tofas84450%80.582.0-1.5
8 Trabzonspor84450%80.282.2-2.0
9 Karsiyaka84450%80.582.6-2.1
10 Esenler Erokspor84450%79.685.8-6.1
11 Besiktas73443%84.186.3-2.1
12 Bordo Bandirma83538%82.485.5-3.1
13 Korfez Basket83538%82.085.2-3.2
14 Cayirova82625%83.989.6-5.8
15 Denizli Basket82625%83.188.9-5.8
16 Bursaspor71614%74.983.6-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.