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Toledo vs Central Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-71
30-32 42-39
Position#21
Record25-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game68.4
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Central Michigan
USA
Position#341
Record7-22
FormLWLLL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game77.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Toledo v Central Michigan
26 Jan 2027
TOLE v CENT
upcoming
10 Jan 2025
TOLE69
CENT67
04 Feb 2023
TOLE84
CENT59
10 Mar 2022
TOLE72
CENT71
19 Feb 2022
TOLE68
CENT66
19 Jan 2021
TOLE89
CENT72
14 Jan 2020
TOLE67
CENT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A02/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A05/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
100-72
100
72
+28
A12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
92-50
92
50
+42
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A02/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-35
41-31
45-51
38-42
38-27
39-35
53-35
47-37
20-36
39-36
29-31
39-35
41-36
51-14
40-39
48-34
46-32
46-44
47-28
49-28
152.7Avg total
84.1Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.568.4149.9+13.281%
Season at home (15)83.165.1148.1+18.093%
Season away (16)80.171.4151.6+8.769%
Last 10 (10)84.168.6152.7+15.580%
Last 5 (5)87.264.2151.4+23.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)81.169.7150.9+11.479%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#237
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H11/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A13/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H16/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
50-76
50
76
-26
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A25/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H02/03
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
45-41
29-28
43-53
24-47
39-30
30-43
40-32
31-29
35-39
22-33
28-43
33-37
50-32
31-30
40-43
23-43
38-32
25-22
31-35
141.7Avg total
68.1Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)65.877.1142.9-11.424%
Season at home (11)65.374.3139.5-9.018%
Season away (18)66.178.9144.9-12.828%
Last 10 (10)68.173.6141.7-5.520%
Last 5 (5)64.270.0134.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)65.979.2145.2-13.316%
vs Similar (4)64.864.0128.8+0.875%
vs Weaker (1)74.079.0153.0-5.00%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: +10.1+10.12nd half: +0.9+0.9
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: +10.1+10.12nd half: +0.9+0.9
ToledoCentral Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A02/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A02/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/03
NCAA
75.4Avg total
40.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.033.974.9+7.177%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.231.872.0+8.473%-
Last 30 away (15)41.836.177.9+5.780%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.075.4+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.633.273.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)40.734.475.1+6.276%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#237
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A09/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H11/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A13/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H16/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A20/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
23-43
23
43
-20
H02/03
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A05/03
NCAA
63.0Avg total
28.1Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.838.668.4-8.823%-
Last 30 at home (12)29.437.566.9-8.125%-
Last 30 away (18)30.139.469.4-9.322%-
Last 10 (10)28.134.963.0-6.840%-
Last 5 (5)26.833.059.8-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)30.239.169.2-8.924%-
vs Similar (4)27.536.263.8-8.825%-
vs Weaker (1)30.037.067.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toledo wins
2
Central Michigan wins
DateGameScore
20/02/22Toledo v Central Michigan68-66
05/01/22Central Michigan v Toledo54-82
02/03/21Central Michigan v Toledo81-79
20/01/21Toledo v Central Michigan89-72
26/02/20Central Michigan v Toledo81-93
15/01/20Toledo v Central Michigan67-74
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/22HBowling Green96-56
02/03/22ABuffalo92-76
26/02/22HMiami (Ohio)88-73
23/02/22AWestern Michigan92-50
20/02/22HCentral Michigan68-66
15/02/22HKent State59-72
12/02/22ANorthern Illinois100-72
09/02/22HOhio77-62
05/02/22ABall State83-93
02/02/22AEastern Michigan86-66
Central Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/22AAkron56-57
02/03/22HMiami (Ohio)61-75
27/02/22HKent State71-73
25/02/22AMiami (Ohio)83-69
23/02/22AOhio50-76
20/02/22AToledo66-68
16/02/22HEastern Michigan70-75
13/02/22AWestern Michigan63-77
11/02/22HOhio72-81
09/02/22ABall State89-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWLWWW93%
AwayWLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %81%93%69%
Points / game81.583.180.1
Allowed / game68.465.171.4
Point differential+13.2+18.0+8.7
Avg total149.9148.1151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Michigan
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLWL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291118
Win %24%18%28%
Points / game65.865.366.1
Allowed / game77.174.378.9
Point differential-11.4-9.0-12.8
Avg total142.9139.5144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%9%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)20% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo3125681%81.568.4+13.2
2 Ohio3123874%74.367.4+6.9
3 Akron3021970%71.162.9+8.2
4 Kent State3021970%71.264.1+7.1
5 Buffalo29191066%80.372.3+8.0
6 Ball State30141647%74.676.8-2.2
7 UMass30141647%75.077.8-2.8
8 Miami (Ohio)31141745%75.373.1+2.2
9 Bowling Green31131842%80.380.5-0.2
10 Eastern Michigan31102132%69.176.0-6.9
11 Northern Illinois3092130%64.171.5-7.4
12 Western Michigan3182326%65.475.1-9.7
13 Central Michigan2972224%65.877.1-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo304272
Central Michigan323971
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