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Torino vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 71-93
17-16 19-27 21-14 14-36
Position#13
Record2-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.8
Torino
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.8
Allowed / game84.0
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Torino v Olimpia Milano
04 Nov 2018
TOR71
MIL93
30 Sep 2018
TOR71
MIL82
10 Dec 2017
TOR71
MIL59
06 Nov 2016
TOR97
MIL100
15 Nov 2015
TOR85
MIL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
H30/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Frankfurt
#16
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
no box
A03/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#2
L
75-76 OT
75
76
-1
no box
A07/10
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#22
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
H10/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
W
86-74
86
74
+12
117avg 111
H13/10
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A17/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
98-85
98
85
+13
127avg 111
A21/10
Lega A
Rytas
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
99avg 111
A24/10
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
82-96
82
96
-14
111avg 111
A28/10
Lega A
Unicaja
#6
L
104-105
104
105
-1
128avg 111
H31/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
10-21
20-26
20-15
26-19
11-26
22-13
16-17
18-14
17-24
16-14
17-16
23-23
17-32
22-9
18-20
24-22
22-15
15-24
25-13
6-31
21-18
25-20
26-23
24-19
26-24
21-17
27-25
12-22
22-22
19-16
26-26
18-27
24-22
15-23
25-24
24-33
24-29
27-26
29-17
170.6Avg total
83.8Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.282.8168.0+2.550%
Season at home (1)86.074.0160.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)85.085.7170.7-0.733%
Last 10 (10)83.886.8170.6-3.020%
Last 5 (5)88.292.8181.0-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)80.587.9168.4-7.412%
vs Similar (7)81.685.4167.0-3.929%
vs Weaker (4)89.887.5177.2+2.275%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Torino
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
A30/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#5
W
103-92
103
92
+11
135avg 111
H07/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#15
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
A12/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
88-79
88
79
+9
115avg 111
A14/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
no box
H17/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
99-75
99
75
+24
124avg 111
A19/10
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
107-83
107
83
+24
no box
H21/10
Lega A
Khimki M.
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
109avg 111
H25/10
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
97-82
97
82
+15
124avg 111
A28/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
111avg 111
H02/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
21-10
26-20
15-20
25-24
22-24
34-20
22-24
22-11
20-20
15-20
25-20
22-16
17-24
30-24
19-15
28-13
22-28
14-26
21-24
24-26
20-15
29-22
26-12
26-24
27-24
19-13
35-22
23-20
16-25
27-17
15-18
31-20
19-14
24-27
23-21
24-17
19-18
25-19
13-26
170.9Avg total
90.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)98.884.0182.8+14.8100%
Season at home (2)105.087.5192.5+17.5100%
Season away (2)92.580.5173.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.580.4170.9+10.190%
Last 5 (5)93.080.0173.0+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.085.5168.5-2.550%
vs Similar (3)88.781.3170.0+7.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.978.0165.9+10.079%
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
TorinoOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H30/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Frankfurt
#16
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A03/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/10
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#22
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H10/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/10
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#2
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A17/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A21/10
Lega A
Rytas
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A24/10
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A28/10
Lega A
Unicaja
#6
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H31/10
Eurocup
85.3Avg total
39.0Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.581.0-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.442.179.4-4.736%-
Last 30 away (16)39.642.882.4-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.046.385.3-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)40.249.489.6-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.143.980.9-6.818%-
vs Similar (7)37.440.177.6-2.743%-
vs Weaker (4)45.047.092.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A30/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H07/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A12/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A19/10
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H21/10
Lega A
Khimki M.
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/10
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A28/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H02/11
Euroleague
84.2Avg total
44.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.082.6+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.939.886.6+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)41.936.077.9+5.964%-
Last 10 (10)44.839.484.2+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.686.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.538.084.5+8.5100%-
vs Similar (3)41.042.383.3-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.237.883.0+7.571%-
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.6
52.3%
51.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.610.0
40.7%
35.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.216.7
75.2%
72.3%16.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.3
54.9%
51.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.811.0
39.6%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.315.5
80.3%
72.3%15.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torino
LLLWLWLLLL
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWLWWWW
#13
League position
#1
-2.5
Net rating
+15.7
113.0
Offensive rating
124.0
115.5
Defensive rating
108.4
55.7%
Effective FG%
56.8%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
13.1%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.7%
3-point %
39.6%
57.1%
Assist %
46.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 124.0Defence115.5 · 108.4Shooting55.7% · 56.8%3-point %40.7% · 39.6%Ball care16.2% · 13.1%Off. rebounds25.6% · 32.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Torino   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Torino wins
5
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
30/09/18Torino v Olimpia Milano71-82
08/04/18Olimpia Milano v Torino90-78
10/12/17Torino v Olimpia Milano71-59
05/03/17Olimpia Milano v Torino81-74
06/11/16Torino v Olimpia Milano97-100
06/03/16Olimpia Milano v Torino94-90 OT
15/11/15Torino v Olimpia Milano85-83
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/18HUnicaja104-105
28/10/18ASassari82-96
24/10/18ARytas79-86
21/10/18AReggiana98-85
17/10/18AUnics Kazan78-92
13/10/18HTrieste86-74
10/10/18HMornar Bar80-84
07/10/18AVenezia75-76 OT
03/10/18AFrankfurt85-88 OT
30/09/18HOlimpia Milano71-82
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/18HAnadolu Efes81-80
28/10/18APesaro97-82
25/10/18HKhimki M.81-80
21/10/18HPistoia107-83
19/10/18AOlympiacos99-75
17/10/18HReal Madrid85-91
14/10/18AVirtus Bologna88-79
12/10/18ABuducnost82-71
07/10/18HBrindisi103-92
30/09/18ATorino82-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game85.286.085.0
Allowed / game82.874.085.7
Point differential+2.5+12.0-0.7
Avg total168.0160.0170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%33%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.8105.092.5
Allowed / game84.087.580.5
Point differential+14.8+17.5+12.0
Avg total182.8192.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia550100%90.269.0+21.2
2 Olimpia Milano440100%98.884.0+14.8
3 Cremona54180%88.284.4+3.8
4 Avellino53260%92.683.4+9.2
5 Brindisi53260%86.079.8+6.2
6 Sassari53260%81.478.2+3.2
7 Varese53260%76.075.2+0.8
8 Cantu53260%84.284.0+0.2
9 Torino42250%85.282.8+2.5
10 Brescia52340%81.481.6-0.2
11 Trieste52340%82.884.2-1.4
12 Reggiana52340%83.685.4-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna52340%81.688.8-7.2
14 Pesaro51420%76.288.6-12.4
15 Trento5050%78.495.6-17.2
16 Pistoia5050%76.494.6-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torino1719211471
Olimpia Milano1627143693
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