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Toledo vs Northern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 94-63
47-28 47-35
Position#21
Record10-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game66.4
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#320
Record3-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game56.7
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Toledo v Northern Illinois
24 Feb 2026
TOLE79
NORT69
01 Feb 2025
TOLE89
NORT85
27 Feb 2024
TOLE72
NORT75
08 Jan 2022
TOLE94
NORT63
22 Dec 2020
TOLE78
NORT55
04 Feb 2020
TOLE61
NORT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#213
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A23/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H25/11
NCAA
Northwestern Ohio
#669
W
106-36
106
36
+70
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A04/12
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H08/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Marshall
#287
W
95-63
95
63
+32
H22/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H30/12
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A01/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
82-54
82
54
+28
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-32
26-35
34-34
45-36
51-19
55-17
23-43
45-38
35-31
32-34
41-24
28-48
54-31
41-32
40-25
43-31
26-33
37-33
44-33
38-21
141.0Avg total
78.0Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.666.4144.1+11.271%
Season at home (6)85.260.5145.7+24.7100%
Season away (8)72.070.9142.9+1.150%
Last 10 (10)78.063.0141.0+15.070%
Last 5 (5)78.462.2140.6+16.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)84.280.4164.6+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)79.571.3150.9+8.270%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#183
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A10/11
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
49-85
49
85
-36
A13/11
NCAA
Missouri
#288
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A19/11
NCAA
Boston University
#107
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A21/11
NCAA
UALR
#311
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A22/11
NCAA
Marquette
#134
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A28/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H02/12
NCAA
Dayton
#63
L
41-79
41
79
-38
A04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#225
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-27
35-37
20-47
29-38
21-24
16-30
22-32
36-44
18-34
42-33
28-39
38-41
29-23
26-22
22-41
19-38
23-27
47-32
28-35
32-26
123.7Avg total
56.7Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)56.767.0123.7-10.330%
Season at home (1)55.045.0100.0+10.0100%
Season away (9)56.969.4126.3-12.622%
Last 10 (10)56.767.0123.7-10.330%
Last 5 (5)58.464.8123.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)60.877.5138.2-16.712%
vs Similar (2)48.560.5109.0-12.00%
vs Weaker (3)63.052.7115.7+10.3100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: -8.2-8.22nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -2.1-2.1
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: -8.2-8.22nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -2.1-2.1
ToledoNorthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#213
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A23/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H25/11
NCAA
Northwestern Ohio
#669
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A04/12
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A11/12
NCAA
Marshall
#287
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H22/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A01/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A05/01
NCAA
69.5Avg total
39.0Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.533.073.5+7.583%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.432.174.5+10.380%-
Last 30 away (15)38.733.972.6+4.787%-
Last 10 (10)39.030.569.5+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.029.270.2+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)41.037.078.0+4.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)40.132.872.9+7.383%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#183
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A10/11
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A13/11
NCAA
Missouri
#288
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A19/11
NCAA
Boston University
#107
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A21/11
NCAA
UALR
#311
L
18-34
18
34
-16
A22/11
NCAA
Marquette
#134
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A28/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H02/12
NCAA
Dayton
#63
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#225
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A19/12
NCAA
57.6Avg total
24.7Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.134.661.7-7.523%-
Last 30 at home (11)27.930.558.4-2.536%-
Last 30 away (19)26.637.063.6-10.416%-
Last 10 (10)24.732.957.6-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)26.033.059.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)27.636.363.8-8.720%-
vs Similar (2)19.529.048.5-9.50%-
vs Weaker (3)28.024.352.3+3.767%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toledo wins
2
Northern Illinois wins
DateGameScore
22/12/20Toledo v Northern Illinois78-55
04/03/20Northern Illinois v Toledo71-50
05/02/20Toledo v Northern Illinois61-66
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/22ACentral Michigan82-54
01/01/22AKent State63-66
30/12/21HWestern Michigan83-56
22/12/21HMarshall95-63
11/12/21ARichmond Spiders69-72
08/12/21HBradley67-65
04/12/21AMichigan State68-81
30/11/21HNorthwestern Ohio106-36
25/11/21HCoastal Carolina79-70
23/11/21ATulane68-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/21AIllinois (Chi.)60-61
13/12/21AChicago State70-59
04/12/21ADayton41-79
02/12/21HEastern Illinois55-45
28/11/21AMarquette66-80
22/11/21AUALR60-67
21/11/21ABoston University58-76
19/11/21AMissouri37-54
13/11/21AIndiana49-85
10/11/21AWashington71-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game77.685.272.0
Allowed / game66.460.570.9
Point differential+11.2+24.7+1.1
Avg total144.1145.7142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northern Illinois
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL30%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1019
Win %30%100%22%
Points / game56.755.056.9
Allowed / game67.045.069.4
Point differential-10.3+10.0-12.6
Avg total123.7100.0126.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio1412286%72.665.3+7.3
2 Toledo1410471%77.666.4+11.2
3 Akron128467%73.461.5+11.9
4 Miami (Ohio)127558%79.467.6+11.8
5 Bowling Green137654%84.075.1+8.9
6 Buffalo137654%82.574.0+8.5
7 Kent State147750%69.963.8+6.1
8 UMass147750%78.678.1+0.5
9 Eastern Michigan126650%73.177.0-3.9
10 Ball State136746%74.277.2-3.0
11 Northern Illinois103730%56.767.0-10.3
12 Western Michigan1441029%65.178.4-13.3
13 Central Michigan1321115%64.382.8-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo474794
Northern Illinois283563
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