PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record4-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game120.4
Allowed / game112.6
vs
Position#15
Record4-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game118.2
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Cleveland Cavaliers
12 Feb 2027
TOR v CLE
upcoming
29 Jan 2027
TOR v CLE
upcoming
01 May 2026
TOR112
CLE110
26 Apr 2026
TOR93
CLE89
23 Apr 2026
TOR126
CLE104
24 Nov 2025
TOR110
CLE99
12 Feb 2025
TOR108
CLE131
23 Oct 2024
TOR106
CLE136
10 Feb 2024
TOR95
CLE119
01 Jan 2024
TOR124
CLE121
28 Nov 2022
TOR100
CLE88
19 Oct 2022
TOR108
CLE105
24 Mar 2022
TOR117
CLE104
05 Nov 2021
TOR101
CLE102
26 Apr 2021
TOR112
CLE96
31 Dec 2019
TOR117
CLE97
16 Dec 2019
TOR133
CLE113
21 Dec 2018
TOR126
CLE110
17 Oct 2018
TOR116
CLE104
03 May 2018
TOR110
CLE128
01 May 2018
TOR112
CLE113
11 Jan 2018
TOR133
CLE99
14 Jul 2017
TOR75
CLE78
07 May 2017
TOR102
CLE109
05 May 2017
TOR94
CLE115
05 Dec 2016
TOR112
CLE116
28 Oct 2016
TOR91
CLE94
27 May 2016
TOR87
CLE113
23 May 2016
TOR105
CLE99
21 May 2016
TOR99
CLE84
26 Feb 2016
TOR99
CLE97
25 Nov 2015
TOR103
CLE99
18 Oct 2015
TOR87
CLE81
04 Mar 2015
TOR112
CLE120
05 Dec 2014
TOR91
CLE105
21 Feb 2014
TOR98
CLE91
10 Mar 2013
TOR100
CLE96
26 Jan 2013
TOR98
CLE99
06 Apr 2012
TOR80
CLE84
04 Jan 2012
TOR92
CLE77
06 Apr 2011
TOR96
CLE104
29 Oct 2010
TOR101
CLE81
26 Feb 2010
TOR118
CLE126
28 Oct 2009
TOR101
CLE91
18 Feb 2009
TOR76
CLE93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
102-114
102
114
-12
A03/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
105-129
105
129
-24
H03/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
114-106
114
106
+8
H10/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
148-98
148
98
+50
H13/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
L
120-122
120
122
-2
A15/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
125-129
125
129
-4
A16/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
135-92
135
92
+43
H21/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
94-117
94
117
-23
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#6
W
129-99
129
99
+30
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#6
L
114-121
114
121
-7
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
23-25
19-38
34-27
23-41
32-35
25-19
25-34
24-18
33-27
32-27
25-34
42-22
44-25
30-31
32-20
32-35
26-28
21-24
41-35
33-33
19-26
28-34
45-36
43-23
26-21
34-27
32-21
21-32
26-23
15-35
32-27
32-25
37-28
34-23
26-23
27-31
28-33
33-31
26-26
231.3Avg total
118.6Scored
112.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)120.4112.6233.0+7.944%
Season at home (6)124.2107.5231.7+16.767%
Season away (3)113.0122.7235.7-9.70%
Last 10 (10)118.6112.7231.3+5.940%
Last 5 (5)119.4111.6231.0+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)104.0118.0222.0-14.00%
vs Similar (15)112.3112.3224.7+0.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)125.5110.0235.5+15.567%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
108-121
108
121
-13
H24/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
93-130
93
130
-37
H26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
113-124
113
124
-11
H08/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#6
W
119-105
119
105
+14
H11/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#6
L
116-132
116
132
-16
A13/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
L
106-114
106
114
-8
A22/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
125-121
125
121
+4
H24/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
127-125 OT
127
125
+2
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#11
W
121-111
121
111
+10
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#7
L
111-114
111
114
-3
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-37
27-23
28-31
26-30
26-38
23-30
22-30
22-32
29-32
33-39
34-28
17-25
32-28
29-22
29-25
29-30
28-35
24-37
31-36
33-24
35-18
34-27
21-37
16-32
35-30
33-24
28-26
29-41
24-31
26-29
36-26
27-27
34-42
25-27
33-23
29-19
28-16
16-30
38-43
29-25
233.6Avg total
113.9Scored
119.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)117.2118.2235.5-1.050%
Season at home (5)121.0117.2238.2+3.880%
Season away (3)111.0120.0231.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)113.9119.7233.6-5.840%
Last 5 (5)118.0117.0235.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)107.7113.5221.2-5.838%
vs Similar (15)113.7113.9227.5-0.253%
vs Weaker (2)136.0121.5257.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
Toronto RaptorsCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A03/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
55-76
55
76
-21
H03/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H10/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
86-47
86
47
+39
H13/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A15/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A16/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H21/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#6
