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Olimpia Milano vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 85-91
28-13 22-28 14-26 21-24
Position#11
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game71.0
Olimpia Milano
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game93.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2
European cup2018
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid
13 Oct 2026
MIL89
MAD98
16 Dec 2025
MIL89
MAD82
07 Nov 2024
MIL85
MAD76
08 Feb 2024
MIL81
MAD76
03 Nov 2022
MIL77
MAD83
16 Dec 2021
MIL73
MAD75
16 Oct 2020
MIL78
MAD70
17 Oct 2018
MIL85
MAD91
13 Mar 2018
MIL77
MAD88
27 Oct 2016
MIL90
MAD101
05 Dec 2013
MIL71
MAD78
01 Dec 2011
MIL65
MAD72
13 Jan 2010
MIL66
MAD75
08 Jan 2009
MIL70
MAD61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
W
90-80
90
80
+10
112avg 110
H07/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
65-72
65
72
-7
88avg 110
A09/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
94avg 110
A11/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
118avg 110
H13/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
96-71
96
71
+25
120avg 110
A15/06
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
H29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Torino
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
A30/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#5
W
103-92
103
92
+11
135avg 110
H07/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#15
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
A12/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
88-79
88
79
+9
115avg 110
A14/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
30-18
14-14
19-19
17-17
14-18
17-23
17-14
13-11
21-18
21-23
19-25
31-22
17-28
23-16
20-24
25-20
23-13
18-23
30-15
20-13
15-17
23-11
23-18
20-21
21-10
26-20
15-20
25-24
22-24
34-20
22-24
22-11
20-20
15-20
25-20
22-16
17-24
30-24
19-15
161.4Avg total
85.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.071.0153.0+11.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)82.071.0153.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.276.2161.4+9.080%
Last 5 (5)87.274.4161.6+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)80.086.5166.5-6.50%
vs Similar (4)85.083.8168.8+1.250%
vs Weaker (23)86.977.6164.4+9.378%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
W
98-91
98
91
+7
131avg 118
H15/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
83-78
83
78
+5
117avg 118
A17/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
96-85
96
85
+11
126avg 118
A19/06
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#4
W
81-61
81
61
+20
no box
A21/09
Supercopa ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H22/09
Supercopa ACB
Tenerife
#7
W
88-73
88
73
+15
121avg 118
H30/09
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
88-70
88
70
+18
120avg 118
A05/10
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
120avg 118
H07/10
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
W
109-93
109
93
+16
142avg 118
H11/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
92-69
92
69
+23
120avg 118
H14/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-33
24-19
31-13
15-26
20-24
20-18
25-21
18-15
18-21
24-17
23-19
31-28
20-12
20-22
28-8
13-19
20-21
22-23
19-18
19-11
23-14
17-21
25-20
23-18
28-26
17-15
21-5
22-24
21-15
27-21
14-28
27-18
25-18
28-20
38-31
18-24
22-23
22-16
21-21
27-9
167.9Avg total
90.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)109.093.0202.0+16.0100%
Season at home (1)109.093.0202.0+16.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.477.5167.9+12.9100%
Last 5 (5)93.277.4170.6+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)92.185.7177.9+6.486%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.278.1165.4+9.191%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
Olimpia MilanoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H07/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A09/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A11/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H13/06
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A15/06
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Torino
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A30/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H07/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A12/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
Lega A
79.6Avg total
42.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.537.581.0+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.839.085.8+7.880%-
Last 30 away (15)40.336.076.3+4.353%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.479.6+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.076.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)44.536.581.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (4)40.040.280.2-0.225%-
vs Weaker (23)44.437.481.9+7.070%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H15/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A17/06
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A19/06
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A21/09
Supercopa ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H22/09
Supercopa ACB
Tenerife
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H30/09
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A05/10
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H07/10
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H11/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/10
ACB
84.5Avg total
44.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.782.4+4.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.538.984.4+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)41.238.579.8+2.769%-
Last 10 (10)44.639.984.5+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)46.037.883.8+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)44.343.087.3+1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.637.681.2+6.082%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.7
55.6%
52.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.611.3
42.5%
37.0%33.9
🏀 Free throws14.911.6
77.9%
76.7%11.6
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.3
55.3%
52.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.3
39.5%
37.0%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.715.9
80.7%
76.7%15.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWWWLLW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#3
+9.6
Net rating
+14.1
120.0
Offensive rating
123.8
110.4
Defensive rating
109.7
59.1%
Effective FG%
57.0%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
15.4%
Turnover %
12.7%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
42.5%
3-point %
39.5%
47.1%
Assist %
59.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence120.0 · 123.8Defence110.4 · 109.7Shooting59.1% · 57.0%3-point %42.5% · 39.5%Ball care15.4% · 12.7%Off. rebounds29.7% · 31.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 100%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Olimpia Milano wins
10
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
13/03/18Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid77-88
24/10/17Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano100-90
27/01/17Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano94-89
27/10/16Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid90-101
05/12/13Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid71-78
01/11/13Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano93-74
01/12/11Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid65-72
27/10/11Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano85-78
13/01/10Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid66-75
26/11/09Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano82-69
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/18AVirtus Bologna88-79
12/10/18ABuducnost82-71
07/10/18HBrindisi103-92
30/09/18ATorino82-71
29/09/18HBrescia81-59
15/06/18ATrento96-71
13/06/18HTrento91-90
11/06/18ATrento74-77
09/06/18ATrento65-72
07/06/18HTrento90-80
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/18HJoventut Badalona92-69
11/10/18HDarussafaka109-93
07/10/18HUnicaja89-82
05/10/18AValencia88-70
30/09/18HTenerife88-73
22/09/18HBaskonia80-73
21/09/18AObradoiro CAB81-61
19/06/18ABaskonia96-85
17/06/18ABaskonia83-78
15/06/18HBaskonia98-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game71.0-71.0
Point differential+11.0-+11.0
Avg total153.0-153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game109.0109.0-
Allowed / game93.093.0-
Point differential+16.0+16.0-
Avg total202.0202.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos110100%87.066.0+21.0
2 Fenerbahce220100%95.078.5+16.5
3 Real Madrid110100%109.093.0+16.0
4 CSKA Moscow220100%92.080.5+11.5
5 Olimpia Milano110100%82.071.0+11.0
6 Baskonia110100%87.079.0+8.0
7 Zalgiris Kaunas21150%86.083.0+3.0
8 Anadolu Efes21150%84.582.0+2.5
9 Panathinaikos21150%84.082.0+2.0
10 Darussafaka21150%82.086.0-4.0
11 Bayern21150%75.584.5-9.0
12 Gran Canaria21150%79.591.5-12.0
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv2020%85.089.0-4.0
14 Buducnost2020%67.076.5-9.5
15 Barcelona2020%80.591.0-10.5
16 Khimki M.2020%75.590.0-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2822142185
Real Madrid1328262491
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