PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toledo vs Canisius Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 69-68
32-29 37-39
Position#18
Record6-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game78.3
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Canisius
USA
Position#310
Record2-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game76.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canisius winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#9
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H16/03
NIT
Valparaiso
#306
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H08/11
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
112-90
112
90
+22
H17/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H22/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#98
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A23/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H01/12
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
23-34
0-0
32-40
0-0
52-26
0-0
33-44
0-0
39-46
0-0
54-39
0-0
57-37
0-0
55-53
0-0
38-33
0-0
33-50
0-0
33-32
0-0
42-54
0-0
45-33
0-0
37-36
0-0
40-33
0-0
50-34
0-0
32-35
0-0
41-45
0-0
40-31
0-0
43-44
159.8Avg total
81.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.978.3163.2+6.667%
Season at home (5)91.079.6170.6+11.480%
Season away (4)77.276.8154.0+0.550%
Last 10 (10)81.977.9159.8+4.060%
Last 5 (5)80.675.4156.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)93.085.0178.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)83.171.6154.7+11.679%
This opponent (Canisius) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanisiusUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#185
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H05/03
NCAA
Fairfield
#230
L
50-72
50
72
-22
A09/03
NCAA
Youngstown State
#47
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H08/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#107
L
57-58 OT
57
58
-1
H17/11
NCAA
Fredonia State
#599
W
98-52
98
52
+46
H20/11
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
66-86
66
86
-20
A27/11
NCAA
Siena
#179
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Iona
#25
L
60-90
60
90
-30
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-29
36-35
20-31
30-41
35-58
46-34
34-33
32-33
18-30
35-23
58-23
40-29
34-45
36-34
27-39
39-47
27-31
43-43
26-43
34-47
145.0Avg total
70.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.276.4149.6-3.125%
Season at home (4)80.070.5150.5+9.550%
Season away (4)66.582.2148.8-15.80%
Last 10 (10)70.374.7145.0-4.430%
Last 5 (5)72.876.2149.0-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)64.173.0137.1-8.919%
vs Similar (13)71.972.2144.1-0.254%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +0.5+0.5
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +0.5+0.5
ToledoCanisius
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#9
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H16/03
NIT
Valparaiso
#306
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H08/11
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H17/11
NCAA
UMKC
#305
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H22/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#98
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A23/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H01/12
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A07/12
NCAA
73.9Avg total
39.9Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.534.875.2+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.134.172.2+4.059%-
Last 30 away (13)43.535.679.2+7.985%-
Last 10 (10)39.934.073.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.032.870.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)39.046.085.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.134.475.5+6.875%-
This opponent (Canisius) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanisiusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#185
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Fairfield
#230
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A09/03
NCAA
Youngstown State
#47
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H08/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H13/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#107
L
18-30
18
30
-12
H17/11
NCAA
Fredonia State
#599
W
58-23
58
23
+35
H20/11
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A22/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A27/11
NCAA
Siena
#179
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Iona
#25
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A04/12
NCAA
67.2Avg total
31.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.934.164.9-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.931.965.7+2.064%-
Last 30 away (16)28.236.064.2-7.812%-
Last 10 (10)31.036.267.2-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.270.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.635.864.3-7.219%-
vs Similar (13)31.632.864.5-1.254%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toledo wins
0
Canisius wins
No previous meetings.
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22ANorthern Iowa83-75
03/12/22AGeorge Mason73-80
01/12/22HRichmond Spiders90-67
23/11/22ANorthern Kentucky82-69
22/11/22HEast Carolina75-86
21/11/22AUMKC71-83
17/11/22HOakland112-90
11/11/22HUAB93-85
08/11/22HValparaiso85-70
16/03/22HDayton55-74
Canisiuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22AIona60-90
03/12/22ASiena70-74
27/11/22ABuffalo66-86
22/11/22ACornell70-79
20/11/22HFredonia State98-52
17/11/22HCleveland State57-58 OT
13/11/22HSt. Bonaventure84-80 OT
08/11/22HYoungstown State81-92
09/03/22AFairfield50-72
05/03/22HSiena67-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game84.991.077.2
Allowed / game78.379.676.8
Point differential+6.6+11.4+0.5
Avg total163.2170.6154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canisius
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game73.280.066.5
Allowed / game76.470.582.2
Point differential-3.1+9.5-15.8
Avg total149.6150.5148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass97278%73.068.1+4.9
2 Kent State96367%75.463.1+12.3
3 Toledo96367%84.978.3+6.6
4 Akron85362%68.060.2+7.8
5 Ball State95456%77.266.8+10.4
6 Ohio84450%77.868.8+9.0
7 Buffalo105550%75.075.8-0.8
8 Central Michigan94544%72.069.3+2.7
9 Bowling Green83538%70.475.0-4.6
10 Western Michigan93633%72.170.6+1.6
11 Northern Illinois93633%69.474.8-5.3
12 Eastern Michigan102820%76.083.2-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac118373%73.068.0+5.0
2 Iona75271%79.363.9+15.4
3 Siena95456%71.970.2+1.7
4 Rider84450%73.169.2+3.9
5 Sacred Heart105550%73.072.9+0.1
6 Marist84450%61.262.1-0.9
7 Niagara84450%64.966.8-1.9
8 St. Peters94544%66.966.4+0.4
9 Mount St. Mary's104640%67.168.3-1.2
10 Fairfield104640%62.365.5-3.2
11 Manhattan83538%67.469.6-2.2
12 Canisius82625%73.276.4-3.1
13 Merrimack Warriors1221017%56.867.4-10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo323769
Canisius293968
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.