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#6
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H30/10
NBA
115.2Avg total
59.7Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.454.4111.9+3.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.152.0114.1+10.173%-
Last 30 away (15)52.756.9109.6-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)59.755.5115.2+4.240%-
Last 5 (5)58.455.0113.4+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.354.7100.0-9.30%-
vs Similar (15)55.154.1109.2+0.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)63.454.8118.2+8.767%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H24/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
49-68
49
68
-19
H26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H08/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#6
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H11/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#6
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A13/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
W
69-45
69
45
+24
A22/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H24/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#11
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A30/10
NBA
116.3Avg total
56.8Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.056.6111.6-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.958.6116.4-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)51.754.3106.0-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)56.859.5116.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)58.054.8112.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)52.656.6109.2-4.023%-
vs Similar (15)55.556.1111.7-0.633%-
vs Weaker (2)66.559.5126.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.928.1
51.2%
54.0%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.5
32.6%
34.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws32.124.1
75.1%
76.4%24.1
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.226.3
54.6%
54.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.412.7
33.1%
34.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws25.919.5
75.3%
76.4%19.5
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWLWLLWWLL
Cleveland Cavaliers
LWWWLLWLLL
#18
League position
#15
+3.5
Net rating
-8.6
102.5
Offensive rating
101.0
99.0
Defensive rating
109.6
50.3%
Effective FG%
52.4%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
13.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
11.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.6%
3-point %
33.1%
65.4%
Assist %
60.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 101.0Defence99.0 · 109.6Shooting50.3% · 52.4%3-point %32.6% · 33.1%Ball care13.0% · 15.0%Off. rebounds22.4% · 11.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HOrlando Magic114-121
28/10/26HOrlando Magic129-99
25/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves94-117
21/10/26HChicago Bulls135-92
16/10/26ADetroit Pistons125-129
15/10/26ANew York Knicks120-122
13/10/26HNew York Knicks148-98
10/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers114-106
03/10/26HMiami Heat105-129
03/05/26ACleveland Cavaliers102-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AAtlanta Hawks111-114
28/10/26HWashington Wizards121-111
26/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves127-125 OT
24/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-121
22/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-114
13/10/26AOrlando Magic116-132
11/10/26HOrlando Magic119-105
08/10/26HBoston Celtics113-124
26/05/26HNew York Knicks93-130
24/05/26HNew York Knicks108-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %44%67%0%
Points / game120.4124.2113.0
Allowed / game112.6107.5122.7
Point differential+7.9+16.7-9.7
Avg total233.0231.7235.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%80%0%
Points / game117.2121.0111.0
Allowed / game118.2117.2120.0
Point differential-1.0+3.8-9.0
Avg total235.5238.2231.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
2 Boston Celtics87188%125.5110.9+14.6
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Orlando Magic85362%118.9118.1+0.8
7 Atlanta Hawks106460%120.0119.2+0.8
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Washington Wizards95456%112.7111.2+1.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves116555%119.2114.2+5.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
16 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
17 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
18 Toronto Raptors94544%120.4112.6+7.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
20 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
21 Dallas Mavericks94544%113.6116.9-3.3
22 Charlotte Hornets94544%98.8105.8-7.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Indiana Pacers93633%119.3119.0+0.3
26 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
27 New York Knicks103730%106.9116.0-9.1
28 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.