PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tofas vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 72-91
21-27 15-24 17-21 19-19
Position#18
Record4-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#11
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#3
L
71-90
71
90
-19
57avg 81
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 81
H07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 81
A10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
98-89
98
89
+9
94avg 81
H27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
66avg 81
A03/03
Champions League
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
76-77
76
77
-1
70avg 81
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
81-93
81
93
-12
71avg 81
H09/03
Champions League
Besiktas
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 81
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
A16/03
Champions League
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
101-76
101
76
+25
100avg 81
A20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
14-31
22-17
18-20
15-20
28-17
21-16
20-24
20-19
19-22
15-22
30-18
26-28
25-22
24-20
23-19
24-19
12-19
20-18
14-22
24-22
24-28
18-12
10-15
25-17
20-28
23-27
13-21
16-22
30-16
21-22
22-26
15-22
23-16
16-27
21-12
22-15
20-17
33-23
26-21
165.3Avg total
82.9Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.981.1165.0+2.844%
Season at home (4)83.285.8169.0-2.525%
Season away (5)84.477.4161.8+7.060%
Last 10 (10)82.982.4165.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)84.481.8166.2+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)92.294.0186.2-1.840%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.580.2160.7+0.340%
vs Weaker (15)86.978.2165.1+8.773%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
74-76
74
76
-2
70avg 80
A04/02
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
108-90
108
90
+18
112avg 80
A07/02
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
93-81
93
81
+12
no box
H12/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
H13/02
Italian Cup
Trieste
#6
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 80
H27/02
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
85-87
85
87
-2
91avg 80
H03/03
Champions League
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
95-70
95
70
+25
93avg 80
A07/03
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
73avg 80
H09/03
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
91-85
91
85
+6
no box
H13/03
Lega A
Tofas
#18
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
H16/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
19-11
20-24
11-17
25-27
23-20
26-15
34-28
25-18
18-20
23-23
27-20
12-15
16-26
17-11
24-22
27-13
17-18
19-24
18-19
25-26
25-20
17-20
18-21
22-21
26-13
24-20
23-16
17-10
18-22
30-17
18-30
24-23
19-25
20-15
28-22
22-15
16-23
27-16
12-21
164.7Avg total
85.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.183.2168.3+1.967%
Season at home (6)86.082.2168.2+3.867%
Season away (3)83.385.3168.7-2.067%
Last 10 (10)85.679.1164.7+6.570%
Last 5 (5)86.279.2165.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.591.5170.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)88.983.3172.1+5.686%
vs Weaker (20)85.779.0164.7+6.775%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
TofasBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#3
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A03/03
Champions League
OGM Ormanspor
#16
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H09/03
Champions League
Besiktas
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brindisi
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A16/03
Champions League
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.1Avg total
41.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.384.3+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.541.384.9+2.267%-
Last 30 away (15)42.441.383.7+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.284.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.684.4+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.849.293.0-5.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.538.779.2+1.840%-
vs Weaker (15)44.340.484.7+3.973%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A04/02
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A07/02
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H12/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H13/02
Italian Cup
Trieste
#6
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H27/02
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H03/03
Champions League
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A07/03
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H09/03
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H13/03
Lega A
Tofas
#18
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H16/03
Champions League
81.0Avg total
42.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.482.9+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.340.280.4+0.161%-
Last 30 away (12)45.840.786.5+5.267%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.081.0+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.682.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.045.085.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.041.485.4+2.657%-
vs Weaker (20)42.239.681.8+2.670%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.822.5
52.6%
52.7%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.3
35.1%
35.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.915.0
75.4%
73.2%15.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.3
58.0%
52.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.217.2
74.1%
73.2%17.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WLWLLLWWWL
Brindisi
WWWWLWLWWL
#18
League position
#11
+0.4
Net rating
+9.5
110.2
Offensive rating
114.5
109.8
Defensive rating
104.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
55.2%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.8%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.1%
3-point %
34.0%
67.4%
Assist %
57.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 114.5Defence109.8 · 104.9Shooting52.6% · 55.2%3-point %35.1% · 34.0%Ball care17.0% · 16.8%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Tofas   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
1
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
16/03/21Brindisi v Tofas77-75
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/21AFethiye Bld.101-76
16/03/21ABrindisi75-77
13/03/21HBesiktas89-86
09/03/21HHapoel Holon81-93
06/03/21AOGM Ormanspor76-77
03/03/21AKarsiyaka70-78
27/02/21HGalatasaray98-89
10/02/21AFenerbahce84-81
07/02/21HBursaspor84-77
31/01/21AKarsiyaka71-90
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/21HTofas77-75
13/03/21HVirtus Bologna91-85
09/03/21HKarsiyaka83-79
07/03/21AFortitudo Bologna95-70
03/03/21HHapoel Holon85-87
27/02/21HTrieste81-74
13/02/21HPesaro69-74
12/02/21HTrieste93-81
07/02/21ATreviso108-90
04/02/21AVarese74-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Champions League 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL44%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%25%60%
Points / game83.983.284.4
Allowed / game81.185.877.4
Point differential+2.8-2.5+7.0
Avg total165.0169.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %22%50%0%
Brindisi
Champions League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game85.186.083.3
Allowed / game83.282.285.3
Point differential+1.9+3.8-2.0
Avg total168.3168.2168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos98189%87.474.3+13.1
2 Bamberg97278%86.474.8+11.7
3 Nizhny Novgorod97278%83.276.0+7.2
4 Basket Zaragoza97278%86.185.4+0.7
5 Nymburk86275%90.981.1+9.8
6 Tenerife107370%87.080.9+6.1
7 Hapoel Holon107370%79.976.9+3.0
8 AEK Athens96367%82.079.6+2.4
9 Brindisi96367%85.183.2+1.9
10 Dijon64267%76.274.8+1.3
11 Bakken Bears85362%87.581.1+6.4
12 Karsiyaka106460%78.173.4+4.7
13 Turk Telekom106460%78.880.7-1.9
14 Igokea116555%76.176.9-0.8
15 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
16 Szombathely63350%82.278.5+3.7
17 Strasbourg105550%79.577.2+2.3
18 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
19 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
20 Minsk84450%75.577.8-2.2
21 Sassari84450%87.089.2-2.2
22 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
23 Tofas94544%83.981.1+2.8
24 VEF Riga104640%74.176.8-2.7
25 Hapoel Jerusalem62433%82.080.3+1.7
26 Peristeri62433%76.377.0-0.7
27 Bilbao62433%74.275.2-1.0
28 Limoges62433%76.577.7-1.2
29 Cholet62433%76.378.0-1.7
30 Oostende62433%80.786.2-5.5
31 Rytas62433%77.885.7-7.8
32 Keravnos82625%69.885.1-15.4
33 Darussafaka61517%75.284.0-8.8
34 Galatasaray61517%82.591.8-9.3
35 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
36 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
38 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
39 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
40 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
41 Lublin6060%72.085.0-13.0
42 Fortitudo Bologna6060%63.882.0-18.2
43 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
44 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2115171972
Brindisi2724211991
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.