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Toledo vs Marshall Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 88-87
48-39 40-48
Position#107
Record5-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.1
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#289
Record3-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game80.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Toledo v Marshall
08 Nov 2025
TOLE73
MARS85
13 Dec 2023
TOLE88
MARS87
21 Dec 2021
TOLE95
MARS63
08 Dec 2019
TOLE82
MARS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marshall winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#9
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A14/03
NIT
Detroit
#370
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A15/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H24/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H03/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H09/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
42-40
0-0
38-50
0-0
51-35
0-0
43-25
0-0
34-45
0-0
53-33
0-0
41-40
0-0
37-37
0-0
32-42
0-0
52-50
0-0
32-39
0-0
39-38
0-0
40-40
0-0
34-36
0-0
35-40
0-0
42-46
0-0
32-36
0-0
37-32
0-0
36-40
0-0
48-40
158.2Avg total
79.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.877.1156.9+2.756%
Season at home (6)83.378.7162.0+4.750%
Season away (3)72.774.0146.7-1.367%
Last 10 (10)79.878.4158.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)75.077.4152.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.381.7158.0-5.30%
vs Similar (11)79.676.7156.4+2.973%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.972.2161.1+16.7100%
This opponent (Marshall) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#236
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A11/11
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A19/11
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A20/11
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A21/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
82-118
82
118
-36
A25/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H03/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H07/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-37
30-34
45-36
44-37
23-33
39-33
26-39
34-44
44-25
36-44
29-30
42-48
41-69
41-49
24-32
50-47
32-39
40-46
37-38
37-31
152.3Avg total
73.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.880.0153.8-6.233%
Season at home (3)78.379.0157.3-0.733%
Season away (6)71.580.5152.0-9.033%
Last 10 (10)73.279.1152.3-5.930%
Last 5 (5)74.685.8160.4-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.886.6158.4-14.820%
vs Similar (9)79.974.6154.4+5.356%
vs Weaker (15)81.071.9152.9+9.173%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: -2.0-2.0
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: -2.0-2.0
ToledoMarshall
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/03
NIT
Detroit
#370
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H12/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H24/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H03/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H09/12
NCAA
77.2Avg total
37.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.134.074.1+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.633.775.3+7.965%-
Last 30 away (13)38.234.372.5+3.977%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.777.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.074.0-4.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.740.375.0-5.70%-
vs Similar (11)37.334.772.0+2.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.231.774.9+11.593%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#236
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H04/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A11/11
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A20/11
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
41-69
41
69
-28
A25/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H03/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H07/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/12
NCAA
71.7Avg total
33.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.535.271.8+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.534.371.8+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)35.636.171.7-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)33.937.871.7-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)32.641.674.2-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.043.076.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (9)36.336.272.6+0.156%-
vs Weaker (15)36.931.968.7+5.073%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toledo wins
1
Marshall wins
DateGameScore
17/12/22Marshall v Toledo100-85
22/12/21Toledo v Marshall95-63
16/12/20Marshall v Toledo87-96 OT
08/12/19Toledo v Marshall82-72
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HNorthern Iowa84-80
07/12/23AOakland69-68
03/12/23HGeorge Mason77-86
24/11/23HIndiana State74-76
23/11/23AUC Irvine71-77
22/11/23HNew Mexico84-92
15/11/23AWright State78-77
12/11/23HLouisiana Lafayette87-78
07/11/23HDetroit94-60
14/03/23AMichigan80-90
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23AOhio74-69
07/12/23HDuquesne72-85
03/12/23HMiami (Ohio)74-79
25/11/23AKentucky82-118
21/11/23AOakland71-78
20/11/23AFlorida International80-69
19/11/23AUtah State60-83
11/11/23ARadford62-66
07/11/23HQueens Royals89-73
04/03/23HTexas State68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW56%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %56%50%67%
Points / game79.883.372.7
Allowed / game77.178.774.0
Point differential+2.7+4.7-1.3
Avg total156.9162.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marshall
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game73.878.371.5
Allowed / game80.079.080.5
Point differential-6.2-0.7-9.0
Avg total153.8157.3152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ball State108280%76.564.9+11.6
2 UMass75271%83.772.0+11.7
3 Kent State107370%84.372.5+11.8
4 Akron96367%75.466.7+8.8
5 Bowling Green96367%72.865.4+7.3
6 Ohio95456%78.774.8+3.9
7 Toledo95456%79.877.1+2.7
8 Northern Illinois95456%81.179.3+1.8
9 Eastern Michigan95456%66.973.4-6.6
10 Miami (Ohio)84450%70.469.6+0.8
11 Central Michigan93633%65.079.0-14.0
12 Western Michigan92722%65.072.1-7.1
13 Buffalo101910%67.881.9-14.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison990100%94.175.2+18.9
2 Appalachian State97278%79.961.3+18.6
3 Louisiana Lafayette95456%79.172.4+6.7
4 Southern Miss95456%70.967.2+3.7
5 South Alabama116555%73.675.3-1.6
6 Troy105550%85.869.9+15.9
7 Louisiana Monroe84450%71.870.1+1.6
8 Georgia State94544%76.974.4+2.4
9 Texas State94544%68.969.4-0.6
10 Coastal Carolina93633%80.478.3+2.1
11 Old Dominion93633%69.474.4-5.0
12 Marshall93633%73.880.0-6.2
13 Arkansas State103730%74.679.8-5.2
14 Georgia Southern100100%66.881.5-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo484088
Marshall394887
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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