PythiaBasketballBETA
B League· Aoyama Gakuin Memorial Hall
On 18 November 2026 the Tokyo Sunrockers will host Alvark in the B League, a contest where the edge is razor-thin as both sides sit within a single point of each other in win percentage, with the Sunrockers only a touch ahead. Tokyo has gone 11-6 in all 17 games, averaging 89.9 points while conceding 80.3, and sits eighth in the league; at home they are 5-4, scoring 88.1 and allowing 80.8. Their last five games included a 78-81 loss to Ryukyu away, a 108-87 win over Kobe away, and a 92-87 victory at home against Kyoto. Alvark, meanwhile, boasts a 13-4 record, 92.6 points for and 82.3 against, and is fourth in the standings; on the road they are 6-1, with 101.7 points scored and 90.3 allowed. Their recent road form includes a 69-96 defeat to Sendai. Pythia rates the Sunrockers as the favourite with a 55% chance of victory versus 45% for Alvark, projecting a 87-86 scoreline and a total of 172.9 points, with a 5% chance of overtime. The Sunrockers are expected to cover the spread, and the over is likely 5% of the time. The game will hinge on the Sunrockers' ability to maintain their narrow lead.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (17) | 89.9 | 80.3 | 170.2 | +9.6 | 65% |
| Season at home (9) | 88.1 | 80.8 | 168.9 | +7.3 | 56% |
| Season away (8) | 92.0 | 79.8 | 171.8 | +12.2 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.6 | 79.9 | 171.5 | +11.7 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.4 | 83.0 | 170.4 | +4.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 85.0 | 96.0 | 181.0 | -11.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (3) | 75.7 | 76.7 | 152.3 | -1.0 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 93.6 | 79.9 | 173.5 | +13.7 | 77% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (17) | 92.6 | 82.3 | 174.9 | +10.3 | 76% |
| Season at home (10) | 86.2 | 76.7 | 162.9 | +9.5 | 70% |
| Season away (7) | 101.7 | 90.3 | 192.0 | +11.4 | 86% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.0 | 80.9 | 168.9 | +7.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.0 | 79.4 | 165.4 | +6.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 67.0 | 94.5 | 161.5 | -27.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 91.6 | 94.8 | 186.4 | -3.2 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (22) | 90.6 | 78.5 | 169.0 | +12.1 | 82% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (17) | 47.3 | 39.4 | 86.7 | +7.9 | 76% | - |
| Last 30 at home (9) | 44.6 | 37.9 | 82.4 | +6.7 | 78% | - |
| Last 30 away (8) | 50.4 | 41.1 | 91.5 | +9.2 | 75% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 48.0 | 40.7 | 88.7 | +7.3 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.0 | 41.2 | 87.2 | +4.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 47.0 | 43.0 | 90.0 | +4.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (3) | 40.7 | 40.3 | 81.0 | +0.3 | 67% | - |
| vs Weaker (13) | 48.8 | 38.9 | 87.8 | +9.9 | 77% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.6 | 40.4 | 84.0 | +3.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.8 | 37.7 | 81.5 | +6.1 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 43.3 | 43.1 | 86.5 | +0.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.6 | 36.7 | 79.3 | +5.9 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.8 | 34.6 | 74.4 | +5.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 34.5 | 40.5 | 75.0 | -6.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 43.8 | 51.6 | 95.4 | -7.8 | 0% | - |
| vs Weaker (22) | 44.2 | 38.5 | 82.7 | +5.6 | 59% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.2 | 23.1 | 53.6% | 46.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.4 | 9.8 | 32.9% | 29.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.4 | 13.0 | 73.8% | 13.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.9 | 20.6 | 53.6% | 41.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.7 | 12.0 | 32.9% | 36.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.3 | 17.1 | 73.8% | 17.1 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Nagasaki | 82-73 |
| 08/11/26 | H | NeoPhoenix | 88-67 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Sendai | 69-96 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Tainan TSG GhostHawks | 85-90 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Utsunomiya Brex | 106-71 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Utsunomiya Brex | 100-90 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Saga | 112-88 |
| 24/10/26 | H | SeaHorses Mikawa | 82-91 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Ibaraki Robots | 66-69 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Akita | 90-74 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWL | 65% |
| Home | LLWLW | 56% |
| Away | WWLWL | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 17 | 9 | 8 |
| Win % | 65% | 56% | 75% |
| Points / game | 89.9 | 88.1 | 92.0 |
| Allowed / game | 80.3 | 80.8 | 79.8 |
| Point differential | +9.6 | +7.3 | +12.2 |
| Avg total | 170.2 | 168.9 | 171.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 41% | 44% | 38% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 25% (4) | 33% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 6% | 11% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWW | 76% |
| Home | LWWWW | 70% |
| Away | WWWWL | 86% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 17 | 10 | 7 |
| Win % | 76% | 70% | 86% |
| Points / game | 92.6 | 86.2 | 101.7 |
| Allowed / game | 82.3 | 76.7 | 90.3 |
| Point differential | +10.3 | +9.5 | +11.4 |
| Avg total | 174.9 | 162.9 | 192.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 65% | 60% | 71% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 6% | 0% | 14% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Diamond Dolphins | 12 | 11 | 1 | 92% | 91.2 | 75.2 | +15.9 |
| 2 |  Hiroshima D. | 15 | 13 | 2 | 87% | 90.4 | 80.9 | +9.5 |
| 3 |  SeaHorses Mikawa | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 90.4 | 80.7 | +9.7 |
| 4 | Alvark | 17 | 13 | 4 | 76% | 92.6 | 82.3 | +10.3 |
| 5 |  Sendai | 17 | 13 | 4 | 76% | 88.7 | 80.4 | +8.3 |
| 6 |  Gunma | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 82.8 | 73.8 | +9.1 |
| 7 |  NeoPhoenix | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 87.5 | 82.7 | +4.8 |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 17 | 11 | 6 | 65% | 89.9 | 80.3 | +9.6 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 15 | 9 | 6 | 60% | 96.5 | 95.7 | +0.8 |
| 10 |  Toyama | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56% | 83.4 | 87.0 | -3.6 |
| 11 |  Kyoto | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53% | 83.4 | 79.5 | +3.9 |
| 12 |  Ibaraki Robots | 17 | 9 | 8 | 53% | 84.2 | 78.7 | +5.5 |
| 13 |  Ryukyu | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.4 | 81.6 | +1.8 |
| 14 |  Chiba | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47% | 92.5 | 96.0 | -3.5 |
| 15 |  Utsunomiya Brex | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 81.9 | 83.6 | -1.7 |
| 16 |  Yokohama | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 77.7 | 82.9 | -5.2 |
| 17 |  Shimane | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 84.1 | 81.6 | +2.5 |
| 18 |  Altiri Chiba | 17 | 7 | 10 | 41% | 80.5 | 84.6 | -4.1 |
| 19 |  Shiga | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 85.7 | 88.9 | -3.2 |
| 20 |  Shinshu | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 83.9 | 86.8 | -2.9 |
| 21 |  Nagasaki | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 77.1 | 81.9 | -4.8 |
| 22 |  Kobe | 15 | 4 | 11 | 27% | 80.0 | 86.5 | -6.5 |
| 23 |  Brave Thunders | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 78.5 | 84.7 | -6.2 |
| 24 |  Akita | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 82.7 | 90.4 | -7.7 |
| 25 |  Saga | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 78.2 | 95.2 | -17.0 |
| 26 |  Osaka | 16 | 1 | 15 | 6% | 70.1 | 90.9 | -20.9 |
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