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Toledo vs George Mason Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-86
35-40 42-46
Position#107
Record3-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#106
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game63.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
George Mason winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H09/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H10/03
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#9
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A14/03
NIT
Detroit
#370
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A15/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H24/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
48-33
0-0
43-42
0-0
37-31
0-0
45-44
0-0
34-35
0-0
44-58
0-0
42-40
0-0
38-50
0-0
51-35
0-0
43-25
0-0
34-45
0-0
53-33
0-0
41-40
0-0
37-37
0-0
32-42
0-0
52-50
0-0
32-39
0-0
39-38
0-0
40-40
0-0
34-36
161.2Avg total
81.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.376.7158.0+4.750%
Season at home (4)84.876.5161.2+8.250%
Season away (2)74.577.0151.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)81.979.3161.2+2.650%
Last 5 (5)78.880.0158.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.381.7158.0-5.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.175.8156.9+5.378%
vs Weaker (16)88.673.3161.9+15.294%
This opponent (George Mason) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
George MasonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A04/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H08/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
54-82
54
82
-28
A09/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#187
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Cornell
#28
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H16/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H19/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A20/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H25/11
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-26
25-34
21-25
41-32
30-44
24-38
29-23
43-38
42-15
25-30
43-42
47-41
22-25
27-29
34-36
39-35
39-31
42-28
32-31
54-37
133.6Avg total
69.6Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.063.0137.0+11.086%
Season at home (6)74.261.7135.8+12.583%
Season away (1)73.071.0144.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.664.0133.6+5.680%
Last 5 (5)75.867.0142.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.070.5133.5-7.550%
vs Similar ◀ (19)66.365.6131.9+0.658%
vs Weaker (9)77.965.6143.4+12.389%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +2.5+2.5
ToledoGeorge Mason
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H09/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H10/03
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/03
NIT
Detroit
#370
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H12/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H24/11
NCAA
77.1Avg total
39.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.933.574.5+7.477%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.433.475.8+9.071%-
Last 30 away (13)39.033.772.7+5.385%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.077.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.277.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.740.375.0-5.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.832.771.4+6.178%-
vs Weaker (16)42.832.275.1+10.688%-
This opponent (George Mason) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
George MasonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A04/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H08/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A09/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#187
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H07/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H11/11
NCAA
Cornell
#28
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H19/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A20/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H25/11
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H30/11
NCAA
62.7Avg total
32.9Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.729.861.6+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.328.560.8+3.856%-
Last 30 away (12)30.831.862.7-1.042%-
Last 10 (10)32.929.862.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.033.067.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.033.561.5-5.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)29.929.659.6+0.337%-
vs Weaker (9)36.329.465.8+6.978%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toledo wins
1
George Mason wins
DateGameScore
03/12/22George Mason v Toledo80-73
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23HIndiana State74-76
23/11/23AUC Irvine71-77
22/11/23HNew Mexico84-92
15/11/23AWright State78-77
12/11/23HLouisiana Lafayette87-78
07/11/23HDetroit94-60
14/03/23AMichigan80-90
12/03/23HKent State78-93
10/03/23HOhio82-75
09/03/23HMiami (FL)91-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HNJIT86-68
25/11/23HEast Carolina81-59
20/11/23ASouth Dakota St.73-71
19/11/23HCharlotte49-54
16/11/23HCornell90-83
11/11/23HAustin Peay67-45
07/11/23HMonmouth72-61
09/03/23ASt. Louis Billikens54-82
08/03/23HRichmond Spiders62-57
04/03/23ARichmond Spiders62-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.384.874.5
Allowed / game76.776.577.0
Point differential+4.7+8.2-2.5
Avg total158.0161.2151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
George Mason
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %86%83%100%
Points / game74.074.273.0
Allowed / game63.061.771.0
Point differential+11.0+12.5+2.0
Avg total137.0135.8144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass54180%84.869.2+15.6
2 Ball State86275%76.864.1+12.6
3 Ohio75271%81.074.4+6.6
4 Northern Illinois75271%84.678.6+6.0
5 Kent State85362%84.871.9+12.9
6 Bowling Green85362%69.867.5+2.2
7 Eastern Michigan85362%67.473.0-5.6
8 Miami (Ohio)53260%71.864.0+7.8
9 Akron74357%76.467.4+9.0
10 Toledo63350%81.376.7+4.7
11 Western Michigan72529%64.670.1-5.6
12 Central Michigan72529%64.376.4-12.1
13 Buffalo81712%69.283.1-13.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Mason76186%74.063.0+11.0
2 George Washington86275%82.575.4+7.1
3 Dayton86275%70.064.1+5.9
4 La Salle86275%79.178.1+1.0
5 Saint Josephs Hawks75271%76.364.3+12.0
6 Duquesne75271%77.670.1+7.4
7 Rhode Island75271%76.369.1+7.1
8 St. Bonaventure75271%71.966.6+5.3
9 Richmond Spiders85362%78.966.2+12.6
10 Davidson85362%71.868.8+3.0
11 Loyola Chicago85362%70.568.0+2.5
12 Fordham74357%72.665.3+7.3
13 St. Louis Billikens95456%75.275.8-0.6
14 VCU Rams84450%68.064.6+3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo354277
George Mason404686
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