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Toledo vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 83-56
40-25 43-31
Position#21
Record8-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game68.5
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#335
Record4-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game79.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Toledo v Western Michigan
30 Dec 2025
TOLE84
WEST79
30 Jan 2024
TOLE88
WEST63
06 Jan 2023
TOLE102
WEST74
29 Dec 2021
TOLE83
WEST56
27 Feb 2021
TOLE91
WEST44
09 Mar 2020
TOLE76
WEST73
11 Jan 2020
TOLE67
WEST59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit
#215
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Oakland
#113
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A18/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
W
98-86
98
86
+12
A22/11
NCAA
Tulane
#213
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A23/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H25/11
NCAA
Northwestern Ohio
#669
W
106-36
106
36
+70
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A04/12
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H08/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Marshall
#287
W
95-63
95
63
+32
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-35
38-38
32-31
27-49
52-47
46-39
42-32
26-35
34-34
45-36
51-19
55-17
23-43
45-38
35-31
32-34
41-24
28-48
54-31
41-32
148.3Avg total
79.0Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.168.5146.6+9.573%
Season at home (5)85.661.4147.0+24.2100%
Season away (6)71.874.5146.3-2.750%
Last 10 (10)79.069.3148.3+9.770%
Last 5 (5)81.063.4144.4+17.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)85.780.3166.0+5.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)80.872.8153.6+8.071%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#104
L
46-90
46
90
-44
A12/11
NCAA
Saginaw Valley
#193
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
61-109
61
109
-48
A23/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#88
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A27/11
NCAA
IPFW
#87
W
93-85 OT
93
85
+8
H27/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
A28/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H05/12
NCAA
Detroit
#215
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A11/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#383
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
52-85
52
85
-33
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-46
21-44
30-36
33-44
20-49
41-60
31-33
36-44
40-36
37-41
33-37
37-33
30-32
30-39
29-36
35-47
34-32
33-24
23-44
29-41
146.7Avg total
65.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)66.479.2145.5-12.836%
Season at home (5)71.870.0141.8+1.860%
Season away (6)61.886.8148.7-25.017%
Last 10 (10)65.481.3146.7-15.930%
Last 5 (5)64.874.4139.2-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)63.678.2141.8-14.520%
vs Similar (1)63.064.0127.0-1.00%
vs Weaker (2)67.552.5120.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: -8.6-8.62nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -8.5-8.5
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: -8.6-8.62nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -8.5-8.5
ToledoWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit
#215
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Oakland
#113
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A18/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A22/11
NCAA
Tulane
#213
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A23/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H25/11
NCAA
Northwestern Ohio
#669
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A04/12
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A11/12
NCAA
Marshall
#287
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H22/12
NCAA
73.4Avg total
40.7Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.233.674.9+7.683%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.132.675.7+10.481%-
Last 30 away (14)39.134.873.9+4.486%-
Last 10 (10)40.732.773.4+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)40.829.670.4+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)41.637.378.9+4.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.833.274.0+7.686%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#104
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A12/11
NCAA
Saginaw Valley
#193
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
20-49
20
49
-29
A23/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#88
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A27/11
NCAA
IPFW
#87
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H27/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H05/12
NCAA
Detroit
#215
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#383
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H18/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A21/12
NCAA
67.6Avg total
29.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.934.665.4-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.832.165.9+1.756%-
Last 30 away (14)27.537.464.9-9.921%-
Last 10 (10)29.538.167.6-8.620%-
Last 5 (5)29.836.266.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)30.636.367.0-5.732%-
vs Similar (1)21.030.051.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker (2)33.023.556.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Toledo wins
0
Western Michigan wins
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/21HMarshall95-63
11/12/21ARichmond Spiders69-72
08/12/21HBradley67-65
04/12/21AMichigan State68-81
30/11/21HNorthwestern Ohio106-36
25/11/21HCoastal Carolina79-70
23/11/21ATulane68-67
22/11/21ACharlotte98-86
18/11/21AOakland59-80
14/11/21HDetroit81-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/21ANotre Dame52-85
18/12/21HAquinas67-56
11/12/21ADetroit64-83
05/12/21HValparaiso60-71
28/11/21ASE Louisiana81-77 OT
27/11/21HIPFW93-85 OT
27/11/21AFlorida Gulf Coast67-77
23/11/21AIowa61-109
19/11/21HSaginaw Valley63-80
12/11/21AMichigan State46-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game78.185.671.8
Allowed / game68.561.474.5
Point differential+9.5+24.2-2.7
Avg total146.6147.0146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL36%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game66.471.861.8
Allowed / game79.270.086.8
Point differential-12.8+1.8-25.0
Avg total145.5141.8148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %18%20%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio119282%73.566.5+6.9
2 Toledo118373%78.168.5+9.5
3 Akron107370%73.059.3+13.7
4 Bowling Green117464%84.072.4+11.6
5 Miami (Ohio)127558%79.467.6+11.8
6 UMass127558%79.678.0+1.6
7 Buffalo116555%81.571.5+10.1
8 Kent State115645%70.462.3+8.1
9 Ball State115645%74.477.9-3.5
10 Eastern Michigan115645%72.076.8-4.8
11 Western Michigan114736%66.479.2-12.8
12 Northern Illinois103730%56.767.0-10.3
13 Central Michigan1221017%65.282.8-17.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo404383
Western Michigan253156
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