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Olimpia Milano vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 107-83
26-24 27-24 19-13 35-22
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game85.5
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#16
Record0-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game90.0
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pistoia
13 Apr 2025
MIL95
PIS80
26 Nov 2023
MIL81
PIS86
11 Nov 2019
MIL83
PIS63
21 Oct 2018
MIL107
PIS83
06 May 2018
MIL101
PIS74
27 Nov 2016
MIL104
PIS70
01 Nov 2015
MIL89
PIS71
10 May 2015
MIL78
PIS77
27 May 2014
MIL88
PIS78
21 May 2014
MIL87
PIS67
19 May 2014
MIL73
PIS59
04 Nov 2013
MIL75
PIS55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
94avg 110
A11/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
118avg 110
H13/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
96-71
96
71
+25
120avg 110
A15/06
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
H29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Torino
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
A30/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#5
W
103-92
103
92
+11
135avg 110
H07/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#15
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
A12/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
88-79
88
79
+9
115avg 110
A14/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
no box
H17/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
99-75
99
75
+24
124avg 110
A19/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-11
21-18
21-23
19-25
31-22
17-28
23-16
20-24
25-20
23-13
18-23
30-15
20-13
15-17
23-11
23-18
20-21
21-10
26-20
15-20
25-24
22-24
34-20
22-24
22-11
20-20
15-20
25-20
22-16
17-24
30-24
19-15
28-13
22-28
14-26
21-24
24-26
20-15
29-22
26-12
165.7Avg total
88.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.585.5181.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)103.092.0195.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.177.6165.7+10.580%
Last 5 (5)91.481.6173.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.093.5183.5-3.50%
vs Similar (4)87.579.2166.8+8.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.977.6164.4+9.378%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
W
93-83
93
83
+10
123avg 111
H25/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
114avg 111
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
72-80 OT
72
80
-8
no box
A08/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
94avg 111
H15/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
70-85
70
85
-15
93avg 111
A22/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
61-74
61
74
-13
85avg 111
H29/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-101
74
101
-27
99avg 111
A06/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
124avg 111
H09/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A07/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
69-97
69
97
-28
no box
H14/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
18-20
25-24
23-26
31-11
12-16
20-28
21-22
14-27
19-16
24-16
12-10
28-19
12-13
16-29
13-19
23-21
16-21
14-20
17-23
14-23
18-22
14-14
15-15
20-31
13-17
21-29
20-24
26-22
20-22
26-23
18-18
23-18
20-21
15-18
19-26
15-21
17-22
16-22
21-32
160.4Avg total
75.9Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.090.0163.0-17.00%
Season at home (1)69.097.0166.0-28.00%
Season away (1)77.083.0160.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)75.984.5160.4-8.630%
Last 5 (5)74.288.0162.2-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)73.684.8158.4-11.217%
vs Similar (6)78.879.3158.2-0.550%
vs Weaker (1)91.069.0160.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -3.6-3.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -3.6-3.6
Olimpia MilanoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A11/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H13/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A15/06
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Torino
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A30/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H07/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A12/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A19/10
Euroleague
80.2Avg total
42.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.137.982.0+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.339.186.3+8.280%-
Last 30 away (15)40.936.777.6+4.353%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.480.2+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.284.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.541.594.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (4)40.240.580.8-0.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.437.481.9+7.070%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H25/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H29/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A06/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A07/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H14/10
Lega A
78.2Avg total
38.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.841.779.5-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.739.376.9-1.647%-
Last 30 away (15)37.944.182.1-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.678.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.243.881.0-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.742.879.5-6.122%-
vs Similar (6)40.738.879.5+1.867%-
vs Weaker (1)46.034.080.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.9
54.5%
51.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.311.1
40.7%
35.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.113.0
80.7%
72.3%13.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.3
47.5%
51.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.5
33.7%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.711.2
67.1%
72.3%11.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWWWWWL
Pistoia
LLWLLLLLWW
#1
League position
#16
+9.6
Net rating
-10.5
119.2
Offensive rating
101.6
109.7
Defensive rating
112.2
57.3%
Effective FG%
48.7%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
14.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.7%
3-point %
33.7%
45.5%
Assist %
48.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence119.2 · 101.6Defence109.7 · 112.2Shooting57.3% · 48.7%3-point %40.7% · 33.7%Ball care14.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds28.1% · 30.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
06/05/18Olimpia Milano v Pistoia101-74
08/01/18Pistoia v Olimpia Milano63-79
26/03/17Pistoia v Olimpia Milano85-74
27/11/16Olimpia Milano v Pistoia104-70
14/02/16Pistoia v Olimpia Milano80-85
01/11/15Olimpia Milano v Pistoia89-71
10/05/15Olimpia Milano v Pistoia78-77
12/01/15Pistoia v Olimpia Milano73-79
27/05/14Olimpia Milano v Pistoia88-78
25/05/14Pistoia v Olimpia Milano84-82
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/18AOlympiacos99-75
17/10/18HReal Madrid85-91
14/10/18AVirtus Bologna88-79
12/10/18ABuducnost82-71
07/10/18HBrindisi103-92
30/09/18ATorino82-71
29/09/18HBrescia81-59
15/06/18ATrento96-71
13/06/18HTrento91-90
11/06/18ATrento74-77
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/18HVenezia69-97
07/10/18APesaro77-83
09/05/18HBrescia90-85
06/05/18AOlimpia Milano74-101
29/04/18HVirtus Bologna61-74
22/04/18ATrento70-85
15/04/18HSassari69-80
08/04/18APesaro72-80 OT
31/03/18ATorino84-77
25/03/18HVenezia93-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.5103.088.0
Allowed / game85.592.079.0
Point differential+10.0+11.0+9.0
Avg total181.0195.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.069.077.0
Allowed / game90.097.083.0
Point differential-17.0-28.0-6.0
Avg total163.0166.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia220100%86.572.0+14.5
2 Olimpia Milano220100%95.585.5+10.0
3 Cantu32167%87.083.0+4.0
4 Varese32167%78.078.7-0.7
5 Cremona32167%92.394.3-2.0
6 Avellino21150%93.087.5+5.5
7 Torino21150%80.575.0+5.5
8 Brindisi21150%90.088.0+2.0
9 Reggiana21150%82.080.0+2.0
10 Sassari21150%74.072.5+1.5
11 Virtus Bologna21150%85.588.0-2.5
12 Pesaro21150%78.082.5-4.5
13 Brescia31233%83.083.3-0.3
14 Trieste31233%84.088.0-4.0
15 Trento3030%85.393.7-8.3
16 Pistoia2020%73.090.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano26271935107
Pistoia2424132283
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