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Toledo vs Northern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-85
50-35 39-50
Position#167
Record12-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game77.8
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#352
Record5-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toledo v Northern Illinois
24 Feb 2026
TOLE79
NORT69
01 Feb 2025
TOLE89
NORT85
27 Feb 2024
TOLE72
NORT75
08 Jan 2022
TOLE94
NORT63
22 Dec 2020
TOLE78
NORT55
04 Feb 2020
TOLE61
NORT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
L
49-78
49
78
-29
A19/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A29/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A04/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H11/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A18/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H22/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A24/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-39
27-39
28-39
36-44
35-33
41-37
46-33
44-54
34-30
35-37
42-30
36-55
44-40
49-35
30-44
34-39
43-38
41-33
47-39
39-44
153.5Avg total
75.3Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.277.8156.0+0.560%
Season at home (9)78.076.2154.2+1.867%
Season away (11)78.579.0157.5-0.555%
Last 10 (10)75.378.2153.5-2.960%
Last 5 (5)81.079.4160.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.383.8158.1-9.433%
vs Similar (12)79.074.1153.1+4.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)90.772.5163.2+18.283%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A19/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#670
W
117-50
117
50
+67
H31/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A04/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H08/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
70-108
70
108
-38
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H15/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A22/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-36
32-45
59-21
58-29
37-33
34-42
21-35
29-33
39-57
31-51
42-48
27-36
29-35
37-36
27-39
43-33
40-29
36-37
33-37
37-43
147.4Avg total
71.9Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)70.875.8146.6-5.125%
Season at home (10)76.966.7143.6+10.250%
Season away (10)64.685.0149.6-20.40%
Last 10 (10)71.975.5147.4-3.620%
Last 5 (5)70.274.6144.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)63.480.1143.4-16.716%
vs Similar (6)68.071.5139.5-3.517%
vs Weaker (4)89.064.0153.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: -2.1-2.1
ToledoNorthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A19/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A29/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A04/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H11/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A15/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A18/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H22/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A29/01
NCAA
73.6Avg total
37.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.273.1+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.232.568.7+3.757%-
Last 30 away (16)39.437.576.9+1.969%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.573.6+0.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.279.4+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.339.274.5-3.842%-
vs Similar (12)37.932.870.8+5.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.031.874.8+11.2100%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#141
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A19/12
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#670
W
59-21
59
21
+38
H31/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A04/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H08/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H18/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A22/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H25/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H29/01
NCAA
72.5Avg total
35.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.036.869.8-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.232.768.9+3.543%-
Last 30 away (16)30.240.470.6-10.119%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.072.5-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.237.671.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.439.670.1-9.216%-
vs Similar (6)31.534.265.7-2.733%-
vs Weaker (4)43.531.274.8+12.275%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Toledo wins
3
Northern Illinois wins
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/25AOhio86-83
24/01/25ABowling Green84-71
22/01/25HKent State64-83
18/01/25ABall State93-75
15/01/25AAkron78-85
11/01/25HCentral Michigan69-67
08/01/25HEastern Michigan90-87
04/01/25AWestern Michigan76-70
29/12/24APurdue64-83
19/12/24AHouston49-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/25HAkron70-80
25/01/25HBall State76-66
22/01/25AWestern Michigan70-72
18/01/25HCentral Michigan66-71
15/01/25HMiami (Ohio)69-84
11/01/25AOhio70-108
08/01/25HKent State50-68
04/01/25AEastern Michigan71-75
31/12/24HEWU Phantoms117-50
19/12/24AIllinois State60-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %60%67%55%
Points / game78.278.078.5
Allowed / game77.876.279.0
Point differential+0.5+1.8-0.5
Avg total156.0154.2157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%22%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northern Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLLLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game70.876.964.6
Allowed / game75.866.785.0
Point differential-5.1+10.2-20.4
Avg total146.6143.6149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2116576%84.072.9+11.1
2 Miami (Ohio)2015575%82.873.2+9.6
3 Kent State2113862%70.065.1+4.9
4 Toledo2012860%78.277.8+0.5
5 Ohio2011955%80.575.6+4.8
6 Eastern Michigan21101148%73.377.8-4.5
7 Central Michigan2091145%73.370.0+3.4
8 Ball State2091145%75.573.5+1.9
9 UMass2191243%76.576.2+0.3
10 Bowling Green2071335%75.375.6-0.3
11 Buffalo2071335%72.281.3-9.1
12 Western Michigan2171433%71.175.0-3.9
13 Northern Illinois2051525%70.875.8-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo503989
Northern Illinois355085
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