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Tofas vs Galatasaray Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 102-107 (OT)
21-29 26-24 21-22 29-22 5-10
Position#11
Record13-16
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#5
Record15-14
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game82.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 30· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tofas v Galatasaray
05 Dec 2026
TOF v GAL
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
TOF78
GAL91
01 Feb 2025
TOF88
GAL83
04 May 2024
TOF102
GAL107
18 Mar 2023
TOF81
GAL83
26 Dec 2021
TOF77
GAL88
27 Feb 2021
TOF98
GAL89
02 Nov 2019
TOF112
GAL93
27 Oct 2018
TOF97
GAL82
02 Dec 2017
TOF97
GAL90
16 Oct 2016
TOF80
GAL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galatasaray winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#11
L
65-78
65
78
-13
59avg 80
A19/03
Champions League
Darussafaka
#13
L
83-90
83
90
-7
82avg 80
H24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
98avg 80
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
L
77-83
77
83
-6
72avg 80
A03/04
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
73-94
73
94
-21
62avg 80
H07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
89avg 80
H10/04
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
55-78
55
78
-23
47avg 80
A17/04
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
W
111-91
111
91
+20
117avg 80
H21/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
89avg 80
A28/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
80-78
80
78
+2
71avg 80
A01/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
16-21
18-12
15-15
14-26
23-19
25-15
21-30
24-14
27-25
20-29
24-21
16-21
19-10
20-24
22-28
21-27
19-29
17-17
16-21
21-26
22-12
25-25
22-18
11-26
20-21
10-18
14-13
22-21
32-25
28-27
29-18
27-17
17-17
20-26
26-25
23-29
20-22
21-15
16-12
166.6Avg total
81.9Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.887.1172.9-1.345%
Season at home (14)89.385.2174.5+4.157%
Season away (15)82.588.9171.3-6.433%
Last 10 (10)81.984.7166.6-2.850%
Last 5 (5)85.282.6167.8+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.689.0168.6-9.418%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.983.0166.9+0.950%
vs Weaker (5)86.477.4163.8+9.060%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalatasaray
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#13
W
95-78
95
78
+17
95avg 80
H09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
93-91
93
91
+2
92avg 80
H12/03
Champions League
Bursaspor
#8
W
81-65
81
65
+16
69avg 80
A17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Dijon
#12
L
76-85
76
85
-9
75avg 80
A20/03
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
96-101 OT
96
101
-5
no box
H24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
81-77
81
77
+4
78avg 80
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
86-92
86
92
-6
76avg 80
H06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
89-90
89
90
-1
87avg 80
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
77-76
77
76
+1
70avg 80
A22/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
113-69
113
69
+44
118avg 80
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
25-19
25-19
25-23
28-18
26-24
24-23
15-26
21-17
22-14
20-17
18-17
14-18
16-27
23-19
23-21
27-18
17-25
21-24
20-18
22-19
19-21
25-16
15-21
20-23
19-24
26-18
21-27
25-27
20-13
33-26
11-24
19-21
21-14
20-15
17-26
23-28
23-11
40-15
27-15
171.1Avg total
88.7Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.082.0166.0+2.152%
Season at home (15)87.285.1172.3+2.140%
Season away (14)80.678.6159.3+2.064%
Last 10 (10)88.782.4171.1+6.360%
Last 5 (5)89.280.8170.0+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.587.5171.0-4.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.785.8172.5+0.959%
vs Weaker (6)88.879.2168.0+9.783%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
TofasGalatasaray
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#11
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A19/03
Champions League
Darussafaka
#13
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A03/04
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/04
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A17/04
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H21/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A28/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A01/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.8Avg total
41.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.683.0-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.142.486.5+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)37.342.780.0-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.884.8-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.286.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.845.183.9-6.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.942.383.2-1.450%-
vs Weaker (5)42.837.880.6+5.060%-
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H12/03
Champions League
Bursaspor
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Dijon
#12
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A20/03
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A22/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.5Avg total
42.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.785.0+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.442.890.1+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.880.4-1.256%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.882.5+2.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.282.4+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.744.787.3-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)44.241.285.4+3.165%-
vs Weaker (6)42.039.881.8+2.283%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.8
54.2%
53.6%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.2
36.4%
36.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.416.5
80.9%
74.7%16.5
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.6
53.7%
53.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.8
38.6%
36.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws16.713.1
78.4%
74.7%13.1
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWWLWLLWLL
Galatasaray
WWLLWLLWWW
#11
League position
#5
-4.4
Net rating
+10.2
111.9
Offensive rating
116.3
116.3
Defensive rating
106.1
54.4%
Effective FG%
55.6%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.4%
3-point %
38.6%
76.3%
Assist %
72.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 116.3Defence116.3 · 106.1Shooting54.4% · 55.6%3-point %36.4% · 38.6%Ball care16.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds25.9% · 30.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Tofas   ■ Galatasaray
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tofas wins
7
Galatasaray wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Galatasaray v Tofas95-76
18/03/23Tofas v Galatasaray81-83
04/11/22Galatasaray v Tofas90-76
24/04/22Galatasaray v Tofas90-89 OT
26/12/21Tofas v Galatasaray77-88
27/02/21Tofas v Galatasaray98-89
08/11/20Galatasaray v Tofas79-91
29/02/20Galatasaray v Tofas80-75
11/02/20Galatasaray v Tofas98-81
02/11/19Tofas v Galatasaray112-93
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/24AÇağdaş Bodrum Spor80-78
28/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.90-85
21/04/24HKarsiyaka111-91
17/04/24ATenerife55-78
10/04/24HTenerife90-81
07/04/24HBuyukcekmece73-94
03/04/24ATenerife77-83
29/03/24ABursaspor95-89
24/03/24HDarussafaka83-90
19/03/24AStrasbourg65-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/24HSamsunspor113-69
22/04/24ABesiktas77-76
13/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.89-90
06/04/24HKarsiyaka86-92
29/03/24AÇağdaş Bodrum Spor81-77
24/03/24HBuyukcekmece96-101 OT
20/03/24ADijon76-85
17/03/24ABursaspor81-65
12/03/24HLudwigsburg93-91
09/03/24HDarussafaka95-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW45%
HomeWLLLW57%
AwayLLWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %45%57%33%
Points / game85.889.382.5
Allowed / game87.185.288.9
Point differential-1.3+4.1-6.4
Avg total172.9174.5171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Galatasaray
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW52%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %52%40%64%
Points / game84.087.280.6
Allowed / game82.085.178.6
Point differential+2.1+2.1+2.0
Avg total166.0172.3159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)33% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes2925486%87.080.0+7.0
2 Fenerbahce2823582%91.675.2+16.4
3 Besiktas3021970%82.174.5+7.5
4 Karsiyaka2920969%89.484.5+4.9
5 Manisa29161355%82.383.3-1.0
6 Galatasaray29151452%84.082.0+2.1
7 Petkim Spor29141548%83.182.6+0.6
8 Bursaspor28131546%82.484.6-2.1
9 Buyukcekmece29131645%82.281.9+0.3
10 Turk Telekom29131645%81.681.7-0.1
11 Tofas29131645%85.887.1-1.3
12 Bahcesehir Kol.29121741%86.787.1-0.3
13 Darussafaka29121741%80.785.1-4.4
14 Merkezefendi29111838%79.885.6-5.7
15 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor2982128%79.885.0-5.2
16 Samsunspor3032710%72.890.5-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Tofas212621295102
Galatasaray2924222210107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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