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Tofas vs Manisa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 77-89
20-22 22-18 14-26 21-23
Position#11
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Manisa 🏆
Turkey
Position#6
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game77.7
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 4· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tofas v Manisa
13 Dec 2025
TOF80
MAI62
29 Mar 2025
TOF98
MAI106
22 Oct 2023
TOF77
MAI89
15 Oct 2022
TOF90
MAI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manisa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#12
W
95-85
95
85
+10
no box
A29/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
94-93
94
93
+1
no box
H06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
W
92-77
92
77
+15
no box
A12/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
H20/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
78-93
78
93
-15
no box
A27/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
H31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
104-91
104
91
+13
103avg 78
H30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
54-69
54
69
-15
48avg 78
A08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
90avg 78
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
98avg 78
A18/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
15-19
28-18
34-28
20-25
25-20
23-27
26-21
19-20
24-23
24-20
25-14
30-14
21-23
22-17
19-25
20-28
15-19
20-20
23-26
13-26
25-23
22-21
27-28
23-25
14-24
31-21
36-21
17-15
10-13
6-22
21-19
33-27
26-21
15-24
23-21
28-16
15-19
18-22
30-34
177.7Avg total
89.7Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.084.3169.3+0.767%
Season at home (1)104.091.0195.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)75.581.0156.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)89.788.0177.7+1.770%
Last 5 (5)89.290.6179.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.084.3162.3-6.329%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.386.8171.1-2.529%
vs Weaker (9)89.382.8172.1+6.689%
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManisa
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
A01/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H07/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Konyaspor
#16
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A13/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
A20/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
90-88
90
88
+2
79avg 82
H29/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nevezis
#48
W
98-88
98
88
+10
92avg 82
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#12
W
80-70
80
70
+10
77avg 82
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 82
A08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
90-60
90
60
+30
90avg 82
H14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#30
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 82
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
18-21
31-20
17-18
18-19
20-17
22-18
27-20
24-21
23-14
20-22
24-30
16-24
23-12
23-24
17-24
20-27
25-19
18-17
27-25
12-20
30-25
33-25
23-18
23-14
20-18
22-17
15-21
20-12
13-28
23-18
25-27
27-18
19-16
21-10
23-16
21-20
22-22
19-18
20-16
166.4Avg total
86.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.077.7164.7+9.367%
Season at home (2)90.074.0164.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)86.380.1166.4+6.270%
Last 5 (5)86.275.8162.0+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.584.3163.7-4.836%
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.681.8164.5+0.859%
vs Weaker (2)94.074.0168.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
TofasManisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#12
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A29/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A12/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H20/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A27/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A18/10
Champions League
83.1Avg total
41.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.382.1-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.141.183.2+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.541.581.0-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.083.1-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.882.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.440.980.3-1.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.243.486.6-0.143%-
vs Weaker (9)38.138.476.6-0.344%-
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A01/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Konyaspor
#16
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A13/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A20/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H29/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Nevezis
#48
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#12
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#30
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
81.0Avg total
41.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.581.1+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.337.779.1+3.673%-
Last 30 away (15)40.043.283.2-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.781.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.680.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.940.780.6-0.855%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.840.481.2+0.459%-
vs Weaker (2)44.039.583.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.8
56.4%
53.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.8
37.1%
36.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.314.2
66.7%
74.7%14.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.5
52.1%
53.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.1
37.3%
36.3%30.4
🏀 Free throws26.013.5
51.9%
74.7%13.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWLWLLWWWW
Manisa
WWLWWWLWWL
#11
League position
#6
+3.3
Net rating
+1.3
111.4
Offensive rating
105.0
108.1
Defensive rating
103.7
56.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
19.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.42
37.1%
3-point %
37.3%
61.5%
Assist %
63.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 105.0Defence108.1 · 103.7Shooting56.1% · 53.8%3-point %37.1% · 37.3%Ball care19.5% · 14.9%Off. rebounds31.6% · 26.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Tofas   ■ Manisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tofas wins
1
Manisa wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Manisa v Tofas82-76
15/10/22Tofas v Manisa90-69
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23AIgokea104-102 OT
13/10/23AMerkezefendi97-93
08/10/23ABesiktas54-69
30/09/23HSamsunspor104-91
31/05/23HFenerbahce87-98
27/05/23AFenerbahce78-93
20/05/23HBahcesehir Kol.92-79
12/05/23ABursaspor92-77
06/05/23HDarussafaka94-93
29/04/23APetkim Spor95-85
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23ABakken Bears82-76
14/10/23HSamsunspor90-60
08/10/23AGalatasaray81-85
05/10/23HFC Porto80-70
04/10/23ANevezis98-88
29/09/23HBahcesehir Kol.90-88
20/05/23AGalatasaray79-84
13/05/23AKonyaspor91-87
07/05/23HBuyukcekmece87-74
01/05/23ABahcesehir Kol.85-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game85.0104.075.5
Allowed / game84.391.081.0
Point differential+0.7+13.0-5.5
Avg total169.3195.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manisa
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game87.090.081.0
Allowed / game77.774.085.0
Point differential+9.3+16.0-4.0
Avg total164.7164.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes330100%92.379.3+13.0
2 Petkim Spor43175%79.575.2+4.2
3 Fenerbahce32167%95.780.0+15.7
4 Manisa32167%87.077.7+9.3
5 Galatasaray32167%84.078.0+6.0
6 Bursaspor32167%72.770.7+2.0
7 Tofas32167%85.084.3+0.7
8 Besiktas42250%71.264.5+6.8
9 Karsiyaka42250%84.585.2-0.8
10 Turk Telekom42250%77.078.0-1.0
11 Darussafaka42250%71.274.5-3.2
12 Bahcesehir Kol.31233%92.394.3-2.0
13 Buyukcekmece31233%80.785.3-4.7
14 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor41325%70.582.0-11.5
15 Samsunspor41325%78.290.0-11.8
16 Merkezefendi4040%78.291.0-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2022142177
Manisa2218262389
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