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Buffalo vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-92
32-46 44-46
Position#109
Record19-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game71.7
Buffalo
USA
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#21
Record23-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Buffalo v Toledo
23 Jan 2027
BUFF v TOLE
upcoming
01 Mar 2025
BUFF87
TOLE74
02 Mar 2024
BUFF79
TOLE85
20 Jan 2023
BUFF77
TOLE86
01 Mar 2022
BUFF76
TOLE92
19 Feb 2021
BUFF70
TOLE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#47
L
53-74
53
74
-21
H29/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
102-64
102
64
+38
H09/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
112-85
112
85
+27
A16/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H19/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A23/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A25/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
20-37
33-37
34-27
40-27
50-35
52-29
38-36
42-38
51-38
61-47
38-30
45-39
33-38
54-35
45-40
41-44
37-32
42-36
36-29
34-31
153.1Avg total
82.6Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.171.7152.8+9.470%
Season at home (12)82.968.8151.8+14.175%
Season away (15)79.674.0153.6+5.667%
Last 10 (10)82.670.5153.1+12.190%
Last 5 (5)81.070.8151.8+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)75.086.0161.0-11.00%
vs Similar (9)70.272.3142.6-2.144%
vs Weaker (18)85.172.2157.3+12.983%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#109
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H26/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H29/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A02/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A05/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
100-72
100
72
+28
A12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
92-50
92
50
+42
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-41
45-34
46-37
38-39
45-35
41-31
45-51
38-42
38-27
39-35
53-35
47-37
20-36
39-36
29-31
39-35
41-36
51-14
40-39
48-34
152.8Avg total
82.3Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.768.5149.2+12.279%
Season at home (14)82.165.7147.9+16.493%
Season away (15)79.371.1150.5+8.267%
Last 10 (10)82.370.5152.8+11.880%
Last 5 (5)81.466.6148.0+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)79.869.7149.5+10.179%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +8.1+8.12nd half: +8.8+8.8
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +8.1+8.12nd half: +8.8+8.8
BuffaloToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#47
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H29/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A05/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H09/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A16/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A23/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A25/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H26/02
NCAA
72.4Avg total
38.2Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.034.471.4+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.833.169.9+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)37.235.472.7+1.862%-
Last 10 (10)38.234.272.4+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.871.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)41.041.082.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (9)30.634.264.8-3.744%-
vs Weaker (18)39.634.674.2+5.178%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#109
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H26/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A02/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/02
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A12/02
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/02
NCAA
76.6Avg total
39.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.334.174.4+6.277%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.732.171.8+7.671%-
Last 30 away (16)40.935.976.8+5.081%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.876.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.472.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)40.034.774.8+5.375%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Buffalo wins
2
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
26/01/22Toledo v Buffalo86-75
20/02/21Buffalo v Toledo70-80
14/02/20Toledo v Buffalo67-83
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/22HNorthern Illinois70-60
25/02/22ANorthern Illinois79-68
23/02/22AMiami (Ohio)86-84
19/02/22HWestern Michigan87-73
17/02/22AEastern Michigan83-69
16/02/22ABowling Green112-85
12/02/22HBall State80-74
09/02/22HEastern Michigan102-64
05/02/22ACentral Michigan74-54
29/01/22HOhio53-74
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/22HMiami (Ohio)88-73
23/02/22AWestern Michigan92-50
20/02/22HCentral Michigan68-66
15/02/22HKent State59-72
12/02/22ANorthern Illinois100-72
09/02/22HOhio77-62
05/02/22ABall State83-93
02/02/22AEastern Michigan86-66
29/01/22HAkron84-76
26/01/22HBuffalo86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %70%75%67%
Points / game81.182.979.6
Allowed / game71.768.874.0
Point differential+9.4+14.1+5.6
Avg total152.8151.8153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeWWLWW93%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %79%93%67%
Points / game80.782.179.3
Allowed / game68.565.771.1
Point differential+12.2+16.4+8.2
Avg total149.2147.9150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%57%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo2923679%80.768.5+12.2
2 Ohio2923679%74.867.3+7.5
3 Buffalo2719870%81.171.7+9.4
4 Akron2819968%71.463.3+8.1
5 Kent State2819968%71.664.4+7.2
6 Ball State28131546%75.577.2-1.7
7 UMass28121643%74.577.9-3.4
8 Miami (Ohio)29121741%75.273.9+1.4
9 Bowling Green29121741%81.180.1+1.0
10 Eastern Michigan29101934%69.776.2-6.5
11 Northern Illinois2882029%64.672.4-7.7
12 Central Michigan2772026%66.378.0-11.7
13 Western Michigan2972224%65.376.0-10.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo324476
Toledo464692
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