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Tofas vs Gaziantep Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 12:15
Final 84-72
27-21 22-15 13-14 22-22
Position#4
Record15-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game81.9
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#8
Record13-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game74.7
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 26
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Tofas v Gaziantep
27 Nov 2022
TOF78
GAZ88
14 Nov 2021
TOF70
GAZ89
27 Mar 2021
TOF84
GAZ72
01 Feb 2020
TOF108
GAZ88
13 Apr 2019
TOF77
GAZ67
01 Apr 2018
TOF109
GAZ107
19 Nov 2016
TOF72
GAZ87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gaziantep winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 81
H07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 81
A10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
98-89
98
89
+9
94avg 81
H27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
66avg 81
A03/03
Champions League
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
76-77
76
77
-1
70avg 81
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
81-93
81
93
-12
71avg 81
H09/03
Champions League
Besiktas
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 81
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
A16/03
Champions League
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
101-76
101
76
+25
100avg 81
A20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
H24/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
28-17
21-16
20-24
20-19
19-22
15-22
30-18
26-28
25-22
24-20
23-19
24-19
12-19
20-18
14-22
24-22
24-28
18-12
10-15
25-17
20-28
23-27
13-21
16-22
30-16
21-22
22-26
15-22
23-16
16-27
21-12
22-15
20-17
33-23
26-21
21-27
15-24
17-21
19-19
165.5Avg total
83.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.081.9167.8+4.160%
Season at home (13)89.984.1174.0+5.869%
Season away (12)81.779.5161.2+2.250%
Last 10 (10)83.082.5165.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)83.684.6168.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)92.294.0186.2-1.840%
vs Similar (11)79.781.2160.9-1.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.177.9166.0+10.379%
This opponent (Gaziantep) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GaziantepTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGaziantep
Date
Competition
Afyon Belediye
#9
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
no box
H10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
65-72
65
72
-7
55avg 71
A17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
77-70
77
70
+7
84avg 71
H24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
no box
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
68-61
68
61
+7
no box
H06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
82-81
82
81
+1
79avg 71
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
L
77-84
77
84
-7
77avg 71
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
90-60
90
60
+30
95avg 71
A07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
63-102
63
102
-39
53avg 71
A14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
76-64
76
64
+12
82avg 71
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
19-23
21-19
19-18
12-21
12-15
24-13
17-23
17-11
19-19
18-22
23-18
28-20
24-17
15-24
19-25
17-20
19-10
15-13
17-18
23-10
20-23
26-25
13-23
18-18
16-30
23-21
20-15
24-16
21-11
17-7
28-26
20-23
15-19
12-31
16-29
19-19
28-15
16-12
13-18
156.3Avg total
78.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.274.7149.9+0.552%
Season at home (13)71.069.6140.6+1.454%
Season away (12)79.880.2160.0-0.550%
Last 10 (10)78.477.9156.3+0.560%
Last 5 (5)77.678.2155.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.979.1151.0-7.231%
vs Similar (8)78.872.4151.1+6.475%
vs Weaker (9)79.874.7154.4+5.156%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
TofasGaziantep
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A03/03
Champions League
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H09/03
Champions League
Besiktas
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A16/03
Champions League
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H24/03
Champions League
84.4Avg total
42.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.784.4+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.141.985.0+1.162%-
Last 30 away (14)42.441.483.8+1.136%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.084.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.882.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.849.293.0-5.420%-
vs Similar (11)40.139.879.9+0.336%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.540.484.9+4.171%-
This opponent (Gaziantep) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GaziantepLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Afyon Belediye
#9
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
74.6Avg total
38.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.474.9+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.135.772.8+1.462%-
Last 30 away (14)37.939.477.2-1.536%-
Last 10 (10)38.935.774.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.877.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.739.173.8-4.431%-
vs Similar (8)39.236.675.9+2.662%-
vs Weaker (9)39.935.775.6+4.267%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.622.8
52.3%
53.2%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.37.1
35.0%
36.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.915.3
76.9%
74.6%15.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gazianteptheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gaziantep: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.4
50.8%
53.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.0
32.5%
36.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.810.7
67.7%
74.6%10.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWLWLLLWWW
Gaziantep
WLWLWWWWLL
#4
League position
#8
+0.9
Net rating
-0.4
110.0
Offensive rating
103.0
109.1
Defensive rating
103.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
19.1%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.0%
3-point %
32.5%
68.2%
Assist %
76.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 103.0Defence109.1 · 103.4Shooting52.3% · 50.0%3-point %35.0% · 32.5%Ball care16.7% · 19.1%Off. rebounds29.8% · 33.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Tofas   ■ Gaziantep
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tofas wins
3
Gaziantep wins
DateGameScore
05/12/20Gaziantep v Tofas68-67
01/02/20Tofas v Gaziantep108-88
12/10/19Gaziantep v Tofas69-81
13/04/19Tofas v Gaziantep77-67
15/12/18Gaziantep v Tofas66-79
01/04/18Tofas v Gaziantep109-107 OT
29/11/17Gaziantep v Tofas69-87
19/03/17Gaziantep v Tofas95-82
19/11/16Tofas v Gaziantep72-87
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/21HBrindisi72-91
20/03/21AFethiye Bld.101-76
16/03/21ABrindisi75-77
13/03/21HBesiktas89-86
09/03/21HHapoel Holon81-93
06/03/21AOGM Ormanspor76-77
03/03/21AKarsiyaka70-78
27/02/21HGalatasaray98-89
10/02/21AFenerbahce84-81
07/02/21HBursaspor84-77
Gazianteplast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/21HPetkim Spor76-64
14/03/21AAnadolu Efes63-102
07/03/21AFethiye Bld.90-60
28/02/21HBesiktas77-84
11/02/21AOGM Ormanspor82-81
06/02/21HGalatasaray68-61
31/01/21AFenerbahce102-97 OT
24/01/21HBursaspor77-70
17/01/21AKarsiyaka65-72
10/01/21HAfyon Belediye84-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %60%69%50%
Points / game86.089.981.7
Allowed / game81.984.179.5
Point differential+4.1+5.8+2.2
Avg total167.8174.0161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%23%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gaziantep
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW52%
HomeLWWLW54%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game75.271.079.8
Allowed / game74.769.680.2
Point differential+0.5+1.4-0.5
Avg total149.9140.6160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%15%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %12%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes2625196%88.874.9+13.9
2 Karsiyaka2520580%84.475.3+9.2
3 Fenerbahce2519676%85.975.8+10.1
4 Tofas25151060%86.081.9+4.1
5 Turk Telekom25151060%83.482.2+1.2
6 Besiktas25141156%84.081.2+2.9
7 Darussafaka25131252%81.678.9+2.8
8 Gaziantep25131252%75.274.7+0.5
9 Afyon Belediye25121348%82.084.6-2.6
10 Bursaspor25101540%78.583.0-4.4
11 Petkim Spor2691735%80.381.3-1.0
12 Bahcesehir Kol.2581732%80.082.9-2.9
13 Galatasaray2581732%80.686.0-5.4
14 Buyukcekmece2581732%79.586.4-6.9
15 OGM Ormanspor2561924%77.988.1-10.2
16 Fethiye Bld.2561924%75.887.4-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2722132284
Gaziantep2115142272
← all games of the day
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