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Ball State vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 93-83
51-45 42-38
Position#237
Record10-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#21
Record18-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Ball State v Toledo
19 Jan 2027
BALL v TOLE
upcoming
18 Jan 2025
BALL75
TOLE93
03 Mar 2023
BALL81
TOLE87
04 Feb 2022
BALL93
TOLE83
06 Feb 2021
BALL81
TOLE67
03 Jan 2020
BALL61
TOLE57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#256
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H01/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A08/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H14/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A19/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H26/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A28/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H29/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
63-87
63
87
-24
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
45-46
28-28
37-38
39-34
39-38
36-33
38-51
30-34
38-40
35-38
35-45
31-19
50-45
33-27
41-40
46-39
37-33
23-44
40-43
148.6Avg total
73.7Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.076.5150.5-2.448%
Season at home (10)78.269.8148.0+8.470%
Season away (11)70.382.5152.8-12.327%
Last 10 (10)73.774.9148.6-1.250%
Last 5 (5)74.274.6148.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.881.1153.9-8.320%
vs Similar (8)77.680.9158.5-3.250%
vs Weaker (6)80.566.7147.2+13.8100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#68
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A01/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
82-54
82
54
+28
A05/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H08/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A12/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A15/01
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H19/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A21/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H26/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H29/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
37-33
44-33
38-21
47-28
47-35
44-33
31-39
48-47
43-31
38-35
45-35
45-29
42-40
41-41
45-34
46-37
38-39
45-35
41-31
152.0Avg total
83.1Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.668.1148.7+12.582%
Season at home (10)85.864.7150.5+21.1100%
Season away (12)76.271.0147.2+5.267%
Last 10 (10)83.168.9152.0+14.290%
Last 5 (5)85.271.2156.4+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)80.078.5158.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)80.970.1151.0+10.881%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +6.9+6.9
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +6.9+6.9
Ball StateToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#256
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H01/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H05/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H14/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A28/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H29/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A02/02
NCAA
66.7Avg total
33.7Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.834.271.1+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.831.870.5+7.069%-
Last 30 away (14)34.637.171.7-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)33.733.066.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.467.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.335.368.5-2.027%-
vs Similar (8)38.036.174.1+1.962%-
vs Weaker (6)41.529.871.3+11.7100%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#68
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A01/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A05/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H08/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A12/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A15/01
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H19/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A21/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H26/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A02/02
NCAA
77.5Avg total
42.4Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.233.274.4+8.083%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.632.074.6+10.680%-
Last 30 away (15)39.834.474.2+5.487%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.177.5+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.478.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)35.537.573.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.433.574.8+7.985%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ball State wins
4
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
19/01/22Toledo v Ball State83-70
11/03/21Toledo v Ball State91-89 OT
06/03/21Toledo v Ball State89-70
06/02/21Ball State v Toledo81-67
29/02/20Toledo v Ball State69-63
04/01/20Ball State v Toledo61-57
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/22AOhio63-87
29/01/22HWestern Michigan83-72
28/01/22ANorthern Illinois74-67
26/01/22HMiami (Ohio)81-64
19/01/22AToledo70-83
14/01/22HBuffalo68-74
12/01/22AAkron74-84
08/01/22AEastern Michigan78-72
05/01/22HKent State65-66
01/01/22HBowling Green81-80
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/22AEastern Michigan86-66
29/01/22HAkron84-76
26/01/22HBuffalo86-75
21/01/22AOhio87-69
19/01/22HBall State83-70
15/01/22ABowling Green91-78
12/01/22AMiami (Ohio)75-72
08/01/22HNorthern Illinois94-63
05/01/22ACentral Michigan82-54
01/01/22AKent State63-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayWLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%70%27%
Points / game74.078.270.3
Allowed / game76.569.882.5
Point differential-2.4+8.4-12.3
Avg total150.5148.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game80.685.876.2
Allowed / game68.164.771.0
Point differential+12.5+21.1+5.2
Avg total148.7150.5147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio2118386%74.966.1+8.8
2 Toledo2218482%80.668.1+12.5
3 Akron2014670%71.762.9+8.8
4 Kent State2112957%69.563.6+5.9
5 Buffalo1810856%78.772.5+6.2
6 Bowling Green22111150%82.678.4+4.2
7 Ball State21101148%74.076.5-2.4
8 UMass2091145%76.278.5-2.2
9 Miami (Ohio)2191243%75.572.0+3.4
10 Eastern Michigan2181338%71.475.0-3.7
11 Northern Illinois1961332%63.470.9-7.5
12 Central Michigan1851328%65.179.3-14.2
13 Western Michigan2241818%65.177.3-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State514293
Toledo453883
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