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Toledo vs Bowling Green Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 96-56
47-28 49-28
Position#21
Record24-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game68.8
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#256
Record13-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game80.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Toledo v Bowling Green
12 Mar 2026
TOLE77
BOWL76
24 Jan 2026
TOLE73
BOWL72
21 Feb 2025
TOLE68
BOWL69
27 Jan 2024
TOLE88
BOWL72
28 Jan 2023
TOLE91
BOWL77
04 Mar 2022
TOLE96
BOWL56
13 Feb 2021
TOLE81
BOWL88
25 Jan 2020
TOLE79
BOWL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bowling Green winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#57
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H29/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A02/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A05/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
100-72
100
72
+28
A12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
92-50
92
50
+42
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
46-37
38-39
45-35
41-31
45-51
38-42
38-27
39-35
53-35
47-37
20-36
39-36
29-31
39-35
41-36
51-14
40-39
48-34
46-32
46-44
153.5Avg total
82.9Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.168.8149.8+12.380%
Season at home (14)82.165.7147.9+16.493%
Season away (16)80.171.4151.6+8.769%
Last 10 (10)82.970.6153.5+12.380%
Last 5 (5)79.867.4147.2+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)80.269.9150.1+10.379%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#68
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H29/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A02/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H05/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A09/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A12/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
85-112
85
112
-27
H16/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H19/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A23/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H26/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
46-58
33-39
41-39
35-31
52-34
28-29
40-47
32-47
46-47
38-51
47-61
44-46
38-45
32-35
36-47
36-32
31-46
31-35
49-42
161.6Avg total
77.2Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.180.0161.0+1.143%
Season at home (18)84.378.2162.5+6.156%
Season away (12)76.282.6158.8-6.325%
Last 10 (10)77.284.4161.6-7.220%
Last 5 (5)76.488.0164.4-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.587.8163.4-12.315%
vs Similar (4)81.887.2169.0-5.525%
vs Weaker (12)85.270.7155.8+14.575%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +7.9+7.92nd half: -4.0-4.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +7.9+7.92nd half: -4.0-4.0
ToledoBowling Green
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#57
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A02/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A02/03
NCAA
76.2Avg total
40.3Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.634.174.7+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.732.171.8+7.671%-
Last 30 away (16)41.435.977.2+5.581%-
Last 10 (10)40.335.976.2+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.870.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)40.234.674.9+5.676%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#68
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A09/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H16/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H02/03
NCAA
72.4Avg total
34.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.336.673.9+0.837%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.136.077.1+5.156%-
Last 30 away (12)31.837.469.2-5.78%-
Last 10 (10)34.637.872.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.876.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.639.574.1-4.815%-
vs Similar (4)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (12)39.332.271.6+7.167%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toledo wins
3
Bowling Green wins
DateGameScore
15/01/22Bowling Green v Toledo78-91
13/02/21Toledo v Bowling Green81-88
30/01/21Bowling Green v Toledo66-84
08/02/20Bowling Green v Toledo85-83
26/01/20Toledo v Bowling Green79-85
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/22ABuffalo92-76
26/02/22HMiami (Ohio)88-73
23/02/22AWestern Michigan92-50
20/02/22HCentral Michigan68-66
15/02/22HKent State59-72
12/02/22ANorthern Illinois100-72
09/02/22HOhio77-62
05/02/22ABall State83-93
02/02/22AEastern Michigan86-66
29/01/22HAkron84-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/22HOhio80-77
26/02/22HWestern Michigan67-78
23/02/22AAkron68-82
19/02/22HBall State82-91
16/02/22HBuffalo85-112
12/02/22AMiami (Ohio)78-94
09/02/22AKent State68-76
05/02/22HNorthern Illinois87-65
02/02/22ACentral Michigan74-78
29/01/22HKent State83-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWLWW93%
AwayWLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %80%93%69%
Points / game81.182.180.1
Allowed / game68.865.771.4
Point differential+12.3+16.4+8.7
Avg total149.8147.9151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bowling Green
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeWLLLW56%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %43%56%25%
Points / game81.184.376.2
Allowed / game80.078.282.6
Point differential+1.1+6.1-6.3
Avg total161.0162.5158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%39%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo3024680%81.168.8+12.3
2 Ohio3023777%74.867.7+7.1
3 Kent State3021970%71.264.1+7.1
4 Akron2920969%71.663.2+8.4
5 Buffalo29191066%80.372.3+8.0
6 Ball State30141647%74.676.8-2.2
7 UMass29131645%74.877.8-3.0
8 Miami (Ohio)30131743%75.273.4+1.8
9 Bowling Green30131743%81.180.0+1.1
10 Eastern Michigan30102033%69.376.0-6.7
11 Northern Illinois2982128%64.372.0-7.7
12 Western Michigan3182326%65.475.1-9.7
13 Central Michigan2872125%66.177.9-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo474996
Bowling Green282856
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