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Toledo vs Eastern Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 94-75
0-0 51-29 0-0 43-46
Position#156
Record13-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game77.6
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Eastern Michigan
USA
Position#322
Record10-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Toledo v Eastern Michigan
09 Dec 2026
TOLE v EAST
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
TOLE94
EAST75
07 Jan 2025
TOLE90
EAST87
24 Jan 2023
TOLE84
EAST79
12 Jan 2021
TOLE96
EAST63
06 Mar 2020
TOLE79
EAST57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eastern Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#143
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H31/01
NCAA
Leonesa
#19
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H01/02
Segunda FEB
Kent State
#52
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Ponferrada
#14
L
63-89
63
89
-26
A07/02
Segunda FEB
James Madison
#169
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
90-79
90
79
+11
A12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A14/02
NCAA
Caja 87
#4
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
H15/02
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-38
0-0
34-34
0-0
49-41
0-0
32-50
0-0
39-27
0-0
34-28
25-13
12-12
15-19
21-10
0-0
36-29
0-0
36-46
16-29
11-25
16-13
20-22
0-0
32-32
0-0
39-41
0-0
50-41
0-0
40-38
0-0
35-37
0-0
35-43
13-13
8-16
30-17
18-23
149.3Avg total
74.6Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.877.6158.5+3.250%
Season at home (12)83.974.8158.7+9.267%
Season away (14)78.280.1158.3-1.936%
Last 10 (10)74.674.7149.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)74.880.0154.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.084.8157.8-11.817%
vs Similar (13)80.282.5162.8-2.331%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.170.6155.7+14.590%
This opponent (Eastern Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H13/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
75-76 OT
75
76
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
65-100
65
100
-35
A28/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A31/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H03/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A07/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A12/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H14/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H17/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-26
0-0
49-33
0-0
36-46
0-0
43-39
0-0
23-31
0-0
35-27
0-0
36-38
0-0
29-62
0-0
30-38
0-0
37-32
0-0
27-31
0-0
37-35
0-0
33-36
0-0
27-29
0-0
47-40
0-0
44-55
0-0
33-28
0-0
29-48
0-0
35-27
0-0
31-27
145.2Avg total
70.6Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)71.072.7143.6-1.737%
Season at home (12)75.167.2142.2+7.958%
Season away (15)67.777.1144.7-9.420%
Last 10 (10)70.674.6145.2-4.020%
Last 5 (5)68.671.2139.8-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)70.577.1147.7-6.620%
vs Similar (13)71.071.8142.8-0.846%
vs Weaker (2)81.553.5135.0+28.0100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
ToledoEastern Michigan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#143
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A28/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H31/01
NCAA
Leonesa
#19
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H01/02
Segunda FEB
Kent State
#52
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Ponferrada
#14
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A07/02
Segunda FEB
James Madison
#169
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A07/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A14/02
NCAA
Caja 87
#4
L
21-29
21
29
-8
H15/02
Segunda FEB
71.8Avg total
36.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.276.2+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.935.275.1+4.869%-
Last 30 away (17)38.238.877.1-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)36.535.371.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.671.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.744.381.0-7.733%-
vs Similar (13)37.336.373.6+1.054%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.535.176.6+6.470%-
This opponent (Eastern Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H24/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A28/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H03/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A12/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H14/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H17/02
NCAA
66.9Avg total
32.8Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.834.268.0-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.930.564.4+3.458%-
Last 30 away (18)33.736.770.4-3.028%-
Last 10 (10)32.834.166.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.467.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.936.068.9-3.120%-
vs Similar (13)34.533.768.2+0.854%-
vs Weaker (2)36.024.560.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Toledo wins
2
Eastern Michigan wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Eastern Michigan v Toledo80-73
08/01/25Toledo v Eastern Michigan90-87
07/02/24Eastern Michigan v Toledo87-91
12/02/23Eastern Michigan v Toledo63-70
25/01/23Toledo v Eastern Michigan84-79
02/02/22Eastern Michigan v Toledo66-86
13/01/21Toledo v Eastern Michigan96-63
05/12/20Eastern Michigan v Toledo74-91
07/03/20Toledo v Eastern Michigan79-57
01/02/20Eastern Michigan v Toledo61-57
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HCaja 8780-79 OT
14/02/26ABowling Green70-80
12/02/26AWestern Michigan90-79
07/02/26AJames Madison71-73
07/02/26APonferrada63-89
04/02/26HKent State72-75
01/02/26HLeonesa73-54
31/01/26HBall State73-55
28/01/26AAkron81-91
24/01/26HBowling Green73-72
Eastern Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26HCentral Michigan66-54
14/02/26HWestern Michigan62-76
12/02/26AKent State91-95
07/02/26AAppalachian State60-65
03/02/26HAkron64-66
31/01/26AUMass67-70
28/01/26ACentral Michigan65-100
24/01/26HKent State75-76 OT
17/01/26ABowling Green79-85
13/01/26HNorthern Illinois77-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %50%67%36%
Points / game80.883.978.2
Allowed / game77.674.880.1
Point differential+3.2+9.2-1.9
Avg total158.5158.7158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%42%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)50% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Eastern Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW37%
HomeWLLLW58%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %37%58%20%
Points / game71.075.167.7
Allowed / game72.767.277.1
Point differential-1.7+7.9-9.4
Avg total143.6142.2144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%42%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)27270100%92.374.5+17.8
2 Akron2722581%89.474.5+15.0
3 Kent State2719870%85.479.9+5.5
4 Buffalo26151158%78.374.7+3.6
5 Bowling Green28161257%81.871.2+10.5
6 UMass27151256%80.977.0+3.9
7 Ohio28151354%77.176.6+0.5
8 Toledo26131350%80.877.6+3.2
9 Eastern Michigan27101737%71.072.7-1.7
10 Western Michigan2691735%74.879.7-5.0
11 Northern Illinois2691735%70.976.2-5.3
12 Central Michigan2681831%73.276.9-3.7
13 Ball State2781930%66.070.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toledo05104394
Eastern Michigan02904675
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